Good News Part 5. For science, positivity, puffins and daffodils. For anyone who isn't coping with gloom and doom.All aboard Boaty McBoatface!

[FuzzyPuffling]

New thread for the positive crew. Oldies, lurkers and newbies all welcome. Keep the science and positivity coming.

Really happy we are now vaccinating more than a million a week. Hopefully up to 2 million soon!

@CruCru

This is a really nice thread. Thank you to the person who said 35 sleeps to 15 Feb - it’s made me feel a lot better.

That was me. I love counting down to things. I'm more looking forward to 1st March. Firstly, as I hope (or dare I think) that cases will be looking better as will hospital administrations and deaths so hopefully some restrictions (not all obviously) will be able to be eased slowly, but also because the days will be longer and the snow/ice should be gone

Hi! Just checking in to new thread.

Does anyone have any info/articles on post-vaccine transmissibility?

Hello everyone, I hope you are all doing ok.

I was collating today's data for the homepage of www.covidmessenger.com and I wanted to highlight something I am feeling cautiously optimistic about.

I have been monitoring cases in Kent daily (Kent was the county that first had high prevalence of the new variant) and there are signs that things are beginning to turn in recent days (ie cases starting to fall).

I published a detailed post about this here:
www.covidmessenger.com/latest-analysis/

Kent is important for the rest of the country as it highlights how the new variant responds to various social restrictions - its a bit long to detail it all here but I explain it in the post.

It's an immense relief that cases appear to be starting to fall.

It is early days - it could be a data blip - but my instinct tells me things have peaked in Kent. This will provide an immensely valuable dataset for all our clever scientists and doctors working hard to determine the most suitable measures to contain the spread in other parts of the country.

So while it has been grim living in Kent for the last few weeks, with relentlessly depressing data, I do think our experience will be hugely valuable.

Thanks Littleowl. There is a lot more green on your site today than there was yesterday. My parents are in Essex and I notice their area and the surrounding ones are falling.

Don’t sail off without me! I’m jumping on board. I need this thread.

Nothing positive to add because I’ve been home schooling all day and haven’t turned the news on. Actually I recommend that for anxiety.

No vaccination hubs near me. My DP’s are getting jittery because they haven’t been called and now the shiny new hub is 1hr 30 away from them and they won’t make it there and back without needing a loo, plus it’s too far for them to drive.

Looking at the covid messenger, Cornwall has had a sudden rise! Stay safe all you chaps down there.

checking in.
@tobee
quite a lot of London boroughs (well, 5 or 6) are now showing a small decrease over 7 days compared with the previous week. Many more are showing a very small increase (single digits) which suggests that they may follow soon. And London overall should be officially decreasing within a few days I think.
Up here in the north west we haven't peaked but might do soon.

@JemimaPyjamas
We are booked to go to Italy in June. This was a booking carried over from 2020. Keeping an open mind on it at the moment, still 5 months away.

My mum, 86 in care home, has now has both doses of Pfizer vaccine.

@SaveWaterDrinkGin

Hi! Just checking in to new thread.

Does anyone have any info/articles on post-vaccine transmissibility?

The trouble with post-vaccine transmissibility is how would you test for or measure it?

If you had a vaccinated person who developed symptoms and tested positive, you would then have to demonstrate that anyone they were in contact with who caught it within a reasonable time scale had absolutely nowhere else they could have caught it. Judging from the number of posters on MN who have apparently caught Covid despite not stepping outside the house or seeing anyone since March and wiping down all their shopping, that would be quite a challenge.

For scientists to make a confident assertion one way or the other we would need a reasonably large pool of people who they were sure had been in contact with a vaccinated positive-testing person only.

shinynewapple2021, Italy is doing pretty well on the vaccination front too I’d be hopeful if I had that booked.

Cornwall has had a sudden rise! Stay safe all you chaps down there.

Cheers Dobby. We're staying in. Hope your ILs are ok too.

MIL will be rampaging around town as per usual. She’s had both jabs now.

@Frazzled2207

checking in. *@tobee* quite a lot of London boroughs (well, 5 or 6) are now showing a small decrease over 7 days compared with the previous week. Many more are showing a very small increase (single digits) which suggests that they may follow soon. And London overall should be officially decreasing within a few days I think. Up here in the north west we haven't peaked but might do soon.

Hoping all areas will be following on. And all of us soon reporting consistently lower cases ASAP!

Cases have dropped in my area for the first time in months. We are in one of the areas that went into Tier 4 before Christmas. Seems like these current measures might actually be working.

Ooh there is a lot more green falling there littleowl That is good news.

Hopefully the rest of the country will start to follow suit over the next few weeks.

So much love for the positivity on here, thank you!

That’s sounds very encouraging about the SE.

We’ve gone from around 50 per 100k at the start of December to 741 today.

@MadisonAvenue

That’s sounds very encouraging about the SE.

We’ve gone from around 50 per 100k at the start of December to 741 today.

Logically you know it's going to be a wave like last time but can't help crossing my fingers and worrying that it might just keep on coming. 🤞🤞🤞💉💉💉this will be the last one 🌊 🌊🌊

@DobbyTheHouseElk

Don’t sail off without me! I’m jumping on board. I need this thread.

Nothing positive to add because I’ve been home schooling all day and haven’t turned the news on. Actually I recommend that for anxiety.

No vaccination hubs near me. My DP’s are getting jittery because they haven’t been called and now the shiny new hub is 1hr 30 away from them and they won’t make it there and back without needing a loo, plus it’s too far for them to drive.

Hancock said in an interview that the plan is to go door to door eventually if needed.

Sorry can't remember where I saw that else I would do a link.

I’m SE and still rising but rate has definitely slowed. My parents nearby is falling for first time that I can remember. They were tier 4 over xmas - we didn’t go into tier 4 til Boxing Day . Does seem that rates are plateauing ?

We were tier 4 before Christmas and for the first time in weeks, I saw some green downward arrows on our county’s cases chart today 🤞

Placemarking!

Just wanted to add that I am CV and bordering CEV too and had Covid19 and only experienced mild symptoms. Was like a cold and I recovered quickly

Also have a holiday planned for May in Dubai where parents live. Looking forward to it!

May I just add that you can actually even put a positive spin on the high numbers of current infections - because every one of those will have some immunity once they recover, and it brings us closer to herd immunity!
Every vaccinated person and every recovered infected patient is one less that the virus can use to spread. This can only end one way - with us winning. Keep your spirits up.

@Shehz21

Placemarking!

Just wanted to add that I am CV and bordering CEV too and had Covid19 and only experienced mild symptoms. Was like a cold and I recovered quickly

Also have a holiday planned for May in Dubai where parents live. Looking forward to it!

Glad you only suffered mildly.

There's obviously more to how has severe Covid effects, who is hospitalised etc. Obviously there are plenty of studies continually in progress, but it's so hard to know for sure who and why exactly.