Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 11th Jan

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@Firefliess

Hancock says 2 in 5 over 80s now had their vaccine. Only a quarter of care home residents. It's obviously proving trickier to get it to them

I thought this story was encouraging. www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9131505/Medics-vaccinate-350-care-home-residents-staff-Oxford-jab-just-two-hours.html

Just shows what can be done with a bit of planning and goodwill.

Rates falling in 57 councils. Fingers crossed this trend continues.

news.sky.com/story/covid-19-how-mortality-rates-in-2020-compare-with-past-decades-and-centuries-12185275

I'm on my phone so not sure if that link will work, but for the poster who wanted to compare excess deaths over the last 20 years, sky news seems to have done some analysis and some graphs, even if not quite the way they wanted them plotted

I wish I could better understand this discussion on HIT here mobile.twitter.com/mgmgomes1/status/1348681541019455489

I use Ivermectin for my horses, orally for killing internal parasites and topically for mites. Have done for over 30 years.

It looks like London has turned the corner. My worry is that nothing can be opened up without putting that into reverse. Even in a month, that could so quickly lead to a lot more cases. I have noticed more sites than I expected in the project plan, I feel like 2m/week is quite conservative under these plans. Read this, it'll make you happy:
www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-covid-19-vaccines-delivery-plan.

[quote MRex]It looks like London has turned the corner. My worry is that nothing can be opened up without putting that into reverse. Even in a month, that could so quickly lead to a lot more cases. I have noticed more sites than I expected in the project plan, I feel like 2m/week is quite conservative under these plans. Read this, it'll make you happy:
www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-covid-19-vaccines-delivery-plan.[/quote]
I looked at the list of vaccination sites earlier - www.england.nhs.uk/coronavirus/publication/vaccination-sites/ - and it was strangely thrilling to spot the ones near me and think 'ooh, I know where that is!', it made it feel much more real to me, since I don't know anyone in real life who has been vaccinated apart from some quite distant medic acquaintances

[quote Quarantino]Have posted this on the studies corner thread, and happy to take any discussion over there, but does anyone know about/heard of ivermectin? I've been reading a couple of things from South Africa (a friend there sent me something about it - no idea if promising or not as not really keeping up with studies of treatments/vaccines)
www.sahpra.org.za/news-and-updates/sahpras-guidance-on-the-use-of-ivermectin-in-the-prophylaxis-or-treatment-of-covid-19/

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner[/quote]
My South African friend told me just yesterday about this drug being successful in South Africa. Hopefully the right people are looking into it.

Thanks for the link to the vaccine strategy. My 87 year old MIL got hers last week

Thank you so much to everyone who posts in this thread. I am a Brit living in NZ and it is fantastic to have access to all this information.

I just saw this analysis on Sky about mortality rate, with graphs adjusted for population and age and comparisons to 1918 flu, ww2 etc, I thought it was helpful if depressing.

news.sky.com/story/covid-19-how-mortality-rates-in-2020-compare-with-past-decades-and-centuries-12185275

Why was @littleowl1 's last post deleted?

Oh sorry @CatsLikeBoxes I've just seen you'd posted this link already. Apologies.

.

Thanks for the link, MRex. I thought this bit about data on vaccinations was interesting:

From 11 January, daily data for England will be published showing the total number vaccinated to date, including first and second doses. On 14 January and then on a weekly basis, NHSEI will publish a more detailed breakdown of vaccinations in England, including by region

I find it interesting the new commitment to complete the care homes by end of January. Unless I missed it before they were mid Feb too (?), if so that suggests things are moving faster than expected.

I assume it was deleted because it included - as a side note - that you can now donate to covidmessenger.com if you want to, which seems rather over-zealous moderation to me, especially given the absolute rubbish that MNHQ let stand on the coronavirus board to misinform people.

Something obvious has just been pointed out to me. Israel is vaccinating at such an extraordinary rate that the rest of the world will have a solid preview of what the Pfizer vaccine can and cannot achieve on a whole population within a matter of weeks. Watch this space.

Apologies if this has already been pointed out on a previous thread, I don’t always keep up to date.

mobile.twitter.com/segal_eran/status/1348317646790524933

Yes that's right @Findhungry - as long as there aren't too many anti-vaccer cranks in Israel we should soon be able to see whether the vaccine stops transmission once you've vaccinated a good proportion of people.

Interesting opinion piece from BMJ about narratives on adherence levels, on a thread recently posted:

blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/07/pandemic-fatigue-how-adherence-to-covid-19-regulations-has-been-misrepresented-and-why-it-matters/?utm_campaign=shareaholic

[quote Quarantino]Have posted this on the studies corner thread, and happy to take any discussion over there, but does anyone know about/heard of ivermectin? I've been reading a couple of things from South Africa (a friend there sent me something about it - no idea if promising or not as not really keeping up with studies of treatments/vaccines)
www.sahpra.org.za/news-and-updates/sahpras-guidance-on-the-use-of-ivermectin-in-the-prophylaxis-or-treatment-of-covid-19/

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner[/quote]
THere was a long discussion of this on the Sawbones podcast maybe three or four weeks ago. Was interesting, and the podcast is worth checking out in it's own right.

[quote FindHungrySamurai]Something obvious has just been pointed out to me. Israel is vaccinating at such an extraordinary rate that the rest of the world will have a solid preview of what the Pfizer vaccine can and cannot achieve on a whole population within a matter of weeks. Watch this space.

Apologies if this has already been pointed out on a previous thread, I don’t always keep up to date.

mobile.twitter.com/segal_eran/status/1348317646790524933[/quote]
Yes, will be very interesting to watch, particularly as according to this thread: "Israel has committed to sharing data incl about side effects, efficacy, time to develop antibodies broken down acc to age, gender, preexisting conditions etc. The country basically acts as a large, real-world lab for manufacturers and the rest of the world."

( I am assuming/hope this data will also be made public??)

mobile.twitter.com/VKJudit/status/1348599933650296832

It's apparently (alongside paying higher prices) the reason Israel got "enough doses available from just Pfizer and Moderna to cover its entire population".

[quote JanuaryChill]Interesting opinion piece from BMJ about narratives on adherence levels, on a thread recently posted:

blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/07/pandemic-fatigue-how-adherence-to-covid-19-regulations-has-been-misrepresented-and-why-it-matters/?utm_campaign=shareaholic[/quote]
I was reading this earlier. I find this extremely hard to believe based on my small glimpses of the outside world:
"To the surprise of many, adherence to stringent behavioural regulations has remained extremely high (over 90%), even though many people are suffering considerably, both financially and psychologically."

The source is this: www.kcl.ac.uk/policy-institute/assets/Coronavirus-in-the-UK-cluster-analysis.pdf

which relies on self-reporting.
I'm sure the genuinely lovely-looking individuals having a chat in Sainsburys within about 50cm of each other think they're sticking to 2m regulations stringently because they are not touching each other but surely self-reporting is not going to give the real picture?

I know I can't base it on my own experiences but I see people breaking the rules all the time, hardly any obviously 'flagrantly' but seemingly well intentioned and by people who are really trying to do the best thing but need to collect their kids from school and forget to use the proper entrance, or stand 2m away from people in the shopping centre, or let the kids meet up outside school because they're together at school anyway.

I fully admit I might be wrong but I have people in my family swearing they are doing everything right but have been mixing indoors throughout the lockdowns and tiers that prohibited this. Loads of people think they're doing enough when clearly they aren't. Loads of people don't even KNOW the rules (and I include myself in that, not even realising stuff that doesn't apply to me like you can't let a learner driver drive a car for any reason in England!)

I should clarify that I don't disagree with the overall message, namely that bad behaviour is what we see in the media rather than people staying home, and that does affect perceptions, and that more support is needed to help people isolate etc.

Yes I see all your points @Quarantino. And observing what the public does in a public place, does not give that much indication of what they may do when not observed. As the govt well knows, hence allowing meetings in public spaces but not private gardens.