Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 11th Jan

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@BigWoollyJumpers
Sorry to hear your news. It's similar case here with carehome residents and staff badly hit.

@PuzzledObserver our carehomes let very few visits at all, if any, and have still been hit. They've been so careful, it's absolutely devastating for them.

BigWoollyJumpers so sorry for your loss. The home I work in has been lucky in that although half the residents have had covid in the last 5 or 6 weeks they have all had it mildly and all seem well. It also happened in the home where my aunt is, only one death and that was someone who was discharged from hospital with it the rest of the residents have all had mild symptoms and seem to have recovered. It definitely seems to be spreading fast in care homes.

Oh I'm so sorry to hear of your losses Bigwoollyjumper.

Woolly- I’m so very sorry for your losses. We’re a clergy household, so we’ve seen a lot of bereaved families this year and the grieving process is so much harder at the moment. All the normal things we do to help that process, like hugs and funerals and wakes are all absent (or different). So please be kind to yourself, get real life help if you need it. And post here if that helps too.

@BigWoollyJumpers I’m so sorry, what a dreadful time for you and your family.

Once it gets into a care home the consequences can be absolutely devastating

Interesting info

twitter.com/kamleshkhunti/status/1350779893659930624

"Our study of 47,780 people hospitalised post #COVID19 led by
@DanAyoubkhani

@ONS

At follow-up of only 140 days:
29.4% re-admitted
12.3% died

www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.15.21249885v1"

Interesting but not exactly a candidate for the Good News thread.....

@JanuaryChill

Interesting but not exactly a candidate for the Good News thread.....

If you've meant it for me: this is not the good news thread. This is the data one :) If not for me: skip pls.

As they couldn’t disaggregate their data very much, there’s a lot more to know here about who is affected and how, but clearly severe covid is not good news. On the plus side, about 2/3 were not readmitted to hospital. Let’s hope the vaccine can avert this sort of outcome for most.

@BigWoollyJumpers I'm so very sorry

@TheDinosaurTrain clergy family here too! And yes to all you say - grieving is so very, very hard in these times when we are so isolated. Love to all going through this

The readmissions and deaths data, and forgive me, I haven’t read the detail, needs to be seen in the context of other elderly admissions. Sadly, a high percentage will die within 6 months of an emergency admission.

@TheDinosaurTrain @Madhairday

I work in a church office and would like to remind both of you to make sure you have time for yourselves, and time to grieve yourself. People will be looking to you for support and forgetting you need it too.

Thesun no I was being ironic, I know this isn't the Good News thread! Sorry, tone was obviously lost!

@JanuaryChill
My bad :)

Husband dropped a bombshell on me re:moving - asking me to get rid of my board game collection. I feel betrayed. And lost all my irony/humour/sarcasm sensors.

@Al1langdownthecleghole

The readmissions and deaths data, and forgive me, I haven’t read the detail, needs to be seen in the context of other elderly admissions. Sadly, a high percentage will die within 6 months of an emergency admission.

They did use controls matched by age and clinical history, though they didn't specifically compare to a cohort that had been admitted to hospital for other reasons. It was the under-70s who had the greatest increased risk compared to their controls.

@BigWoollyJumpers
So sorry to hear that. And it all happened so fast. You may be in shock for a while, so be nice and careful to yourself.

@TheSunIsStillShining
sidenote. Boardgames are worth quite a bit nowadays, especially classic ones, even if in old condition. If your DH knows this, he may change his mind.

TheSunIsStillShining
You need to warn him that if they go you will be building a new patio at the new house.😉
Woolly so sorry for your loss.
littleowl Thank you - I love the barometer feature.

Did Boris really "follow the science"? The analysis here says "No".

bylinetimes.com/2020/07/03/sagegate-part-one-treasury-and-downing-street-advisors-delayed-covid-19-lockdown/?fbclid=IwAR3e8CkvCM32Nez4-deZCWbWOXs7bmmpJLpY29m8fWKbttmJUNLu0-97tyw

Sorry for the derail earlier - and many thanks for all your lovely messages.

Good news is that when I went into town yesterday afternoon our two large local hubs were absolutely running full steam ahead, and on a Sunday, with a steady stream of elderlies going in for their vaccines. Very well organised, roads closed, dedicated parking, marshalls everywhere, very impressed.

@lightand @PussyCatInChristmasStockings
Thanks for the understanding :)
He should know by now, and we do have some really rare pieces too....

Morning everyone.

Over the weekend I started analysing the hospitals data - something I have been meaning to do for a long time - as I would like to then analyse the age profiles of admissions and patients on mechanical ventilation.

It's a sad exercise. But important, nonetheless.

I have heard many stories anecdotally about younger cases but the sentiment across the main media leans towards under 60s being "safe".

I would just like to get a good look at the data and make up my own mind, TBH.

Anyway this is the first installment in this exercise - it details the covid-19 hospital cases since the start of the pandemic for each region in England.

It's here: www.covidmessenger.com/hospital-cases-v1/

I've also linked it in the "Latest Analysis" tab in the menu.

If anyone was in any doubt about the pressure the NHS is currently under, these charts will dispel it.

They are quite shocking - the number of cases in hospital far exceed during the last lockdown.

Thanks @littleowl1 - as with cases looking at it also just strikes home just how low we got things over summer ( partly due to seasonality) and what a missed opportunity that was ( hindsight is of course a wonderful thing and who knows perhaps nothing would have stopped the winter surge, although the September lockdown now seems such a missed opportunity)

Thanks @littleowl1 very somber reading.

Is there any way to display rates per 100k population?

I remember the highest rates in the first wave were in the NE and I wondered how that now looked.

I'm in no way suggesting the NHS isn't under intense pressure and we obviously need to take urgent steps to reduce that but I wonder how comparable the first and second waves are in terms of hospitalisations?

In the first wave they were only testing those that they believed had covid as I understand it whereas now everyone who goes into hospital is tested quite regularly. I know my friend who recently went in for an elective c section was tested before she went in and regularly whilst there.

I also wonder if they are admitting people more readily now than during the first wave? Anecdotally it feels like people are being admitted more readily now but I'm not sure if that's perception or reality!