Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 11th Jan

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Re the briefing. Has there been some new research on fomite transmission at all recently? It felt like at the briefing BJ was placing an odd renewed emphasis on hand washing? Unless they have data that it’s the thing people are letting slip. Just seemed a bit strange!

Yes, DH and I both said that!! It was noticeable.

Glad it wasn’t just me! It was really odd.

Yes, I also noticed it and wondered if there was new research.

Maybe they just think it's the best or a new way to try and emphasise that everything we do, every contact outside the home is risky?

yep i posted on another thread about this, I noticed it too and was wondering if Mark Drakeford talking about supermarkets was linked (trolleys etc being a risk? ) and they've had some new data about how it is currently spreading?

This is from Belfast Telegraph but lots of papers carrying it today

'Stricter rules for supermarkets are needed in Wales due to “significant evidence” that coronavirus is spreading among customers and staff, the First Minister has said.

Mark Drakeford said retailers will now be legally required to display signs for social distancing, provide sanitiser for hands and trolleys, and limit the number of customers allowed inside at any one time.

The new rules announced on Friday are part of a package of new measures introduced following concerns that a faster spreading variant of Covid-19 is behind a spike of transmissions across Wales.

Essential retailers like supermarkets have already been subject to guidance measures in order to protect the public’s health, but things like ensuring one-way systems are used and managing the flow of customers will now be put into law.'

I wonder what that significant evidence is, would be good to see the source

a lot of workplaces have handed people loads on them to self administer as they like - would they maybe test themselves on a Friday before seeing any family, etc?

That would show up in specimen date, we'd see a massive increase in cases with a specimen date the same date? tbh I'm not sure that even if the tests were done today, that the paperwork that got the results of LFT back would mean it was recorded same day, that's going to be a lot more "data entry" delays than just the out of the lab process. Also realised that that means that people with LFT positives aren't waiting around for the result even if the specimen date was delayed in the stats.

They were going round all the shops in my town today slapping up new signs (still no security guard though in my neighbourhood shop)

Now that schools are shut it has pushed shops to the top of the 'where people have been before they got tested positive' charts. But that wouldn't necessarily correlate with all the mentions of surfaces.

@Loftyloft

www.travellingtabby.com/uk-coronavirus-tracker/

Travelling tabby’s graphical representation of the vaccine rollout I think is a clear (and heartening) one

Nice link! But how the hell is Brazil's death rate per head lower than ours

Just in case anyone's interested in how this might feed into the stats:-
As care home staff I do two LFTs and one PCR a week, results of which are recorded
In-house. From 16 Jan we will have to log
onto government website and record, amongst other info, result of every LFT test on staff.

Funny that they are emphasising the hands thing again because I read yet another article saying they should be doing the exact opposite earlier today: unherd.com/2021/01/do-you-know-how-covid-really-spreads/
I’m not an expert in viral transmission but I’ve really not seen any of the experts emphasise fomites on Twitter - everyone seems to be talking about better ventilation and better masks.

Good to know @LionLily

Yes @ATieLikeRichardGere I agree. I wonder how long it'll take the NHS to catch up.

@ATieLikeRichardGere - I had just said the same to DH. I wonder if they are concerned that these new variants, or other potential variants, might have a greater fomite risk. Or the messaging has done so well at keeping down norovirus, rotavirus and flu that they are keeping the message in there for general reductions in NHS effort.

@titchy - It should be, because they have a younger population. But it's not. Wait for excess deaths.

I do sort of wonder whether they know it is massively airborne and want somehow to distract us from that. This might be because I have seen Fight Club...

Yes piggy I'm wondering too...

@oneglassandpuzzled - I liked that, it's nice that Whitty feels confident to clarify what he means even when it's contradicting Boris. That's as it should be for any doctor, but perhaps not always how it is.

@Firefliess - that's lovely! (And maybe also people hoping for spare vaccine for them/ relative/ neighbour at the end of the day? Is that too cynical?)

Did anyone find test positvity rates separately for pcr/lft?
The cynic in me again is questioning the data... it seems like we are doing awesome testing (and we are to some extent), but how would the lft's 50/50 (at best?) pick-up rate distort the numbers?

FWIW, I don't think cases in Kent and London would have dropped almost to the day of shop closure (plus infectious periods + households) if the UK variant were airborne, but "more infectious" could easily catch people chatting in a half-on mask in crowded shop. That doesn't mean the Brazil or other variants aren't airborne . Bring on vaccines!

It felt like at the briefing BJ was placing an odd renewed emphasis on hand washing? Unless they have data that it’s the thing people are letting slip.

I think I've seen somewhere in SAGE papers that based on one of the ONS survey 97% of the population wears masks while "only" 90% continues to wash hands when they come home from the outside.

All covid is airborne, we've known that for months and months.

ONS never asked me about hand washing, but always ask about masks.

Yes queen. You might. You'd be surprised how they pretend it isn't in schools, for example...