Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 11th Jan

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

First weekly data published on vaccines by region. (England only and up to Sunday 10th January).
t.co/c3Fonb0H6k?amp=1 (pdf)

@BigWoollyJumpers my vague memory is that Spain changed their reporting system early last summer (amid much suspicion that it was to 'help' the figures and so the tourist industry) and that it's been seen as less than optimal ever since?

[quote Hardbackwriter]@BigWoollyJumpers my vague memory is that Spain changed their reporting system early last summer (amid much suspicion that it was to 'help' the figures and so the tourist industry) and that it's been seen as less than optimal ever since?[/quote]
I seem to recall the denialists crowing about Spain reducing the number of PCR cycles a few months back but I can't find anything about it now.

Has anyone every linked this..... I haven't seen it before....
www.euromomo.eu/

Bit fiddly, and I would like to see actual figures rather than graphical representations, but the Graphs and Maps tabs is quite interesting in and of itself. Note the very sharp drops over week 52/01.

Thanks @CoffeeandCroissant. I worry that without the applicable population in each region or a percentage, that could be very misleading, e.g. It's very clear that NE has had way more vaccine to date than SW based on population volume of over 80s. Hopefully a percentage will be added soon.
Here's regional projected population stats for anyone interested: www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/datasets/regionsinenglandtable1.

@BigWoollyJumpers - thanks, I haven't looked at that in a while (forgot about it entirely), very interesting.

@MRex

Israel Pfizer vaccine info - www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-data-shows-50-reduction-in-infections-14-days-after-first-vaccine-shot/. This looks like only 50-60% getting strong immunity by 14 days, is this because they're vaccinating elderly first or will it increase further up to the second dose? Or, controversial idea, does immunity naturally increase up to 4 weeks and even beyond, so the timescale of the booster isn't correct at 3 weeks?

I don't think there's enough information in that report to be able to conclude anything at all useful, to be honest.

Worth remembering that the immunity from Pfizer doesn't kick in til about 12 days, though. Given the inevitable lag between contracting the virus and diagnosis, you wouldn't expect much of an impact at the two week point.

Popped this question on another thread, but maybe someone more knowledgeable here..... if a care home has many cases (like DM's) and she is sadly unwell at the moment, does that prevent that home being vaccinated? GP's not going in at all at the moment for anything, which is pretty shit, and following the rule that you can't have a vaccination within 3 weeks of a positive test, would they hold off on an entire home due to an outbreak?

@BigWoollyJumpers

Popped this question on another thread, but maybe someone more knowledgeable here..... if a care home has many cases (like DM's) and she is sadly unwell at the moment, does that prevent that home being vaccinated? GP's not going in at all at the moment for anything, which is pretty shit, and following the rule that you can't have a vaccination within 3 weeks of a positive test, would they hold off on an entire home due to an outbreak?

Given that they've said they've vaccinated all care homes in NI 'except those that currently have a Covid-19 outbreak' I think it probably does? I'm sorry, I know that's not what you want to hear. But they did say (on 5 Jan) that they were aiming to get those care homes (the ones with active outbreaks) done by mid-Jan, so that suggests that the delay caused may not be too long.

@BigWoollyJumpers

Has anyone every linked this..... I haven't seen it before.... www.euromomo.eu/

Bit fiddly, and I would like to see actual figures rather than graphical representations, but the Graphs and Maps tabs is quite interesting in and of itself. Note the very sharp drops over week 52/01.

The last couple of weeks always look like they're dropping for most countries - it's a reporting issue (I know it says that they correct for that but they really don't).

@MRex

Israel Pfizer vaccine info - www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-data-shows-50-reduction-in-infections-14-days-after-first-vaccine-shot/. This looks like only 50-60% getting strong immunity by 14 days, is this because they're vaccinating elderly first or will it increase further up to the second dose? Or, controversial idea, does immunity naturally increase up to 4 weeks and even beyond, so the timescale of the booster isn't correct at 3 weeks?

Also the comment about "seventeen percent of the new serious cases today, or 180 cases, are after the first dose,” doesn't say how long after the first dose. If they were infected before they had the vaccine or within the first couple of weeks that's not unexpected. I do think Israel will be in a good position to study the impact of having a fully vaccinated population because they are so small and because of their efficient health care system.

Points noted, I should have caveated that it all clearly needs longer to bed in, detailed figures etc. Many apologies!

Hugh Pym tweeted some percentages :

‘Regional variations for vaccination rollout revealed in latest NHS England figures - 46% of 80+ have had first dose in NE/Yorks - around 30% in London and East of England’

According to my local health centre, 100% of 80+ have had their first dose in our area (which covers about 5 MSOAs) and they are now on the 75+ age group

That’s North west

That's great @ceeveebee. Hopefully proportion of doses will catch up in the other areas soon.

Hang on a sec, is that 100% have been offered the vaccine, or 100% have actually had it? Across 5 MSOAs, 100% take-up is utterly amazing if it's the latter.

@tootyfruitypickle

Hugh Pym tweeted some percentages :

‘Regional variations for vaccination rollout revealed in latest NHS England figures - 46% of 80+ have had first dose in NE/Yorks - around 30% in London and East of England’

I wonder how much of that difference is due to older folks in the hard hit area (London etc) not daring to leave home even to get the vaccine? It's definitely a thing, have heard it a few times. But couldn't account for that wide a gap obviously.

I live in SE and our surgery says vaccine stocks only arrived here this week, so over 80s just starting to get their invites.

I expect it's largely driven by early access to vaccines themselves; anywhere can call extra people in if they get declines and every region had to be given some proportion of vaccines in December for equity reasons. I'm in London too and haven't heard yet about anyone not wanting to go for a vaccine; the opposite that a couple of unrelated contacts who said they wouldn't have now decided to get it. One of them had it yesterday, so will be in today's batch of numbers.

Yes mrex, guess you're right.

Numbers update looks to be starting (the date has updated)...

@MRex

Hang on a sec, is that 100% have been offered the vaccine, or 100% have actually had it? Across 5 MSOAs, 100% take-up is utterly amazing if it's the latter.

It’s says “ vaccinated or offered a vaccination to all of our over-80 and care home patients.” I guess not everyone will have taken it up

False alarm, it's reverted to 13th...

Our local vaccination centre in London started vaccinating over 80s on 6 Jan, and have gone on to over 75s now, so I guess it’s probably also affected by how many over 80s there are in a specific area of London and their community/care home split.
This is in contrast to my previous health centre in NI who are starting their vaccinations next week, they seem to have focused more on care homes first and then community catch up.

Looking at the figures it also looks like London has vaccinated a similar amount of Heath are workers to over 80s - possibly trying to vaccinate more Heath are workers to prevent imminent overwhelming of NHS?