Daily stats, numbers, data thread 28 Dec

[PatriciaHolm]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-[statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak]]
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths [[public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9]]
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@SoscaredforJan

Do we think all primary schools will end up shutting eventually? We have just gone into Tier 3 and I’m anxious about schools going back.

I do wonder what will happen when the neighbouring counties have as bad, or worse, stats. That's the problem with tiers: they don't really work without restricted movement or some massive geographical boundary blocking the way.

@RhubarbFizz another FT article says there is an Israeli election soon and this:
In November, the day after Pfizer announced the results of the efficacy trials for its vaccine, Mr Netanyahu called up Albert Bourla, the chief executive of the vaccine maker, and struck up a conversation on their shared Jewishness.

The speed with which Mr Netanyahu has obtained millions of doses of the vaccine contrasts with what Israelis have widely viewed as a dysfunctional response to the coronavirus pandemic. He has fought and overruled health officials who wanted targeted lockdowns, preferring instead nationwide measures.

It is interesting the vaccine choices and how quickly countries will get back to normal, I wonder if the percent vaccinated will be the new comparison statistic of choice

We have had some really bad news over last couple of days with 50,000 new cases today and 53,000 new cases yesterday and deaths shooting up is so worrying, over 900 today. We just have to take a deep breath and be glad the Oxford vaccine is now approved and vaccines to start on Jan 4th. We also got Brexit deal over the line. Let us all hope 2021 will be better than 2020 and there will be vaccines available for whole of world. We are lucky Boris backed the Oxford vaccine from day 1 and we will get enough vaccine to vaccinate all in UK who want one. I had a little cry of relief when it got approved. Light at end of tunnel and darkest just before dawn.

Do we think all primary schools will end up shutting eventually? We have just gone into Tier 3 and I’m anxious about schools going back.

We're entering Tier 3 too and considering keeping DC off for at least a week or two to see how it pans out from the Christmas mixing. I honestly can't see them staying open.

Me neither.

I honestly can't see them staying open.

Unfortunately it seems to be the hill they are choosing to die on. I can see them just reducing down how many contacts need to isolate and announcing how schools can stay open with reduced staff etc.
Why they are choosing this one when there are so many U-turns (and I'm not against U-turns when evidence changes, just frustrating when you can see it coming weeks before they can) I'm not sure, but it does seem to be one they're sticking their head in the sands and shouting "schools are safe, so there," if any evidence is brought to the contrary.

I've lost faith in them doing anything sensible round schools. Sorry.

Can we not do the all schools will end up closing stuff here? Loads of other threads, thanks

I do think if anyone is very anxious they should just keep dc off (SI etc)

Thanks @everythingthelighttouches and @Firefliess for the explanation in on Oxford vaccine and efficacy.

.

@ThSun I think the MHRA's motives are pretty clear - to get the maximum protection to the maximum number of people as soon as possible. That may mean that some who've had their first dose are not quite as protected as they could be with two doses, but someone else gets their first dose sooner. The ideal dosing schedule for one individual is not the same as the best thing for society overall.

This press release explains the rationale for the dosing regime. Also clarifies the approach to women who are breastfeeding or pregnant www.gov.uk/government/news/statement-from-the-uk-chief-medical-officers-on-the-prioritisation-of-first-doses-of-covid-19-vaccines

What has Pfizer said about the decision to postpone the second dose - I thought I had read that they had commented on it somewhere?

@Firefliess

This press release explains the rationale for the dosing regime. Also clarifies the approach to women who are breastfeeding or pregnant www.gov.uk/government/news/statement-from-the-uk-chief-medical-officers-on-the-prioritisation-of-first-doses-of-covid-19-vaccines

Thank you for this.

@Aixenprovence

What has Pfizer said about the decision to postpone the second dose - I thought I had read that they had commented on it somewhere?

They say there's no evidence for immunity after 21 days. www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-britain-vaccine-ap/analysis-no-half-measures-and-mind-the-gap-uk-nod-for-astrazeneca-vaccine-raises-more-questions-idUSKBN2941WR?feedType=mktg&feedName=healthNews&WT.mc_id=Partner-Google

Aixenprovence

“What has Pfizer said about the decision to postpone the second dose - I thought I had read that they had commented on it somewhere?“

They are not happy at all. I can understand why as the first dose alone may not provide the efficacy of two doses and this will all be linked to their product.

No proof the vaccine works when taking it 12 weeks apart has been quoted by Pfizer. No data to show a single vaccine confers a long term advantage. No data to show protection lasts for over 21 days.

Having parents in their 80's who have had one dose so far it all seems to be very much a gamble.

In contrast the makers of the Oxford Vaccine are happy for theirs to be given 12 weeks apart. Based on a small subset of the trial. How big was this subset?

[quote ElvisOperator]@RhubarbFizz another FT article says there is an Israeli election soon and this:
In November, the day after Pfizer announced the results of the efficacy trials for its vaccine, Mr Netanyahu called up Albert Bourla, the chief executive of the vaccine maker, and struck up a conversation on their shared Jewishness.

The speed with which Mr Netanyahu has obtained millions of doses of the vaccine contrasts with what Israelis have widely viewed as a dysfunctional response to the coronavirus pandemic. He has fought and overruled health officials who wanted targeted lockdowns, preferring instead nationwide measures.[/quote]
Great people are now going to be jumping on the Zionist rubbish again.

What joy

@Aixenprovence

What has Pfizer said about the decision to postpone the second dose - I thought I had read that they had commented on it somewhere?

I’ve missed this. Do you mean Pfizer will follow same timescale as Oxford Az?

The Oxford trial had many rather random gaps between doses, whereas Pfizer was always 21 days, even in Phase 1.

It does seem implausible though that Pfizer would mysteriously stop working after 3 weeks, so extending the gap a bit seems a reasonable pragmatic thing to do in an emergency.

@teta

No proof the vaccine works when taking it 12 weeks apart has been quoted by Pfizer. No data to show a single vaccine confers a long term advantage. No data to show protection lasts for over 21 days.

Having parents in their 80's who have had one dose so far it all seems to be very much a gamble.

In contrast the makers of the Oxford Vaccine are happy for theirs to be given 12 weeks apart. Based on a small subset of the trial. How big was this subset?

You would have thought they would just stick with to Pfizer jab two doses 21 days and oxford 12 weeks then.

Makes it more complicated in some ways and less vaccinations at speed. However you got to follow manufacturers instructions surely.

I wonder if Pfizer also like the idea of under mining the UK vaccination program a bit too because of the oxford vaccine.

I still find their upping the efficiency percentage of their jab two days after announcing it dodgy. The second American jab announcement they were 5% more efficient than Pfizer. Then suddenly it is oh sorry we made a mistake and ours is this efficient too. A very competitive company me thinks.

@Truelymadlydeeplysomeonesmum - that was exactly my thought too.

Sorry meant to add re Zionist conspiracy.

@MarshaBradyo - This letter explains the new timetable and it also applies to Pfizer
www.england.nhs.uk/coronavirus/wp-content/uploads/sites/52/2020/12/C0994-System-letter-COVID-19-vaccination-deployment-planning-30-December-2020.pdf