Daily stats, numbers, data thread 28 Dec

[PatriciaHolm]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-[statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak]]
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths [[public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9]]
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

I wasn't aware I was correcting anyone

@Oaktree55

But you accept that we don't have enough Pfizer and anything else, however promising, is months away. Your only real point seems to be that we should be angry that the government did not order in more Pfizer. That isn't actually a practical solution though is it?

We can't flaming roll out the Pfizer vaccine on the scale of vaccines like Oxford because it needs to be kept at ultra low temperatures see problems in Europe!!! No

Rogue no there

@TheSunIsStillShining don’t worry too much about surgery, honestly, it can be the very best thing! I remember the first time I felt my ileostomy bag filling up and realising that I needed the bathroom but I didn’t have to get there in 15seconds (for the first time in years). It was the most amazing and liberating feeling. So honestly, don’t make surgery the fear.

I was diagnosed in the U.K. yes, and it took about a week from going to the GP to diagnosis in the hospital, but I presented with pretty severe symptoms pretty rapidly so diagnosis was easy! I know lots of people aren’t so lucky. I hadn’t heard of mutaflor, no but a quick google tells me it’s a probiotic which seem to work wonderfully for some people and do absolutely nothing for me!! Good luck with whatever treatments you end up on and hope your symptoms remain manageable.

Apologies for the slight derail into guts everyone else

Personal musings. I assume that's allowed
Not sure why you should assume it's an attack on you.

@Sunshinegirl82 my main point started off as if the delayed dosing is the “magic formula” the CEO has been talking about this pats is wide open to 2/3 months of unprotected people.

I then went on to consider if the vulnerable are going to be vaccinated with Oxford in desperation.

I then was hoping to debate the implications of this and whether perhaps yes it might be worth waiting for say Novavax especially for at risk groups, given we can’t just revaccinate them immediately.

However since nobody is prepared to consider these points until they possibly occur we will be in line with our reactionary Government and debate problems as there arise rather than with foresight.

[quote Oaktree55]@JamesAnderson your comment re Google. Yes I’m anonymous my point is everyone should be educating themselves from verifiable opinion/sources not posts on Mumsnet. So your crazy misplaced arrogance relating to quality of posts is rather misplaced.[/quote]

Yes, yes you're so right! Nobody but you is looking anywhere else but here.

Sorry what's the name is this thread? Is it the ranting non critical thinking only answering some questions and dissing Astra Zeneca while be as patronising as possible thread or is it something else?

@TheDinosaurTrain
I've long accepted that at one point it might come to that and I'll deal with it at that point, no sooner. :)
Ok, Mutaflor did wonders for me, but a friends had no luck with it, just thought I'd say it's out there.
It took me 8 months to get diagnosed as doctors haven't heard of crohn's before me, so didn't refer me to the right specialist. Once there it was "smooth sailing". Diff country though, 20 yrs ago.
Tbf - not having to always look up public facilities (restaurants, etc) when going somewhere must be liberating :)

@Wakeupin2022

Oak are you worried about the capability of Pfizer to stop transmission since there is 0 data available?

That is one of my annoyances. You have targeted Oxford on more than one occasion for not stopping transmission but not once have you questioned or criticised Pfizer. Not very balanced and also not a great example of critical thinking?

That’s a fair point about Pfizer.

But I read a study recently (I’ll dredge it up if anyone’s interested) that asserted that 75% of cases occur via exposure to symptomatic individuals.

So if you have a vaccine that is 90–95% effective at reducing symptoms to nil then presumably you will have a more substantial impact on transmission than a vaccine that is 62% effective at reducing symptomatic C19.

Oak - I mean this very kindly, but I'm worried for your wellbeing. You've littered this thread with contradictory statements, your linked sources are your twitter echo chamber, you accuse anyone who disagrees with you of being arrogant, ignorant, incapable of independent thought. You refuse point blank to take your vaccine knowledge to the vaccine thread that was set up specifically to discuss the Oxford vaccine and instead choose to berate us for not agreeing with your every word on this thread.

Take a break for now or post your links on the vaccine thread where there is a ready and willing audience for more information.

Once MHRA reports back on Oxford and more data is released there'll be more to discuss and pull apart and that's easier and more satisfying to do once we no longer need to speculate.

True except uptake and roll out

@tobee

True except uptake and roll out

Sorry that was to Em

@FeelingBIue you really don’t need to worry about my well-being. I honestly worry more about many on here who seem in denial of where we may very possibly be heading. I’ve handled the Pandemic very well as I’ve foreseen where we’re headed. I’m not quite sure why theses so much denial here especially given track record to date of UK’s handling.

[quote Oaktree55]@Sunshinegirl82 my main point started off as if the delayed dosing is the “magic formula” the CEO has been talking about this pats is wide open to 2/3 months of unprotected people.

I then went on to consider if the vulnerable are going to be vaccinated with Oxford in desperation.

I then was hoping to debate the implications of this and whether perhaps yes it might be worth waiting for say Novavax especially for at risk groups, given we can’t just revaccinate them immediately.

However since nobody is prepared to consider these points until they possibly occur we will be in line with our reactionary Government and debate problems as there arise rather than with foresight.[/quote]
On what evidence are you convinced that Novavax will be the answer?

@tobee

Sorry what's the name is this thread? Is it the ranting non critical thinking only answering some questions and dissing Astra Zeneca while be as patronising as possible thread or is it something else?

Who knows... I've been lurking on these for months, really appreciate the dissemination of the available data. The derailing of the last few days has made it very hard to follow!

@tobee

We can't flaming roll out the Pfizer vaccine on the scale of vaccines like Oxford because it needs to be kept at ultra low temperatures see problems in Europe!!! No

Yes this. Colleagues are reporting that it is impossible to scale/speed up the Pfizer vaccine and maintain normal Care.

@cathyandclare Novavax has had the highest neutralising titters and is the best tolerated (2k people didn’t return for Moderna booster due to side effects). Phase 3 U.K. should be in very soon apparently. U.K. has 60 m doses. I thought it was one dose but apparently 2. No storage issues etc.

[quote Oaktree55]@cathyandclare Novavax has had the highest neutralising titters and is the best tolerated (2k people didn’t return for Moderna booster due to side effects). Phase 3 U.K. should be in very soon apparently. U.K. has 60 m doses. I thought it was one dose but apparently 2. No storage issues etc.[/quote]
But where is this information.

I'd like to read it for myself

If anything, I think we are in a better position than the EU at this time.

They are also banking of Astra (and Sanofi). They also don't have enough Pfizer and have been very slow off the mark at buying the vaccine.

Yes, concerns are valid regarding Oxford vaccine as it does not seem to have the efficacy of Pfizer.

But what impact would 100 people being vaccinated with Oxford and 1 with Pfizer in January compared to 1 with Pfizer and then some more with Novavax in April / May assuming it gets approval?

How much longer can we lockdown for? Including the probable closure of schools?

But if Novavax haven't submitted to MHRA and so are far behind 3 others at least.

I'm not in denial and have even less evidence that the other regular posters are.

They are not advancing their fortune telling properties. They are dealing with facts and figures.

@Wakeupin2022
There are other alternatives you know. Close borders. Lockdown. Ease up. Look at asian countries for examples.