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Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread

999 replies

NoGoodPunsLeft · 17/12/2020 20:09

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
Modelling real number of UK infections February to date Link broken?
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
MSAO Map of English cases Link broken?
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read://https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

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Sunshinegirl82 · 27/12/2020 19:00

@TheSunIsStillShining

The MHRA are not the government and yes, in general terms I would trust people whose full time job it is to assess these things to assess the vaccine and approve if they consider it to be safe and to have value.

The MHRA are not the only regulatory body in the world and there will no doubt be scrutiny of their assessment. If they were under orders just to rubber stamp it regardless that could have been done weeks ago.

Obviously it's open to anyone who has concerns not to have the vaccine and wait for other regulators to approve/Pfizer, moderna etc to be widely available.

We have a fraction of the information that is no doubt available to the decision makers so even if we had the skill set to assess the data (which I suspect few do, myself included) it isn't currently possible to do so in a meaningful way.

Oaktree55 · 27/12/2020 19:12

@Sunshinegirl82 I don’t think anyone in their right mind would argue the Oxford Vaccine is worthless even at 62%. My argument is I think there’s better and is it the best option for the most at risk? Evidently an efficacious vaccine is better than no vaccine. As a supposed world leader I’d have expected the U.K. to have as good a choice as other leading countries. That’s my point we need the best to get us out of this situation sooner rather than later. Let’s not mess it up again with a poor relation.

Wakeupin2022 · 27/12/2020 19:12

I have got to ask the question?

Is it the fact that Oxford is a UK development that some people don't trust it?

Just like everything the UK does is bad?

FeelingBIue · 27/12/2020 19:13

Oaktree55

A bit of reality about the Astra Zenica share price which, according to you, has 'tanked'.

AZ Share Price in the past 52 weeks:-

High = 10,120
Low =5,871
Current price = 7,223

Not quite tanked.

Interesting comparison with Pfizer share price:

High 43.08
Low - 27.88
Current price - 37.27

QueenStromba · 27/12/2020 19:15

@Wakeupin2022

I have got to ask the question?

Is it the fact that Oxford is a UK development that some people don't trust it?

Just like everything the UK does is bad?

No, it's the fact that the trial was a steaming turd.
Oaktree55 · 27/12/2020 19:15

@FeelingBIue not really following your logic. 52 weeks is a long time. AZ tanked on data release.

Oaktree55 · 27/12/2020 19:16

@QueenStromba 🤣someone’s on my page at least

Wakeupin2022 · 27/12/2020 19:19

Queen i don't deny the trial was poor. But its been said on here earlier today that the Chinese vaccine had 87% efficacy yet no data has been published to back that claim up. It was ok though as they trust the UAE.

Its getting slated because we don't know if there is asymptomatic spread- yet i don't think we know that for other vaccines either?

So why noy question that of Pfizer too - why only Oxford? I'm all for criticism but it needs to be fair too and balanced and not singling out one particular vaccine.

Oaktree55 · 27/12/2020 19:22

@Wakeupin2022 if you care to read back I corrected myself re Sinopharm and said yes wait for Brazil data. Oxford has been a total hash. Fact. Schoolboy errors throughout. Please just read up off this forum it’s all there.

TheSunIsStillShining · 27/12/2020 19:28

@Wakeupin2022

I have got to ask the question?

Is it the fact that Oxford is a UK development that some people don't trust it?

Just like everything the UK does is bad?

For me: NO. That's Sputnik :) But this year the brits didn't excel at anything, rather the contrary :(

I am more with Oak on this one more. If there is reliable data than I don't give a rat's ass about who actually came up with it. But at this point the data is slightly questionable. And that scares the hell out of me.

Sunshinegirl82 · 27/12/2020 19:28

@Oaktree55

I actually think the U.K. have done a pretty good job of sourcing vaccines. The vaccines preordered were spread over a sensible variety of technologies (both old and new) and purchased in pretty large numbers. Given that at the time no one knew what, if anything, would work the approach seems pretty reasonable.

If you are looking purely at efficacy then it may be that Pfizer is better (although with such limited data it's impossible to properly assess) but its instability presents huge logistical challenges which cannot be ignored. It's been said before but I think it's important that we don't let the perfect become the enemy of the good.

Is Oxford the right solution for now? Will we, with the benefit of hindsight look back and think we should have taken a different course? I don't know to be honest. I think we're probably in a situation however where doing something is better than doing nothing. Eventually someone, somewhere has to make a decision to do something and pick a course and hope it's the right one.

Every week that goes past as things stand huge amounts of harm are being caused by both covid and the measures taken to respond to covid. I don't think we can afford to let a decent opportunity to make a difference go past on the off chance that a better solution is just around the corner. A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush as my Nan would say!

MarshaBradyo · 27/12/2020 19:30

Sun do you feel differently about MRHA?

You don’t have to trust government or companies if you do the above.

If you don’t than that is harder, I doubt anyone can convince you. Btw off topic was it you that thought about the island scheme?

QueenStromba · 27/12/2020 19:31

@Wakeupin2022

Queen i don't deny the trial was poor. But its been said on here earlier today that the Chinese vaccine had 87% efficacy yet no data has been published to back that claim up. It was ok though as they trust the UAE.

Its getting slated because we don't know if there is asymptomatic spread- yet i don't think we know that for other vaccines either?

So why noy question that of Pfizer too - why only Oxford? I'm all for criticism but it needs to be fair too and balanced and not singling out one particular vaccine.

Personally I think that all of the trials have been insufficient. On the Oxford side they at least bothered to try to collect data on asymptomatic cases, against them is messing up the dosing regimen and then trying to claim high efficacy based on the small sample where they made the mistake. I doubt Pfizer is any better when it comes to asymptomatic cases.
Wakeupin2022 · 27/12/2020 19:33

But this year the brits didn't excel at anything, rather the contrary

I absolutely disagree with you there. I think you can't see past the UK govt and fail to see the good that so many in the UK do.

FeelingBIue · 27/12/2020 19:33

[quote Oaktree55]@FeelingBIue not really following your logic. 52 weeks is a long time. AZ tanked on data release.[/quote]
No it didn't. Lowest point was March 2020.

As for not following the logic of 52 week, it's a very common time-scale used to show the ups and downs of share price over time.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread
Sunshinegirl82 · 27/12/2020 19:35

I would disagree that the U.K. hasn't done anything well.

We do the most genome testing in the world (approx 45% of all coronavirus genome testing has taken place in the U.K.)

We ran the very successful Recovery trial which identified Dexamethasone as an effective treatment. That study is still providing valuable data on treatment options.

We have at least 3 homegrown vaccine candidates using 3 different types of technology.

You might think the government are useless (and I wouldn't necessarily agree with you) but it's not all bad.

Sunshinegirl82 · 27/12/2020 19:39

*wouldn't necessarily disagree with you!

TheSunIsStillShining · 27/12/2020 19:40

@Wakeupin2022

But this year the brits didn't excel at anything, rather the contrary

I absolutely disagree with you there. I think you can't see past the UK govt and fail to see the good that so many in the UK do.

I am open to discuss. Please list your examples.
sashagabadon · 27/12/2020 19:40

I think that’s rather harsh TheSun. My Hungarian colleague at work says her family back home in Hungary are getting the Sputnik vaccine whether they like it or not due to a deal with putin and the Hungarian president and she is rather glad to be here in the U.K. and wished her family was here too.
Plus the U.K. have contributed plenty of value to help the world fight the pandemic. There is the ongoing huge nhs trials for all sorts of treatments for a starter plus the thousands of brits that have volunteered to be vaccine Guinea pigs. The discovery of the super cheap plentiful steroid treatment is another example. How many vaccines are being trialled here now? Most of the major ones have or had used U.K. volunteers.
Vaccine roll out is going pretty well too, lots of other countries learning from our experiences which is useful and helpful for them.

Wakeupin2022 · 27/12/2020 19:42

TheSun they have been listed over & over again when you have made similar statements before.

TheSunIsStillShining · 27/12/2020 19:45

@sashagabadon
From totally reliable sources (which I can't link as they are under NDA so I understand if you say hearsay) I know that H. -atm- won't vaccinate with Sputnik.
That is in the media circulating, but the regulatory body and hospital association (I have friends in both) are outright saying no. Also the EU is putting pressure on all countries to only vaccinate with something that has been approved by the EU as well. Not just the country.
What is most likely to happen is that they will have to buy a lot of Sputnik from Putin and it will be widely available to buy.

Oaktree55 · 27/12/2020 19:48

Fact remains even in best case, rose tinted glasses view and Oxford is the saving grace at 1million doses rollout a week (which is optimistic) we won’t be through the vulnerable by Easter and opening up after vaccinating only the vulnerable leaves us (and the world) wide open to vaccine escape. I just don’t think it’s realistic to think it’s back to normal at Easter and I think people’s expectations need managing.

sashagabadon · 27/12/2020 19:48

Also TheSun you were criticising the U.K. vaccine roll out data the other day and said you had seen examples of other countries that had superior data presentation and you were going to find this so we could follow it too. Any luck finding this data yet? Or links to the sources?

sashagabadon · 27/12/2020 19:51

[quote TheSunIsStillShining]@sashagabadon
From totally reliable sources (which I can't link as they are under NDA so I understand if you say hearsay) I know that H. -atm- won't vaccinate with Sputnik.
That is in the media circulating, but the regulatory body and hospital association (I have friends in both) are outright saying no. Also the EU is putting pressure on all countries to only vaccinate with something that has been approved by the EU as well. Not just the country.
What is most likely to happen is that they will have to buy a lot of Sputnik from Putin and it will be widely available to buy.[/quote]
Not what my colleague said is saying at all. Sputnik vaccine already in Hungary and being rolled out ASAP. Hungary have ( like the U.K.) bypassed the EU vaccine procurement and bought direct from Putin. She might be wrong but she follow Hungarian politics quite closely and has lots of family there obvs. She is concerned for them and very glad to be living here.

redcandlelight · 27/12/2020 19:51

hundreds british tourists flee swiss ski resort

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