I also find it a bit odd that for months and months now people have been saying 'wait 2 weeks, the deaths will rise!'. The infection level if phenomonal now if we look at the stats, and deaths are still quite low (thankfully). There could be a few reasons for this f curse, and its probably a mix of a few reasons, better teeatments, less vulnerable people catching it (seems to be making its way round the young), potentially the virus mutating to be a bit less dangerous, masks maybe making people get lower viral loads, and so on.
We were going to have thousands of deaths after VE day. Then after beaches. Then protests. Then pubs. And so on. Leves have risen with schools, but that was always going to happen, luckily, it doesn't seem that deaths are rising too quickly like we would expect based on March, but of course theres the potential also for it to get out of hand very quickly too.
Also feel like I should say here, I am all for most of the restrictions. The only one I think it OTT and quite..nasty almost (especially for elderly people) is the no seeing family thing. Even if you can see family but only outdoors as in some places, thats harsh on many older people as they maybe not able to go outdoors!
Unfortunately, when the 'no seeing anyone outside your household at all (except for work, schl and public transport, and shopping and pubs) thing hit, near everyone I know started ignoring the rules. Well, that one in particular, the government lost control of most here with that one rule, which is hugely unsustainable long term so I don't even know why they did it really. When even the Cummings thing seemed to make not much difference to compliance round here..