Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses

[BigChocFrenzy]

This is pure data, NOT for the "worried about Corona"

We welcome calm factual, data-driven contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these and avoid emotional venting or politics
📈 📉 📊 👍

Resource links

UK:
Uk dashboard R, deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - by postcode, 4 nations, English regions, LAs
Interactive 7-day rolling cases map click on map or by postcode
UK govt pressers Slides & data
SAGE Table Interventions with impacts and R
Imperial UK weekly tables & extrapolations LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots
School statistics Attendance - Tuesdays
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports
UK testing and NHS England track & trace - Thursdays
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
ONS England, Wales & NI Infection surveillance report - Fridays
ONS Datasets for surveillance reports
Our World in Data UK test positivity
R estimates & daily growth UK & English regions - Fridays
Modelling real number of UK infections February in first wave

England:
NHS England Hospital activity
NHS England Daily deaths
PHE COVID Clinical Risk Factors Non-respiratory by region, area, district etc
Cases Tracker England Local Government
PHE surveillance reports Covid, flu, respiratory diseases - Thursdays
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England

Scotland, Wales, NI:
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard

COVID-19 Risk Factors
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment
PHE Clinical RFs - summary & social vulnerability indicators
PHE Clinical RFs - respiratory disease
PHE Clinical RFs - non-respiratory - CVD,T1, T2, obesity, flu jab coverage
PHE Non-Clinical RFs - deprivation, demography, economic inactivity, ethnicity
PHE Non-Clinical RFs - Vulnerable Groups (1): care / nursing home, MH, visual disabilities
PHE Non-Clinical RFs - homeless, children in care, ESL

Miscell:
Zoe Uk data
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Local Mobility Reports for countries
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery
NHS Triage Dashboard Pathways - triages of symptoms
NHS Triage Dashboard Progression - # people pillar 1&2, # triages

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮

People have just put personal messages in case @BigChocFrenzy peeks in, it looks like her account has been deleted so this was the only place I could do so. Some of us liked her style and it's constructive when somebody is hurt to let them know that.

IceCreamSummer seems to have deleted hers as well.

I'm amazed that you are happy with all the messages MRex, you are normally the first to pull people up on anything not data related.

I'm not sure what there is to like in telling people to fuck off but each to their own.

@bigchocfrenzy
You are a fucking LEGEND 💜

Shrillharridan you realise that isn't the same as telling people to fuck off?

@FingonTheValiant

Oh found it, 184 hospital deaths in 24 hours and 114 in care homes since Tuesday.

Oh @Fingon I read that earlier so sad today’s numbers again. Take care

7 day moving average - past month - for English regions.

North East looks a lot more positive (as in 7 day average largely flat)

The two recent big number reporting days clearly impacting most though.

Thanks Coquohvan

I found this piece on the BBC really interesting. It is explaining why covid is so dangerous. www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54648684

There's a thread attacking that article for scaremongering

regional 7 day rolling positivity rates

@boys3

regional 7 day rolling positivity rates

That's quite stark, isn't it! The localisation of the last few weeks may be on the turn.

There's a thread attacking that article for scaremongering Yes I saw that, it's written by a journalist so you have to accept they are selling a story. I still thought there was some interesting information in there.

It;s quite mixed picture in the SW though isn't it @ancientgran

Exeter improving after the initial Uni surge, Bristol and BCP not so great.

Overall though a fair number with a lower rate in the past seven days as opposed to the seven prior to that - caveat going up to the 20th does risk further cases being yet to add. I'll have to see if these graphs still look the same tomorrow evening.

All in the context of the English median cases per 100,000 being over 120 per 100,000 in the seven days to 20th Oct.

ancientgran - you're the one who usually goes off on a tangent, wittering on about all sorts of things not data related. I don't think this thread is going to be as useful now.

I don't think we often reference Googlebox on these threads. However final segment of the show that has just finished was on Andrew Marr with Michael Gove and the 9 billion cost (so far) of track & trace. To which the Leeds lasses comment was we could have had security guards stood outside everyone who should be self-isolating.

At £25k a pop (full cost of employment but probably on the high side) that would pay for 360,000 of them for a year; or 720,000 if just a six month contract.

She may have had a point.

Googlebox???? Gogglebox

Anecdata alert. Dd Is at Bristol uni and commented that people came back to term much later there than friends at Newcastle, Manchester, Leeds and Notts.

The surge in Infections has been slower ( She thinks time rather than behaviour related) but things are noticeably changing now.

Nottingham, city, looking better - but about to mightily irritate some its suburbs - the districts within the conurbation all double figure positivity, and creeping up too.

and in the hope that focus and civility returns suggested bedtime reading.

Bristol Uni is reporting 1,152 cases amongst the students and 25 amongst staff in the period Oct 7-23; over that period Bristol reported an overall 2,129, meaning the Uni accounts for more than half by itself.

www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/coronavirus-cases-bristol-university-soared-4635706

Yes Patricia, and looking at the map the purple areas are in the centre and Stoke Bishop which corresponds with halls.

Interestingly, Redland and Clifton where 2nd and 3rd years rent are lagging behind. It could be less close contact out if halls, or ( as I suspect) less push to test.

And that would fit with this from the PHE Surveillance data - showing greater incidence in Uni Year 1.

Cathy have we got a map of bristol?

boys3 BCP is less than great. Three senior schools complety closed, senior schools with whole years isolating, two special schools closed, loads of primary with classes isolating. Three nurserys shut. This combined with the idea that as we are in the 'sauf" we were hit hard in March which was a lie (South often gets lumped with London)
This combined with the poor hospital facilities (recent combination of two major hospitals for the detriment of many) and poor road structures (no motorway to ship sick people) and the high incident of elderly means we are fucked. Add all the above to the hidden deprevation, the reliance on hospitality /tourism and the fact that our cunt of an MP, who constantly votes against welfare support, is blind to what is happening in his ward means that before long we will understand what RTB is saying.

Side note, I am sad at what has happened. There are so few spaces for intelligent women, we have enough outside forces trying to silence us, we should support each other regardless of our viewpoints.

@Keepdistance

Cathy have we got a map of bristol?

This is from the Govt stats map -

Another one here saying please don't go @BigChocFrenzy ! Feel free to take a break, you don't owe us anything... but don't go forever!