Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 26

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 26 of the daily updates

Resource links

UK:
Uk dashboard R, deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - by postcode, 4 nations, English regions, LAs
Interactive 7-day rolling cases map click on map or by postcode
UK govt pressers Slides & data
SAGE Table Interventions with impacts and R
Imperial UK weekly tables & extrapolations LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots
School statistics Attendance - Tuesdays
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports
UK testing and NHS England track & trace - Thursdays
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
ONS England, Wales & NI Infection surveillance report - Fridays
ONS Datasets for surveillance reports
Our World in Data UK test positivity
R estimates & daily growth UK & English regions - Fridays
Modelling real number of UK infections February in first wave

England:
NHS England Hospital activity
NHS England Daily deaths
PHE COVID Clinical Risk Factors Non-respiratory by region, area, district etc
MSAO Map of English cases
Cases Tracker England Local Government
PHE surveillance reports Covid, flu, respiratory diseases - Thursdays
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England

Scotland, Wales, NI:
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard

Miscell:
Zoe Uk data
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment
Local Mobility Reports for countries
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery
NHS Triage Dashboard Pathways - triages of symptoms
NHS Triage Dashboard Progression - # people pillar 1&2, # triages

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
📈 📉 📊 👍

Thanks for sharing that Patricia, not as alarming.

JVT is impressive, he is so calm and clear with his presentation.

Love JVT

Interesting day to do the dataset merge, when they want to batter Burnham.

And isn't Boris Johnson a terrible contrast. He's bad enough in his own right but straight after JVT really shows how bad he is.

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/oct/20/sage-experts-warn-of-impact-of-covid-policies-on-young-generation-z-harm-pandemic-coronavirus

Children and young people are at risk of becoming a “lost generation” because of the UK government’s pandemic policies, members of Sage have warned.

Those aged seven to 24, sometimes called generation Z, have largely avoided the direct health impact of the coronavirus.

But, say the government’s scientific advisers, they risk being “catastrophically” hit by the “collateral damage” wrought by the crisis.

The Guardian understands that some advisers on the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), which feeds directly into UK government decision-making,
warned ministers “several” times about the risks to people in this age group but believe they were “brushed aside”.

Interesting when the excellent JVT said 'the Prime Minster wanted me to concentrate on GManchester' not 'I want to show' semantics are interesting.

UK to spend £30m on trials infecting young people to hasten Covid vaccine

That's an example of a trial that needs participants to be at least 18+

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/20/covid-firm-secures-10m-to-infect-young-volunteers-to-hasten-vaccine

Some scientists have reservations about exposing volunteers to a virus for which there is no cure,
although there are some treatments that have been shown to help, such as the antiviral remdesivir that is proven to reduce the length of a hospital stay
and two steroids have been shown to save lives.

But proponents argue that the risks of coronavirus to young and healthy people are low and the benefits to society high.

@Regulus

Interesting when the excellent JVT said 'the Prime Minster wanted me to concentrate on GManchester' not 'I want to show' semantics are interesting.

Yes I liked this part and noticed it I used to do it at work when I didn’t agree with my director 😬

@BigChocFrenzy I think you need to read the latest (not yet peer reviewed) paper suggesting ADE might be at play. If it is then we’ll all shortly know what real problems are!

Heat map for GM:

@BigChocFrenzy

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/oct/20/sage-experts-warn-of-impact-of-covid-policies-on-young-generation-z-harm-pandemic-coronavirus

Children and young people are at risk of becoming a “lost generation” because of the UK government’s pandemic policies, members of Sage have warned.

Those aged seven to 24, sometimes called generation Z, have largely avoided the direct health impact of the coronavirus.

But, say the government’s scientific advisers, they risk being “catastrophically” hit by the “collateral damage” wrought by the crisis.

The Guardian understands that some advisers on the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), which feeds directly into UK government decision-making,
warned ministers “several” times about the risks to people in this age group but believe they were “brushed aside”.

No surprise I agree with this

[quote Oaktree55]@BigChocFrenzy I think you need to read the latest (not yet peer reviewed) paper suggesting ADE might be at play. If it is then we’ll all shortly know what real problems are![/quote]
...
Thousands of papers atm and she does ring the alarm bell at every opportunity, just as the Gt Barrington lot deny everything

We shouldn't panic over one paper, at least not until we see the scientific consensus about it

@BigChocFrenzy I’m glad you think that lots of immunologists aren’t so sure.

I dont trust any case data, I was looking at hospital bed use. However if track and trace is failing even more than before the position is not likely to stay good.

ADE has been raised as a possibility before, but so far consensus has been that there is insufficient evidence of this happening
Even Hyde is warning against panic

I'll wait for more independent scientists to review this paper - if a genuine threat, they'll soon pick it up

Agree but whilst there are still unknowns like this we should be as cautious as possible and prevent infection in as many as possible.

Agree but whilst there are still unknowns like this we should be as cautious as possible and prevent infection in as many as possible. Very true, no good reason to be reckless.

Waiting list data just won’t be accurate I’m afraid even we’re it to become available. I was told in May I needed an operation by my consultant, but that they couldn’t even put me on the waiting list because they had suspended the waiting lists in the trust for all but emergency / urgent operations. I exist, my condition won’t magically go away, but I’m not on any official list. I am sadly replicated many thousands of times up and down the country.

Ah thanks @ancientgran wise words 😉

Apart from the Great Barrington lot, noone is suggesting let it rip - and not even all of them are

There needs to be a balance
As the WHO have said: "lockdowns make poor people poorer"
So do many other govt measures
e.g. as will likely continue in GM

The link upthread has listed how the most deprived children are suffering and will continue to suffer,
because of SD and govt shutdown measures to combat Covid

As soon as the clown get a question related to GM he starts to stammer and spit out stupidity to stall until he comes up with a generic answer. It's pathetic

The thought of trusting that clown and his circus with even more powers makes me shudder

There needs to be HoC debate and votes on new measures, not rule by dictat

Did anyone work out how much money GM will get?

Still emphasising local approach. I agree overall