Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 24

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 24 of the daily updates

Resource links

UK:
Uk dashboard deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - 4 nations, English regions & LAs
UK govt pressers Slides & data
R estimates UK & English regions
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots
School statistics Attendance
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
Modelling real number of UK infections February to date

England:
NHS England Hospital activity
NHS England Daily deaths
MSAO Map of English cases
Cases Tracker England Local Government
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday
ONS MSAO Map English deaths
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA
PHE surveillance reports Covid, flu, respiratory diseases
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England

Scotland, Wales, NI:
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard

Miscell:
Zoe Uk data
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment
Local Mobility Reports for countries
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
📈 📉 📊 👍

Have they mentioned picking up more info on transmission being indoors and not outdoors in UK cases?

Sounds like Liverpool agreed to govt proposals but other areas are still negotiating, maybe not in agreement with e.g. being in tier 3 and closing bars etc and / or wanting more financial support

Thanks bigchoc. Yes that's what I thought too

Local papers/media on social media for Grt Man and West Yorkshire are already reporting they are in tier 2

Well those restrictions are going to work wonderfully in Greater Manchester where rates have been rapidly rising since September and have jumped significantly this last week under stricter conditions
It's going to be reviewed in 4 weeks is that right? Will they review it earlier if things change significantly before then?

@SistemaAddict

Well those restrictions are going to work wonderfully in Greater Manchester where rates have been rapidly rising since September and have jumped significantly this last week under stricter conditions It's going to be reviewed in 4 weeks is that right? Will they review it earlier if things change significantly before then?

So restrictions are being loosened in high rate areas?

Feels the opposite of simplified

Ah, cross post. The media are evidently ahead of themselves although a GM
MP tweeted that Matt Hancock had said GM was tier 2. I'd say I'd wait for Boris later but I'm likely to be even mire confused by his bumbling mumbling one man muppet show

@MarshaBradyo yep. Preston is already under local restrictions and so are some of Manchester I think. Seems they're now saying not confirmed tier 2 and still discussing? But media reporting tier 2, and I know lancs and GM were fighting not to be tier 3

Is anyone else surprised by Nottingham apparently being tied 2?

I suspect when they drew up the restrictions they expected the likes of GM to be tier 3.... and they have caved to local politicians pleas.

It's ridiculous those areas are having things relaxed

Andy burnham said before Boris announcement GM were tier 2

@NoGoodPunsLeft

Is anyone else surprised by Nottingham apparently being tied 2?

Local politicians are insisting that it's purely student issue

Coronavirus LIVE UK updates as Greater Manchester put in 'Tier 2' lockdown - avoiding toughest new rules www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronavirus-live-uk-updates-tough-19087229

"Greater Manchester will reportedly be placed in the second category - Tier 2 - a Greater Manchester MP has tweeted after a Zoom call with Matt Hancock. "

What do you think the chances of this lasting as it is by the end of the week?

Complete shitshow.

@NoGoodPunsLeft

Is anyone else surprised by Nottingham apparently being tied 2?

Not with the numbers its got.

@BigChocFrenzy

UK today (yesterday, then previous days are in brackets)

Cases 13,972 (12,872, 15,166, 13,864)
Deaths 65 ... (65, 81, 87)

Today's deaths are 50

Hi, I've lurked here since the beginning. When Barracker's amazing volcano charts helped us make sense of the daily case reporting. Since then I've found this a haven of objectivity and measured discussion.

I'm also in favour of splitting the thread so that those who want to discuss the data regarding schools (or lack thereof) have their own space to explore their views. And i say that as a mother of two school children. Right now I struggle to keep up with the volume of posts as the arguments made are circular.

Will London he put into Tier 2 as asserted by newspapers this morning?

Knowsley isn't students.
Maybe that was the thinking: where the high numbers are considered to include a significant student "bulge" you escape tier 3.

not yet apparently

@RedToothBrush

MP askes why Halton is in Tier 3 with a number of lower cases than other places which are not. Johnson doesn't answer the question.

I'm baffled.

Totally baffled.

The whole thing is a nonsense.

We need a coherent joined up national approach. Local input, yes, but the approach should be a national one.

Wondering if anyone's got any data on the flu jab take-up so far?

ooh there is a new chart on the dashboard

Daily change in reported cases by specimen date

I've seen these on twitter but useful to have here as well. Only on the nation numbers though.

Looking at the numbers in and around the student areas in Leeds, the numbers have gone down a bit. Not enough to change colour, but they are a little lower.

Too early to draw conclusions. It could be testing changes, Uni mandated lockdown restrictions, or hopefully it may be starting to naturally tail off in that population.

We need a coherent joined up national approach. Local input, yes, but the approach should be a national one

Disagree. Local decisions should be made locally, within a government framework. Local accountability. Same with schools (gulp).

So ridiculously confusing!

It should be clear and objective, not MPs and councils bargaining.

It should be x cases per 100,000 per council for a 7 day period, tier 2 and x for level 3. In level 1, restrictions mean xyz etc. 7 days in the tier up or down you change. Weekly list of tiers by council will be announced on Friday at 6pm. NHS app will also give you the tier of restrictions and details.

Why are they making it so hard, so subjective and so political!

Be like this thread and use data and analysis!

Does anyone know the specifics of tier 3? Have they been published anywhere yet?
Do they still permit support bubbles?