Hi Humphrey!
I fear we are in the calm before the storm tbh. Schools only went back yesterday in some regions and next week in others. The effect of that will be crucial.
Masks are obligatory 6pm-6am where SD isn't possible (so nightlife basically) and still in shops (though that's at shop's own discretion) I believe (without knowing the science) that that level of compliance has to have had its effect somehow.
Cases are creeping up- in my town we have 10 cases (almost all traced to Malta, Croatia and Greece- testing on re-entry)
We've had a really normal summer- crowded beaches, nightspots etc. I've had teenage guests from the UK over who couldn't believe how normal life was (or that masks were non negotiable)
It's a waiting game now, but I do think we'll end up with a rise in cases that will set off some further restrictions and local lockdowns if necessary. Case of hope for the best prepare for the worst I suppose!
Iirc you are in France? How is it going?