Copied from The New Arab
“If this election had taken place a few months ago, when Keir Starmer was Prime Minister and the Greens still at their peak, the result would likely have looked very different,” Luke Tryl, UK Director of More in Common, told The New Arab.
“The result backs up what has been seen in the national opinion polls: Labour's support has risen and the Greens' popularity has dipped,” Mitya Pearson, associate professor at the University of Warwick, told The New Arab.
“This does not mean that the Labour Party can now ignore the Greens; clearly there is a group of voters on the left who are willing to defect away from Labour if they don't feel listened to,” she added. “However, Labour have arrested a lot of the Greens' previous momentum by changing leader.”
The Greens’ ability to sustain that pressure on Labour may now be complicated by their own divisions over the conference motion declaring “Zionism is Racism”. Passed on 4 October by 1,022 to 813, it commits the party to an explicitly anti-Zionist position and a single state.
Polanski missed the vote while campaigning and has since said he would have opposed it. The chair of Jewish Greens, meanwhile, has called for his resignation, while four of the party’s five MPs publicly opposed the motion.
Combined with criticism from Jewish organisations and the European Green Party’s distancing, the split risks fracturing the broader progressive coalition the Greens need if they are to keep pressuring Labour.
The move would appeal to many pro-Palestine voters. But along with showing divisions within the party, British political analysts suggest the motion had made Polanski and the Greens more polarising across the broader electorate.
It would still be premature to link the motion as the cause of the Holborn defeat. YouGov had already documented weakening Green support before the conference vote, and its effect in this constituency requires evidence from voters rather than assumptions based on timing.