Trotting out the “net migration is falling” line is completely meaningless with the context. Who is leaving? Who is arriving? If net migration falling is driven by skilled, educated people leaving, and the people arriving are unskilled, uneducated or worse, then it’s not good, is it? I’m not saying that is the case, but just citing the numbers is half the picture.
The people voting Reform, as far as I can see, are people who are seeing their standards of living fall, their job security fall, their cost of living rise, their ability to get decent housing on an ordinary wage very difficult. Alongside that, like all of us, they see things not working - basic infrastructure. They’ve seen, in their eyes, governments sit back and do nothing.
Labour needs to effectively and robustly tackle those issues and present some form of coherent, positive narrative or vision to win back those voters. There’s no point in trying to out-Reform Reform on immigration.
Two years ago, Labour won a landslide. I don’t believe that in the last two years, everyone has suddenly become racist (the lazy explanation for the results last week). What has happened is a party have rocked up with a charismatic (love him or hate him) style, who offer a convenient scapegoats (immigrants and “wokery”), and present simplistic solutions to complex problems. It’s hardly surprising the totally disenfranchised voters think you know what, I’ll give them a chance.
And I’m not a Reform voter - I think they’d be a disaster.