The same is true of women - we don't know how many women nursery workers are abusing children and not getting caught.
Look, I'm just saying that if you're going to use statistics to make a risk assessment about how likely your child is to be abused by a male nursery worker, use more relevant statistics. Because, well, probablility and maths and stuff.
Because I'm a data geek I did the maths as best as I could.
TLDR: Using the most doom-laden scenario planning I could, the chances that any given adult male in the UK is a child sex abuser is in the region of 0.02%. Meaning that there is a 99.08% chance that he is not.
The overwhelming majority of those incidents will happen where a man is least likely to be caught: at home. Then factor in all the additional safeguarding precautions that nurseries take with all their employees. Then add in all the extra attention to safeguarding that the horrific case in the news recently will have brought to every nursery in the country.
Now you may still think that this is an unacceptable risk to take, but I think it is a more useful statistic to bear in mind and elicits a more proportionate response than thinking solely about the figure 98% of all sex abuse being committed by men. There are 23 million men in England, and thank fuck that the overwhelming majority of them are not child sex abusers. Are not any type of abuser, in fact.
The long version with the maths for those who want to read it:
ONS figure for Total number of crimes flagged as child sexual abuse and/or relating to indecent images of children April 2024 to March 2025 (England): 122,938 (Fucking hell, I have no words).
Yes, we know there are crimes that don't go reported. We don't know how many, but Criminal Injuries Helpline whoever they are suggest about 72% of adults who 72% of adults who experienced sexual abuse as a child do not tell anyone at the time of the abuse, so I'll call it three quarters don't get reported and quadruple that first figure: 4 x 112,938 = 451,752.
98% of sexual crimes are by men, so 98% of that is: 442,717
(leaving 9.035 of sexual crimes against children committed by women)
Population over 18 in the UK in mid 2025: 46,437,085
49.25% are men (call it 50%) - 23,218,543
Assuming the most dangerous case scenario, that each CSA crime was committed by a different man (whereas in reality each guilty man will be responsible for multiple).
442,717 crimes divided by 23 million men: 0.019.
For each individual man in the UK, there is a 0.02% chance that he is a child sex abuser.
There is a 99.08% chance that he is not.