Agree. Already it’s estimated that, this year alone, over 16,500 millionaires will leave the UK. Whether you think ‘good riddance’ or not, the minimum tax per year that each millionaire would otherwise contribute is >500k. That’s over 8 billion a year, every year, that the country loses from its coffers. That pays for an awful lot of PIP payments!
And that 8 billion doesn’t cover the cumulative effect of their staff and businesses also leaving, nor of lost expenditure such as restaurants, rent or shopping they do.
If that rate continues even for a few years, then the UK will forfeit tens of billions every year that we are sadly unlikely to get back, and will have much less chance as a country to balance the books without massively increasing taxes on the ‘middle earners’ and/or decreasing public services for all.
I’ve been looking into this recently as more of our clients are relocating this year or are thinking about it! Many of them have dual nationality or are non-British so don’t really have many qualms about leaving from a ‘citizenship’ perspective; often they already lead quite international lives.
Although this is only my opinion based on conversations I’m having lately, the general perception is that the wealthy no longer feel as welcome or safe as they used to in the UK. Some of this is caused by Brexit, but the non-dom changes (even if they aren’t non-doms), the VAT on school fees, the long NHS waiting lists and the perception of rising crime and of a general ‘eat the rich’ narrative also pay a part.
It is worrying to me as we are, in the UK, already more dependent on higher earners than one might expect. We are more reliant on high earners than, say, the Scandinavian model (which generally taxes all workers heavily, not just the highest earners). Over 60% of all income tax receipts comes from the top 10% of earners - which is anyone that earns over £59k approximately.
Even if one’s political leanings tempt you to ‘tax the rich’, my view is that the indirect effect will paradoxically result in higher taxes for all.