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Reform UK neck and neck with Labour?

1000 replies

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:09

Absolutely shocked to read that in a poll Reform UK are neck and neck with Labour...

About 25% polling share for Reform and Labour.

I thought Blair was the worst PM ever, but Starmer seems to be giving him a run for his money.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
28
paranoiaofpufflings · 10/01/2025 12:18

What poll are you referring to? Most polls are created with a purpose and agenda. They are not a reliable evidence of anything.

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 12:18

Organicpears · 10/01/2025 12:17

Rather than banning reform for the reason you state maybe Labour and Conservatives should take a long hard look at why there is so much support in the north and act on that ?

Labour have been in for barely enough time to switch on the computers at their offices. If the people were more patient they would see that turning this country around will take a lot of time. But they will do it. Just not quickly enough for Reform to get enough support which is why something needs to be done, and quickly.

TypingoftheDead · 10/01/2025 12:19

BigSilly · 10/01/2025 12:14

I also can't remember the last time I was seen by a specialist doctor who wasn't an immigrant, I hope we have plenty of British specialists/consultants waiting to fill those gaps
We will if we train them.

It’s not just the training, it’s whether there are people here wanting to train for those jobs, or could be encouraged to consider them over other roles they could do at the same level.

Ali85 · 10/01/2025 12:20

letsallchant · 10/01/2025 11:33

Think back now, all the way to June: how many seats were Reform predicted to win in the general election? And how many did they actually get?

I believe in taking polls seriously but not too seriously. Reform as a new and unconventionally run party have some things in the favour but are lacking in others like activists on the ground. Labour shouldn't be complacent but neither should Reform.

I'm not quite sure what you mean by this Think back now, all the way to June: how many seats were Reform predicted to win in the general election? And how many did they actually get? My recollection is that Reform were not predicted to get many, if any, seats despite doing reasonably well in the popular vote (for a new party) because of the ffp system. E.g. this research from June predicting no seats https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49606-first-yougov-mrp-of-2024-general-election-shows-labour-on-track-to-beat-1997-landslide but they got 5.

If you're suggesting that the reporting from June exaggerated Reform's prospects then I'm not sure that is correct.

First YouGov MRP of 2024 general election shows Labour on track to beat 1997 landslide | YouGov

Not only would Starmer’s majority be bigger than the number Tony Blair achieved in 1997 (179), but it would in fact be the second largest majority in British political history after Stanley Baldwin’s figure of 210 in 1924.

https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49606-first-yougov-mrp-of-2024-general-election-shows-labour-on-track-to-beat-1997-landslide

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 12:20

Crikeyalmighty · 10/01/2025 12:15

Oh and @NeatDog you are hardly neutral if you thought Blair was the worst PM - I thought he was the best - you have to give it to Reform though, they have a nice little army of foot soldiers out there bigging them up- without delving into actual policy

Blair invaded Iraq on the basis of a made you dossier. Couple of million Iraqis dead.

The disintegration of Iraq then allowed IS to take control.

Yeah, awesome PM.

OP posts:
Upstartled · 10/01/2025 12:20

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 12:13

Oh goody, free speech! Now Daz the bricky and Janice the hairdresser can post endlessly on social media about ‘dem immigrunts’ because free speech. Well how wonderful, the world feels so much better already.

You've accidentally made an interesting point. While the middle classes have convinced themselves that we live in a post- class age, it's just tribes y'know, it seems that a political discourse willing to discuss the concerns of the working class has, of course, disrupted the business of the established parties.

How Starmer can think he did anything other than seal the dea when when waved away the concerns of so many as far right brainwashing is beyond me. This is really dangerous on so many levels now and they will deliver us into the hands of Reform unless they act to represent the electorate and not lecture them about the form of their concerns.

PandoraSox · 10/01/2025 12:20

New poster.

No link.

Funny that.

JHound · 10/01/2025 12:20

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:15

By replacing the Japanese with people from other parts of the world?

If there are no Japanese people, Japan is gone. Others might inhabit the territory.

Edited

See the racism I am talking about here ^^?

Japanese are people of Japan. Somebody migrating to Japan and having family and being generations deep in the country are Japanese.

You sound like the kind of person who thinks race precludes somebody from actually being FROM certain countries.

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:20

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 12:17

The world is global now, and there is really no need for individual countries with borders and the petty tribalism that comes with it. Japan should be more welcoming of people from other cultures because they will work hard and increase the economy, look after the elderly, and bring with them great food and different perspectives.

Are all perspectives equal? I mean, if I went to Japan, I would go because I wanted to experience Japan, not some big homogenous worldwide global culture which is the same as my own at home. What you are proposing is anti culture.

Pinetreethree · 10/01/2025 12:20

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:14

But is it not a failure in critical thinking to attack the messenger rather than the message? Can we take who said it out of the frame and focus on what is being said?

That would be a silly move, given that he is saying it for his own gain. I could say "it's great Musk is highlighting this, what a great guy!", but his reason for doing so is obvious, so although it is being highlighted, it is paving the way for a misogynistic man with very questionable morals, the backing of Trump and a hell of a lot of money and sway to get involved in the politics of our country.

By all means let's take the message, while firmly telling Musk to stay out of UK politics.

EuclidianGeometryFan · 10/01/2025 12:21

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:47

I was thinking about immigration last night, on some level, every single problem the UK faces is made worse by mass immigration.

For instance, we've got a housing crisis and massive rents. If we didn't have mass immigration there would be more houses to go around. I'll be honest, I don't think Labour building on greenbelt is the right thing to do...

I can think of several benefits of mass immigration easily:

Cheap labour, suppression of wages
People willing to do jobs that others don't want to do, such as farm labouring and care work
Taxes paid to prop up the current system: we have too few workers for the number of pensioners, so the 'triangle' of population, with more workers of lower age and few pensioners at the top, has broken.

Of course, these are all benefits to the current system, the existing order of things, the ruling classes, the ones who benefit financially.
Your mistake is to see "the UK" as a single thing - whereas different groupings within the UK have very different goals and economic interests.

TorroFerney · 10/01/2025 12:22

oakleaffy · 10/01/2025 11:35

People on poorer parts of U.K. ( most affected by unchecked migration) are sick of it - plus grooming gangs &c

Brexit was a disaster sold on the lies of stopping illegal migrants coming in .

Well yes, if it’s your daughter being groomed (even if that’s been allowed to happen because you are a shit parent and have no idea how to look after a child) then what would you do? Would imagine that a lot of us pontificating on this thread are not going to be in that situation. Remember a labour minister saying that the suggestion that some benefit claimants spent the money on fags and booze and tv’s was just ridiculous. Really, obviously never been to a really deprived area where parents don’t parent and do just that. Who do we think they are voting for?

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:22

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 12:20

Blair invaded Iraq on the basis of a made you dossier. Couple of million Iraqis dead.

The disintegration of Iraq then allowed IS to take control.

Yeah, awesome PM.

All all these Labour lovers know this was on the basis of knowingly false claims and information. Yet they are steadfast in their belief that Labour and their ilk are still best placed to be the arbiters of what's true and what's "disinformation".

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:23

Pinetreethree · 10/01/2025 12:20

That would be a silly move, given that he is saying it for his own gain. I could say "it's great Musk is highlighting this, what a great guy!", but his reason for doing so is obvious, so although it is being highlighted, it is paving the way for a misogynistic man with very questionable morals, the backing of Trump and a hell of a lot of money and sway to get involved in the politics of our country.

By all means let's take the message, while firmly telling Musk to stay out of UK politics.

I think the UK is on fire. I don't care who points it out.

Upstartled · 10/01/2025 12:24

PandoraSox · 10/01/2025 12:20

New poster.

No link.

Funny that.

Voting intention: 8th Jan 2025 - Find Out Now https://search.app/1spjsEGTLWMH6M1s6

Here. I think.

https://search.app/1spjsEGTLWMH6M1s6

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:24

EuclidianGeometryFan · 10/01/2025 12:21

I can think of several benefits of mass immigration easily:

Cheap labour, suppression of wages
People willing to do jobs that others don't want to do, such as farm labouring and care work
Taxes paid to prop up the current system: we have too few workers for the number of pensioners, so the 'triangle' of population, with more workers of lower age and few pensioners at the top, has broken.

Of course, these are all benefits to the current system, the existing order of things, the ruling classes, the ones who benefit financially.
Your mistake is to see "the UK" as a single thing - whereas different groupings within the UK have very different goals and economic interests.

Can you identify some of the downsides of mass migration too?

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 12:25

EuclidianGeometryFan · 10/01/2025 12:21

I can think of several benefits of mass immigration easily:

Cheap labour, suppression of wages
People willing to do jobs that others don't want to do, such as farm labouring and care work
Taxes paid to prop up the current system: we have too few workers for the number of pensioners, so the 'triangle' of population, with more workers of lower age and few pensioners at the top, has broken.

Of course, these are all benefits to the current system, the existing order of things, the ruling classes, the ones who benefit financially.
Your mistake is to see "the UK" as a single thing - whereas different groupings within the UK have very different goals and economic interests.

"Suppression of wages" is a good thing? I stopped reading after that..

Someone does a job, an immigrant then does the job for less money and that's a good thing?

Is that you Starmer?

OP posts:
ilovesooty · 10/01/2025 12:25

NeatDog · 10/01/2025 11:28

What is this "disinformation" people speak of?

I'm sure you can find out.

CuddlyDodoToy · 10/01/2025 12:26

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 11:28

Reform need to be banned immediately before they start to get political traction amongst the working class in the north of England.

This is all the fault of X, and I hope Keir Starmer and the Labour have a robust plan for sanctioning social media sites that allow disinformation free reign to be accessed by ordinary people who do not possess the ability to sift fact from fiction.

Frightening times.

If a government was able to "ban" a rival political party because they were becoming too popular, we would indeed be living in "frightening times". Thankfully, they can't.

Facts and opinions you don't like don't automatically qualify as "disinformation". If some of your posts of the last few days are anything to go by, you are certainly one of the people you describe as "not possess(ing) the ability to sift fact from fiction".

EasternStandard · 10/01/2025 12:27

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:22

All all these Labour lovers know this was on the basis of knowingly false claims and information. Yet they are steadfast in their belief that Labour and their ilk are still best placed to be the arbiters of what's true and what's "disinformation".

Starmer and Reeves talked about becoming the fastest growing economy in G7 pre GE and are working hard at stalling that

That has plenty of ramifications for jobs and livelihoods. Was that disinformation? If they keep going it’s more impact than a Musk tweet

KnittedCardi · 10/01/2025 12:27

It's also not just a UK problem, or a UK press fuelling issues. The EU has the same issues, Canada. So many many countries where citizens are unhappy with liberalism and immigration, so move right/populist. The answer isn't banning those parties, but for the more moderate parties to properly address the issues.

We have so many countries in flux at the moment, and that is not good for global security.

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 12:27

B0xes · 10/01/2025 12:23

I think the UK is on fire. I don't care who points it out.

The UK is on fire because one insanely rich nutjob decided to give people the ability to say anything they like and now years of suppressed hatred from deep within working class communities has now blown up like a volcano and we are now having to witness this reality with our very own eyes.

This is an absolute disaster for the stability of this country and Labour need to come down fast and hard before we end up with more riots from the knuckleheads and rabble rousers in our towns and cities.

PandoraSox · 10/01/2025 12:28

Upstartled · 10/01/2025 12:24

Voting intention: 8th Jan 2025 - Find Out Now https://search.app/1spjsEGTLWMH6M1s6

Here. I think.

Thank you. I wonder why OP didn't post the link?

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 12:29

CuddlyDodoToy · 10/01/2025 12:26

If a government was able to "ban" a rival political party because they were becoming too popular, we would indeed be living in "frightening times". Thankfully, they can't.

Facts and opinions you don't like don't automatically qualify as "disinformation". If some of your posts of the last few days are anything to go by, you are certainly one of the people you describe as "not possess(ing) the ability to sift fact from fiction".

It’s not about them being popular, nobody would be calling for the dissolution of the Liberal Democrats or Green Party if they were to ascend in popularity.

This is about stopping the rise of something more sinister than the world has ever seen. The United States failed in November, we cannot.

Whammyyammy · 10/01/2025 12:29

HappyPanda613 · 10/01/2025 11:28

Reform need to be banned immediately before they start to get political traction amongst the working class in the north of England.

This is all the fault of X, and I hope Keir Starmer and the Labour have a robust plan for sanctioning social media sites that allow disinformation free reign to be accessed by ordinary people who do not possess the ability to sift fact from fiction.

Frightening times.

Yes that's what we need..the government restricting what we can and can't say on social media, let's change the pound to the ruble while we're at it....

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