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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Is this colder than most ‘junes’? So miserable

317 replies

Juga · 07/06/2024 07:35

No money to go abroad. No money to put heating on. Struggling to afford indoor activities for dd and just wanted some time outdoors in the sun. It feels like this is the coldest June I can remember? I also don’t get how this fits with global warming… though I expect I am missing how that works? Just so fed up of being cold, for literally nearly a year now!

OP posts:
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14
crackofdoom · 10/06/2024 13:32

Here in Cornwall it's been dry and sunny, but with constant northerly winds that make everything chilly. My bedroom faces north, so northerlies often wake me up with their howling- nice 🙄.Logically this would mean that we're getting cold air from further north atm.

I had my first proper sea swim of the year at the weekend- the water was lovely, but then I sat and shivered while I dried out.

Shakeoffyourchains · 10/06/2024 13:57

StuffandFluff · 08/06/2024 12:41

See my previous three posts - the science of 'global warming' (rebranded as 'climate change') certainly isn't settled! The people burying their heads in the sand (or sticking their fingers in their ears) are those who are not taking proper notice of the actual peer-reviewed scientific evidence.

Edited

What you mean like the meta study by Lynas et al that found a 99.9% concensus after examining over 88,000 peer-reviewed climate studies (up from 97% from the previous study in 2013)?

There is no significant debate among reputable scientists over the cause of the climate change we are currently experiencing.

Shakeoffyourchains · 10/06/2024 14:06

StuffandFluff · 10/06/2024 12:00

In addition to the El Nino context, the impact of the 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption (which injected massive amounts of water vapour - a potent greenhouse gas - into the stratosphere) is likely to be felt for potentially years, disturbing weather patterns in ways that probably cannot be modelled easily. Yet another natural factor that needs to be taken into account whenever the media present an over-simplified narrative of the climate change! https://climate.nasa.gov/news/3204/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere/

https://phys.org/news/2023-01-tonga-eruption-chances-global-temperature.html

The impact of water vapour as a greenhouse gas is well-known and well-studied.

It's not frequently mentioned in the public debate because it's primarily a feedback mechanism rather than a direct driver of climate change. Its concentration is naturally regulated by temperature and the hydrological cycle and it has a much shorter atmospheric lifetime compared to other greenhouse gases, but it is considered in climate modelling.

As someone who claims to know the science behind this I would have thought you'd know this.

TheyAllFloatDownHere · 10/06/2024 14:20

13c and bright sunshine here.
Then, 30 mins alter, 13c and hammering it down with rain here.
Then, 30 mins later, back to sunshine.

And so on....

StuffandFluff · 10/06/2024 15:18

Shakeoffyourchains · 10/06/2024 14:06

The impact of water vapour as a greenhouse gas is well-known and well-studied.

It's not frequently mentioned in the public debate because it's primarily a feedback mechanism rather than a direct driver of climate change. Its concentration is naturally regulated by temperature and the hydrological cycle and it has a much shorter atmospheric lifetime compared to other greenhouse gases, but it is considered in climate modelling.

As someone who claims to know the science behind this I would have thought you'd know this.

What I was referring to was not the normal pattern of modelled water vapour naturally circulating within the atmosphere. I was referring to the impact of a pretty unusual, large scale eruption of an underwater volcano! So, whilst many media outlets were busy bleating their usual catastrophic global boiling propaganda last year, some reputable scientists were busy drawing links to real world events! It is a fact that the Hunga Tonga eruption injected an unprecedented amount of water vapour into the stratosphere (for recent times) and it is also a fact that the way that this will impact on climate globally is not currently known - but there is speculation that it could already (and may continue to do so over the next few years) have produced some interesting regional weather patterns.
I am unsure what point you are trying to make. I am indeed well aware that water vapour is one of the principal atmospheric radiative forcing agents (that is accepted, and pretty basic physics!). However, you are rather off the mark if you think that this means that, therefore, the feedback mechanisms of water vapour are well understood, or modelled (I think you may need to read the existing body of peer-reviewed scientific literature a bit more thoroughly).
It is a fact that there is an issue with natural climatic drivers not being given sufficient research time - mainly due to inbuilt funding and political biases skewing the research context. Having an understanding of the basic physics of individual atmospheric components simply does not translate into a comprehensive understanding of the complex dynamics and feedback relationships operating within the horribly complicated climatic system. The fact that the possible effects of the Hunga Tonga event cannot be definitively known, and requires a watching brief, illustrates this point.

StuffandFluff · 10/06/2024 15:40

Shakeoffyourchains · 10/06/2024 13:57

What you mean like the meta study by Lynas et al that found a 99.9% concensus after examining over 88,000 peer-reviewed climate studies (up from 97% from the previous study in 2013)?

There is no significant debate among reputable scientists over the cause of the climate change we are currently experiencing.

  1. The hypothetico-deductive model of scientific reasoning does not require consensus
  2. A broad consensus, with respect to certain basic scientific assumptions (such as the radiative forcing properties of greenhouse gases) certainly does not translate into a similarly broad consensus, with respect to the application of those assumptions when modelling the complexities of the climatic system
  3. Extremely reputable scientists have set out a compelling case for the principal international body controlling the political narrative on climate change (the IPCC) actually manufacturing consensus. I am re-linking to a Dr Judith Curry discussion that I posted upthread (in case you overlooked it) , as she makes some excellent points on this matter, as well as drawing attention to how unsettled climate science is in general...

Restoring the Sciences: Rethinking Climate Risk with Judith Curry

Why do we have a “climate emergency”? Is it real? Or is it a fantasy? Judith A. Curry, one of our nation’s most prominent climate scientists, takes a sober l...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PXomKN6eMz4

Disturbia81 · 10/06/2024 17:57

Had my oody on in bed last night, still got my 13 tog duvet on. Had to wear winter coat today. Yorkshire
I always put away my winter stuff in march and don't even think about them until October. But this year is so strange

RampantIvy · 10/06/2024 18:02

I agree @JasonTindallsTan
A lot of mumsnetters think that 20 degrees is "hot" though.
That is warm not hot.

the80sweregreat · 10/06/2024 18:19

I'd be happy to have this weather for the whole of summer time. So much nicer than any heatwaves!

OhmygodDont · 10/06/2024 18:38

the80sweregreat · 10/06/2024 18:19

I'd be happy to have this weather for the whole of summer time. So much nicer than any heatwaves!

What rain constantly or on and off all day long. I mean sure if you don’t want British fruit and veg 😂😂

Craftycorvid · 10/06/2024 18:45

I’m sitting here in my cardi! Heating is on. Somehow, chilly weather in June feels worse than the same weather in December: it’s bright so it should feel warmer. It’s windy. Somehow I find it all a bit unsettling.

RampantIvy · 10/06/2024 18:52

the80sweregreat · 10/06/2024 18:19

I'd be happy to have this weather for the whole of summer time. So much nicer than any heatwaves!

Do you not like eating then?
Do you never go outside?

the80sweregreat · 10/06/2024 18:57

No, I totally understand that farmers need better weather and bad conditions make it harder for them , but also heatwaves for certain crops can't be good either ?
I agree it's unsettling as June is normally a bit warmer , but I just prefer it cooler and not as affected by colder conditions than some people seem to be, which I do understand as well.
I can't cope with higher temperatures in the UK ( not unless there's pools or air con involved and I don't have those at home!)
Yes, I do go outside and if there's a heatwave I stay in as much as possible.

Pootle40 · 10/06/2024 19:05

Disturbia81 · 10/06/2024 17:57

Had my oody on in bed last night, still got my 13 tog duvet on. Had to wear winter coat today. Yorkshire
I always put away my winter stuff in march and don't even think about them until October. But this year is so strange

I had my dressing gown on all night expecting to wake up sweating but didn't !!!

LuckySantangelo35 · 10/06/2024 19:28

the80sweregreat · 10/06/2024 18:19

I'd be happy to have this weather for the whole of summer time. So much nicer than any heatwaves!

@the80sweregreat

in your opinion. I think heatwaves are way better than the weather we have been having.

ForKeenDeer · 10/06/2024 19:48

No, can remember plenty of early summer days like this. Late summer heartwave incoming! Don't panic, it's early yet and not that cold!

Chipsahoy · 10/06/2024 19:50

We had a glorious May here in north east Scotland. Lots of warmth and sunshine.
It all changed last Tuesday and it’s been very cold (mountains have snow again) but Plenty of sun. If you can get out the wind, it’s warm ish in the sun. Still lighting the fire every night and big hoodies when it rains is no fun.

JasonTindallsTan · 10/06/2024 19:57

😩😩😩

Is this colder than most ‘junes’? So miserable
LuckySantangelo35 · 10/06/2024 20:29

JasonTindallsTan · 10/06/2024 19:57

😩😩😩

Pathetic isn’t it

WittiestUsernameEver · 10/06/2024 20:43

We've got the log burner on and had our winter coats on today 🥶😭😭😭😭😭😭

Glitterblue · 10/06/2024 20:48

I think it is colder than normal for June but it’s definitely not been weather for needing the heating on, and we’re in the north east so it’s probably a bit colder up here than some places. We’ve got it on tonight for one hour to try to dry DD’s school jumper but it feels a bit too much!

Borborygmus · 10/06/2024 21:47

the80sweregreat · 10/06/2024 18:19

I'd be happy to have this weather for the whole of summer time. So much nicer than any heatwaves!

I have to say I agree, I hate hot weather. It's much easier to warm yourself up if too cold, than cool yourself down if too hot.

LuckySantangelo35 · 10/06/2024 21:52

Borborygmus · 10/06/2024 21:47

I have to say I agree, I hate hot weather. It's much easier to warm yourself up if too cold, than cool yourself down if too hot.

@Borborygmus

its not. And I don’t wanna wear a coat in June.

Squidlette · 10/06/2024 21:57

It's not even like we get decent summers most years, but at least there's usually a break in the rain. I'm sure it just hailstoned here. My poor summer dresses aren't going to get a look in at work. The weeds have won in my garden.

I spend too much of the year cold and shivering in layer upon layer of clothes. I just want a couple of months where I'm warm.

WittiestUsernameEver · 10/06/2024 21:58

Glitterblue · 10/06/2024 20:48

I think it is colder than normal for June but it’s definitely not been weather for needing the heating on, and we’re in the north east so it’s probably a bit colder up here than some places. We’ve got it on tonight for one hour to try to dry DD’s school jumper but it feels a bit too much!

It was a max of 13° here... Definitely heating weather !