@Everyonehasavoice
And by looking at the figures and charts it is clear we are ‘not where we should be’. It’s not going down.
Thats because you are looking at the wrong figures and the wrong charts.
This thread is about excess deaths, not all deaths. All your ONS figures and charts on mortality and ASMR are not regarding excess deaths but regarding all deaths.
Furthermore, it’s no good looking at the number of excess deaths alone, the excess death ASMR is the measure you want because that is excess deaths adjusted for the age and size of the population and then bumped against a rolling five year average.
The excess deaths ASMRs are in fact going down and are a bit below where we should be. The chart tracks it by month below, but when averaged out over all of 2022:
“ONS reports that when looking at the excess mortality in 2022 overall, deaths were 6.3% above average, whereas ASMRs were 0.7% below average.”
So the 6.3% increase in the raw number of excess deaths for 2022 we can safely ignore as not statistically significant because the ASMR for excess deaths is actually -0.7%.
This means excess deaths are 0.7% below the rolling five year average measured in 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2021.
By the way, the OSR isn’t a company, they are the UK Government regulatory arm that ensures ONS is doing its job correctly. So technically, they are a better source than ONS and they are not showing “opinions” but statistical facts.