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"How the UK became one of the poorest countries in Europe"

468 replies

user1471452428 · 26/10/2022 22:09

www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/10/uk-economy-disaster-degrowth-brexit/671847/

Article in The Atlantic. When people post about declining living standards, they're often shouted down- but I think it's pretty clear that it is real and here to stay.

OP posts:
TooBigForMyBoots · 27/10/2022 23:44

Brexit is not Done. We left the EU hastily and with no plan but the paperwork and legalities remain. The UK reneged on the agreement it negotiated and signed leading to legal challenges, a possible trade war with the EU, another December election for me and instability for the UK.

The Tories need to sort this ASAP for the country's sake.

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:04

TooBigForMyBoots · 27/10/2022 23:44

Brexit is not Done. We left the EU hastily and with no plan but the paperwork and legalities remain. The UK reneged on the agreement it negotiated and signed leading to legal challenges, a possible trade war with the EU, another December election for me and instability for the UK.

The Tories need to sort this ASAP for the country's sake.

What are you on about?

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 00:09

The NI protocol.

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:11

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 00:09

The NI protocol.

Is that the glitch whereby nobody can figure out whether they're part of the UK or the EU?

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:14

Wasn't NI given some sort of special status? I recall it being complicated due to it being the only land border with the EU but I thought that they gave it some sort of unique status? Is that not sorted? Or has it been sorted but you don't like what the result is?

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:15

Either way, it's immaterial to the decline in the economy.

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 00:23

It was sorted by the Northern Ireland Protocol that agreed a border in the Irish Sea. However, the UK government changed their minds after signing the agreement cos sovereignty/border control/hard Brexiteers /Union /Tory votes/DUP support etc.

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:23

Clavinova · 27/10/2022 18:19

It's not a very well thought out article;

British voters chose a closed and poorer economy over an open and richer one.

The predictable results are falling wages and stunningly low productivity growth. Although British media worry about robots taking everybody’s jobs, the reality is closer to the opposite. “Between 2003 and 2018, the number of automatic-roller car washes (that is, robots washing your car) declined by 50 percent, while the number of hand car washes (that is, men with buckets) increased by 50 percent...

That might sound like a quirky example, because the British economy is obviously more complex than blokes rubbing cars with soap. But it’s an illustrative case.

According to the International Federation of Robotics, the U.K. manufacturing industry has less technological automation than just about any other similarly rich country. With barely 100 installed robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers in 2020, its average robot density was below that of Slovenia and Slovakia.

Where does the author think many of these "blokes rubbing cars with soap" come from? e.g.

June 2022
Couple who trafficked more than 40 Slovakian orphaned 'slaves' into Britain and forced them to work at their car wash while stealing £300,000 from their accounts to blow on gambling and cars are jailed.

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10942395/Couple-trafficked-40-Slovakian-slaves-work-Bristol-car-wash.html

Clavinova, I missed this post but you have made me chuckle by criticising the article and then quoting the Daily Mail?

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 00:25

The UK reneging on international agreements is detrimental to investment from abroad as well as fucking up our trade with our nearest neighbours. And the stability thing.

We are no longer trusted.

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:29

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 00:25

The UK reneging on international agreements is detrimental to investment from abroad as well as fucking up our trade with our nearest neighbours. And the stability thing.

We are no longer trusted.

I'm not sure that we ever were trusted. 😉

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 00:35

We used to be.Sad But right now no one trusts us and the international markets, so necessary for our growth, are waiting for the Tories to be gone and Brexit to be done. What's the point in spending time, energy and money negotiating with someone who will not be in power in two years time? They might not even be in power in two months/weeks time.🤷‍♀️

MidnightMeltdown · 28/10/2022 00:41

Cuppasoupmonster · 26/10/2022 23:02

i was talking to DH tonight and we were wondering whether brexit/covid/tories aside, first world countries have had their moment and are now in decline generally. We can’t make money through robbing poorer countries anymore, and don’t have a whole lot to offer ourselves

My dads been saying this for years. That countries have risen and fallen throughout history. This country has had its time and is now in decline.

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 01:05

MidnightMeltdown · 28/10/2022 00:41

My dads been saying this for years. That countries have risen and fallen throughout history. This country has had its time and is now in decline.

As they say, be careful who you stand on, on your way up as you will meet them on the way down.

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 01:27

It is not inevitable. We don't have to decline. But we will if we keep clinging to shit just because it's what we know.

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 02:00

TooBigForMyBoots · 28/10/2022 01:27

It is not inevitable. We don't have to decline. But we will if we keep clinging to shit just because it's what we know.

Strangely, your username is apt for how I feel about the UK. Too big for their boots. British people seem to believe that they are still some sort of global empire while, on the contrary, we're rapidly diminishing into obscurity. The reality is that we're an island off the coast of Europe with a questionable history, a notorious reputation and fuck all to show for it. But we still think that we're some world-leading financial powerhouse? Just look at the posts on this thread about the figures - people frantically trying to find stats which state that the UK is doing ok. I suspect that there is very little goodwill left towards us from any quarter and worse than that, we're at risk of becoming irrelevant.

The world moves on but we appear to have put the gearstick into reverse and accelerated!

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 02:05

I also predict a lot of snatch and grabs of properties by vultures when people start being unable to pay their mortgages and begin losing their homes. We're far too exposed to this crisis. Our economy is not robust enough to withstand the storm that's brewing.

If anyone plans on jumping ship - now would be the time to do it.

Fireflygal · 28/10/2022 08:11

I think the roots of our decline lie with the focus on financial services. The UK has an unbalanced economy and too much focus on the London financial sector. An example- Truss thought growth would be helped by removing the cap on bankers bonuses. What about incentives for other sectors? The recent governments have stoked financial sectors to the detriment to other sectors.

London house prices rose post Big Bang as a result of the bankers big pay cheques.

I also agree that employers need to start paying decent wages as low employee costs reduce productivity. I frequentely work with companies who are looking to invest and see decisions on investment - ROI often isn't achievable because people costs are so low. They often employ cheap labour, doing manual activities, who they deem as disposable.

Coucous · 28/10/2022 08:55

PrestonNorthHen · 27/10/2022 09:51

This !
People want to work less and have everything handed to them.

And the elephant in the room, high amounts of unsecured debt.
Not one poverty thread has mentioned debt, its always someone else's fault.

I have to say despite having a huge number of people on JSA in the UK, most people work hard. My friends always say when they communicate with people living in the UK they are always at work.
We work long hours for very little. Salaries in the UK are low in comparison to other places in Europe. Not only that, the money doesn't stretch far here!
Housing is more expensive in general, food, clothing, childcare - all this will become worse with Brexit and import expenses. Meanwhile people still earn the same.

We do not get a lot back from the high taxes. Other countries mentioned above are richer, may have higher taxes but the residents get free childcare/ nursery, free schools including private schools, free university, tax relief , good access to healthcare, less expensive housing, etc.
The other problem is that British people refuse to accept that they aren't the best at something, so we don't learn from others.

Coucous · 28/10/2022 08:58

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 02:05

I also predict a lot of snatch and grabs of properties by vultures when people start being unable to pay their mortgages and begin losing their homes. We're far too exposed to this crisis. Our economy is not robust enough to withstand the storm that's brewing.

If anyone plans on jumping ship - now would be the time to do it.

That would be me soon. Thankfully have eu citizenship. I'm willing to stick around for a couple more years to see how it goes but will pack mine and leave if the country is not well managed and everything goes haywire

Alexandra2001 · 28/10/2022 09:00

TheNosehasit · 28/10/2022 00:15

Either way, it's immaterial to the decline in the economy.

Funnily enough, despite no Govt (because of the DUP hating the protocol, refusing to sit at Stormont & refusing to accept they are out of power)... the NI economy is doing very well, as its stayed effectively in the single market.

The UK's economy would do far better in the SM than out, so it is material... or as Guy Hans on R4 said recently "otherwise the UK economy is doomed"

Kendodd · 28/10/2022 09:26

Not one poverty thread has mentioned debt, its always someone else's fault.

Except I would expect the poorest people in the UK have the least debt as no bank will loan to them.

CantHaveTooMuchChocolate · 28/10/2022 11:58

sst1234 · 26/10/2022 23:26

Brexit is done. Lots of us didn’t want it, but it’s down. If you don’t accept it, you continue to make the country poorer. The problem is that we have all the bad bits of Brexit without any of the benefits, because those who voted remain will not accept the structural change that has to happen to grow the economy. Brexit should be an enabler of lower corporation tax and less regulation. Singapore on Thames or whatever you want to call it. You may not like it, but fighting against it means that you cut your nose off to spite your face. Unless the remain side accept this, the pain of Brexit is yet to be felt.

We just had that in the mini budget, corporation tax slashed, etc, remind us again how that played out??

PrestonNorthHen · 28/10/2022 12:05

Kendodd · 28/10/2022 09:26

Not one poverty thread has mentioned debt, its always someone else's fault.

Except I would expect the poorest people in the UK have the least debt as no bank will loan to them.

You have missed the point.
They are poor due to debt not because of low income.
So those you would expect to be fine are struggling but unsecured debt is never mentioned just it's the government's fault.

XingMing · 28/10/2022 20:17

I did say, earlier on this thread, that our micro-business in metal-bashing is booming, and has been for the last 18 months. Customers want to talk to suppliers direct, and want to know there's no way their job is going to be stuck in a customs queue for weeks, so they are looking to place work in the UK. And before you ask, nobody in our organisation earns less than double minimum wage, plus overtime at 1.5x or 2x the hourly rate for weekends or unsocial hours.

Clavinova · 28/10/2022 21:15

TheNosehasit
Clavinova, I missed this post but you have made me chuckle by criticising the article and then quoting the Daily Mail?

I linked to the MailOnline because they had photographs - I can quote from the Guardian instead if you prefer;

Maros Tancos, and Joanna Gomulska, both 46, kept the victims as “prisoners” in squalor in the house in Bristol and subjected them to beatings and death threats, a court heard.
Victims were forced to work unpaid at Tancos’s car wash business and then do paid jobs at night...the couple spending their wages on secondhand cars and gambling.
Tancos had links to children’s homes in his home country of Slovakia and had a “ready supply” of vulnerable victims.
A total of 42 victims were interviewed by specialist officers and 29 gave evidence of the abuse they suffered in court.
“Referring to the house as a ‘gate to hell’, one victim’s account shows how they felt trapped, unable to seek help without identity documents, locked in the house and threatened.”

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/jun/22/bristol-couple-jailed-for-enslaving-29-slovakian-people

Presumably, if the ready supply of unskilled labour from the EU had been curtailed somewhat, then more investment in "robots" would have taken place (e.g. expansion/improvement of automated car washes)?