@Dave20 40% of all UC claimants are in work. I cannot say if they want to become HGV drivers as surely that is based on an individual's set of circumstances even if the pay is good; any more than I can claim that every graduate would want to work in an investment bank and earn a high salary if given the opportunity/had the qualifications. The salary might be high, people could theoretically get the qualifications but a 55 hour work week might not be for everyone particularly if there are kids/health problems.
lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/lgastandard?mod-metric=13382&mod-area=E92000001&mod-group=AllRegions_England&mod-type=namedComparisonGroup
For the 60% that are not in work, they are economically inactive. 20% of the working uk population (between the ages 16-64) is economically inactive. As quoted from that article:
The biggest reason is that a lot of these people (27%) are students. 26% say they’re economically inactive because they’re too sick (most of whom have a long-term illness). 22% are looking after family or the home. And 13% have taken early retirement.
12% said there was some other reason for their economic inactivity.
The Office for National Statistics also collects data on whether people in economic inactivity want a job. 22% (roughly 1.9 million people) said they do want a job.
fullfact.org/economy/economically-inactive/
So based on this, we have to draw the HGV drivers from this approximate 1.9 million people, assuming (a) they can drive, (b) want to work 55 hours a week driving a HGV and (c) the work patterns fit their circumstances.
It has been warned before Brexit this would happen. Ironically its because the UK is a rich country where its either 'work or starve'. People are in myriad circumstances and it may mean that a 55 hour driving job is unattractive even if it means higher pay. This is why we need foreign drivers to plug the gap.