@HaveringWavering you seem to be viewing the scientific experts as some monolith community. In fact there are many epidemiologists and virologists who take a different view from SAGE and others who agree only in parts.
Presumably you understand that the models (mainly developed by Imperial College and Warwick University) on which the government has relied to come up with its approach (which is clearly dates not data) are only as good as the input assumptions?
These assumptions have been shown to be wrong in virtually every aspect. The vaccines have proven more effective than the model inputs assumed. Transmission from vaccinated people has proved lower. Positive cases have dropped more rapidly than the models assumed, as have hospitalisations (they’ve dropped a LOT more rapidly than the model inputs assumed) and so have deaths. Only a month or so ago Chris Whitty, presumably under advice from the SAGE modellers, was predicting 25,000 more deaths even under current very slow lockdown releases. There have been nothing like that number.
Garbage in; garbage out.
Scientists are just like everyone else: they don’t like to be wrong. And when offered this evidence I am afraid they fall back on, as a SAGE interviewee did this morning on the Today programme (sorry, I didn’t catch his name), it wouldn’t be “fair” to release vaccinated people early when younger folks still had to be more careful (even though they for the most part are not significantly at risk from the virus).
That was exactly the argument I made to the doctor who gave the “no hugs” briefing at the vaccine clinic. Her response to my recounter with actual evidence from the CDC, one of the most respected public health organisations in the world, “Well, it isn’t British.” (I had reminded her - which she already knew, of course - that they have said that it is safe for fully vaccinated people to meet other fully vaccinated people completely freely without masks indoors or out, and that it is also safe for fully vaccinated people to meet even unvaccinated people indoors as long as they are not in a vulnerable group. The CDC specifically instructed older, vaccinated people that it is just fine to hug their grandchildren - something that the UK continues to legislate against.)
Let’s please be clear about what is science and what is politics. I am pretty sure I can tell the difference.