Trump thread #109 Election Part 3 and off he goes with a trumpety trump?

[freddosfrogs]

We can but hope!

What will happen in AZ, PA and GA next?

[Title edited by MNHQ at OP's request]

Bear in mind that Biden doesn't need Georgia. Pennsylvania on its own or Arizona + Nevada would be enough. So even if Georgia does eventually go to Trump, don't panic!

Trump at 5/1
Biden at 1/7

results.arizona.vote/#/featured/18/0

Seems like they finished counting. It's at 100%

I'm glued to CNN. Their coverage seems really good and somewhat bipartisan after their pre-election coverage! Saying there will be more information from Georgia in about 5 hours.

Stay strong everyone!

I'm invested in this election , but the voting rules are still a mystery to me. Last time it was much more clear cut.
I thought that Joe Biden sounded much better when he spoke and seems very level headed , in what must be very stressful times. They are saying tomorrow for a definite answer to who has won but who knows?

@BruceAndNosh

I imagine Trump's doctors have been on an equally sharp knife edge over the last 24 hours trying to balance his medication. I suspect a large dose of tranquilliser was given last night to stop him tweeting.

The markets seem happy with the result. A split government means no extreme tax hikes or cuts

Thanks for making me laugh, I needed that today!

This parody video is worth watching😂

www.facebook.com/600763563/posts/10158205808998564/?d=n

Where's the best publicly available coverage? The NY Times looks good but is exclusive to subscribers. The CNN live feed looks useful:

edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-biden-election-results-11-05-20/index.html

Sorry if I'm repeating something that's been done to death.

Facebook is more accurate, it will not post anything unless they know for sure

Don’t think Arizona has completed counting - CNN reporting:

Arizona: Joe Biden holds about a 69,000 vote lead in CNN’s count. Maricopa, the biggest county in Arizona, has released the second of two sets of new votes promised Wednesday night – shrinking the Biden lead there by just over 10,000 votes. Early this morning, the county tweeted that 275,000 remain and that its next update will come at 9 p.m. ET. Meanwhile, the next biggest share of votes come from blue-leaning Pima County. The state’s website said 46,000 votes remained to be counted in Pima as of last night.

So an update 2am Friday morning UK time.

Placemarking and praying.

“100% precincts reporting” means that the in-person votes have been reported by the polling places to HQ, these have been counted first. It’s the mail in ballots that are outstanding.

@chomalungma

Trump at 5/1 Biden at 1/7

Embarrassingly I don’t understand betting odds.

Is the above good or bad for Biden?

@Phoenix21 Good for Biden. If you bet £1 you will only get 14p back. Whereas you would have a return of £5 on Trump.

A lot of US journalists from wash post, nyt, huff post etc are tweeting, a lot of good info from them for free on Twitter

@Phoenix21 it’s good!

Trump is 5/1 so if you put £1 on him to win you would make £5 profit (£6 returned to you).
Biden is 1/7 which means you would have to put £7 on him to make £1 profit (£8 returned to you).

The bigger the return the less likely it is to happen (as the bookies want to avoid paying out too much!).

Is the above good or bad for Biden

It's the kind of odds you see when people think a football team is very very very likely to win.

Good for Biden.

I guess that the betting sites are looking very very closely at the data.

Thank you @happy97.

P.S odds have been explained again and again to me over the years but it’s just never sunk in. And I work in finance

X-posts, thanks for the replies!!!

Arizona is 3/10 Democrats. 9/4 Republicans

Thank you @TheNorthWestPawsage finally something in this world I can understand.

@Blueberries0112

https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/18/0

Seems like they finished counting. It's at 100%

Is that Arizona for Biden then, for sure now? 🤞

Paddy Power have Pennsylvania as a Democrat win.

And Georgia.

I thought mail in is part of their district

One reason people like to refer to betting odds is that these represent what a bookie or similar has calculated as something they're confident in so they don't lose money. Projections by pundits who have no skin in the game or are pushing a partisan position at no personal cost are clearly more open to wishful thinking.