@puffinsseagulls
This speech might be the biggest regret of his life if the death toll in Manchester is higher than anywhere else in coming months.
That would be the fault of the Government. Even their own scientists have said tier 3 won't be enough. They have had 7 months to sort out test track and trace and the contact tracing is really low. The whole thing has been badly handled by the government.
It's very obvious now that they are trying to pass the blame onto mayors and anybody else they can blame. Some idiots will lap that up.
SAGE have said Tier 3 'might' not work.
They hoped that the lockdown in March would work. It didn't because they didn't factor in the short term memory and the 'I'm not being told what to do' attitude of a very significant proportion of the public.
So whether it is a regional lockdown or a national lockdown, the infection rates will rise each time it ends whether the lockdown is a two weeks, a month long or three months long.
Also track and trace will only keep the virus in check if:
1 The UK general public as a whole was raised to value civic and social responsibilities over individualism. But why someone be able to decide if it suits them and the won't be inconvenieced doing the right thing?
2 If enough people give correct contact details for themselves and friends or colleagues they have been in contact with. But would they if they don't feel ill and need to work to pay bills or simply are too distrustful of Big Brother.
3 There is more monitoring of quarantine violations and harsher penalties to act as a deterrent as in the case of the often lauded South Koreans. But would they agree to have authorities know where they are by reference to geo location and bank account information?
4 There is a more visible police presence. But that could be the slippery slope to a police state.
So what to do? Because as we have seen there are so many different opinions and people forget that includes those of scientists around the UK and the world. Hasn't the WHO advised that due to the disproportionate and heavy impact on the poorest in society, lockdowns should be one of the last choices considered? But as always, people only want to act on a scientist's advice if it's want they want to hear.