[quote PlanDeRaccordement]Here is the key for the graph. You can see that both the projected lines assume that mandates are reimposed for 6 weeks when daily deaths reach 8 per million. The only different between the lines is the wearing of masks.
No OP, you misread the key and did not look up the FAQS that listed the mandates. The key actually states:
RED LINE: Mandates easing: Continued easing of social distancing mandates, and mandates are not re-imposed
GREEN LINE: 95% mask usage in public in every location, reaching levels seen in Singapore. Mandates are re-imposed for 6 weeks if daily deaths reach 8 per million (0.8 per 100k)
The difference in the two lines is mandates + masks, not just masks. In addition, you go to the modelling FAQS to see what assumptions are in each scenario and it says:
What assumptions are included in each scenario?
The assumptions for each scenario include:
Scenario
RED LINE or Mandates easing
Assumes mask use continues at currently observed rates
Assumes that the gradual easing of social distancing mandates continues
Assumes that mandates are never re-imposed
GREEN LINE: Universal masks
Assumes mask use rises to 95% within 7 days
Assumes that the gradual easing of social distancing mandates continues
Assumes that mandates will be re-imposed for six weeks if daily deaths reach 8 per million: Educational facilities closed
Non-essential businesses closed
People ordered to stay at home
Large gatherings banned
- Mandatory mask use put in place
www.healthdata.org/covid/faqs[/quote]
The no masks vs mask comparison is by comparing the current projection to the universal mask projection. I have removed the third (mandates easing) scenario from the attached diagram so it is clearer.
Both of these scenarios assume the following:
Assumes that the gradual easing of social distancing mandates continues
Assumes that mandates will be re-imposed for six weeks if daily deaths reach 8 per million: Educational facilities closed
Non-essential businesses closed
People ordered to stay at home
Large gatherings banned
Both actually do assume mandatory mask use however the cuurent projection assumes mask use continues at currently observed rates whilst the universal mask projection assumes mask use rises to 95% within 7 days.