"Brexit Party 2019 result compared to UKIP in 2014:
SEATS: 28 (+4)
VOTE SHARE: 31.5% (+4%)
It’s not just an exact replication of UKIP, but the numbers aren’t that impressive when looked at this way"
Full thread here:
twitter.com/DomWalsh13/status/1132894773797429248
The Hard Brexit vote has hardly changed - although UKIP 2014 would probably be considered back-stabbing Brexit-in-name-only treachery by today's standards, and it also at least pretended to be a real political party, not a one-man show with no manifesto.
So did Leave or Remain "win"?
Popular vote:
40.4% Anti Brexit
34.9% Pro Brexit
14.1% Labour
9.1% Conservatives
But in theory, both Labour and Conservative back some kind of Brexit (maybe). Shouldn't they be under "Anti Brexit"?
However in reality, whatever their official policy, many voters have obviously decided the two main parties can't be trusted to be solid Leave.
If the Conservatives really are a solid 100% Brexit party, why did so many of their voters switch to BRP? Why does the BRP even exist?
Likewise if Labour is pro Brexit, why have so many Labour Leavers switched to BRP? And did all the Lab Remainers switch to Green or LibDem? Or does that 14% contain some for whom a commitment to Labour trumps Remain/Leave? Or people who believe in the (pro-Remain) Parliamentary party more than Corbyn? In what proportion?
Who knows, I think there's enough confusion to muddy the waters and make it impossible to say whether Leave or Remain won.