Fuck fuck fukc

[brexitstolemyfuture]

Tory's win, but 314

Postal votes would already be in.

It's too early to speculate on if the Cons have a majority.

If it is a coalition, I wonder who May will choose. Imagine her and Corbyn in a coalition!

I voted for Lib Dems in the election where they joined with the Tories, at first I was angry but after the Tories won the majority a few years I began to appreciate that they were the muzzle on a rabid dog.

It will lead to more uncertainty. This is the problem with the Tories, they just can't leave anything alone. In fighting leads to Brexit Vote then complacency leads to an election we didn't actually need.

Right, why is that so bad though?

(Happens often in Ireland due to proportional representation)

www.ft.com/content/0e38ae9e-4a16-11e7-a3f4-c742b9791d43

Interesting article from the FT states that exit polls are not often wrong, or not by much and less and less so recently.

I mean why is a coalition so bad...?

Ooops posted too soon - I wouldn't mind a coalition on either side.

A hung parliament means that mo one party has an overall majority. That means that if the largest party forms a government, it cannot guarantee getting enough votes in parliament to pass any bills it was trying to get through. In this case they sometimes try and form a coalition with another party like the Tories and lib dems did recently. But this means compromising on their manifesto pledges.

We've got in a bottle of gin and will experiment with making cocktails tomorrow to drown our predicted sorrows. Maybe a hung parliament will ease the pain but only an overturn of Brexit will heal it.

Surely none of the "major " parties would go in coalition? Dup?

They only polled 30 odd thousand; how can this be accurate given we are voting in the millions?

A coalition would be a disaster as it's likely the SNP would be involved being the third largest party.

No party would go into coalition with the Tories. Meaning the rest would have to all join together to form a majority, which is almost equally as unlikely. So I'd imagine another election is the only outcome. (if the result really is a hung parliament)

Hung parliament means that no party has an overall majority of 326 (I think) or more seats, so two parties can form an alliance (coalition) to make it up to or above 326 seats, which means even though Tories may have a small majority, that the SNP and Labour for example could join forces and be a coalition government, as we had with Tory/Lib Dems a few years ago...

But it can mean that 2 parties fighting for different things are in power together.

I was posting to ask the same as cricketballs. How can a poll of 20,000 people be an accurate representation of the entire country?

Hung Parliament can also mean a party governs with a minority government if they are unable to arrange a formal coalition, but this makes it hard to get things passed as all the other parties could choose to vote against the government. Given the Lib Dems have said they won't go into coalition and I can't see an alliance between the SNP and the Tories, I think this would be the most likely scenario if it does turn out to be a hung parliament. The Conservative party can usually rely on the support of the DUP who are expected to hold around 18 seats. I still think the Tories may end up with a small majority Exactly as they have at the moment!

I took part in the exit poll. I was very excited to be involved!

There's no way I can sleep now.

Exit polls are the most accurate of the polls so it shouldn't be too far out. I don't think people like what is going on in this country at the minute hence Amber Rudd being a potential lost seat. There will have been many EU remainers who are still angry with the Tories too. A lot of Brexit voters were Labour voters certainly in the Northern Strongholds where it was a large Brexit vote in the main

I don't think you'd ever see a conservative labour coalition. More like conservative and independents or Lib dems.

Can someone explain exit polls to me? How do they know who has voted what?

Ignore. I read the rest of the thread.

Duly educated.

It's a strong and stable exit poll.

Exit means exit

Can someone explain exit polls to me? How do they know who has voted what?

They ask them as they leave the polling station. But they have a very precise methodology of who to ask and where. It's a real science.

The independent published a useful article on it today:

www.independent.co.uk/News/uk/politics/exit-polls-election-results-come-out-uk-what-are-they-how-work-explained-a7779821.html

It could go like last time and the Lib Dems have a choice whether to go with the Tories or Labour.

There must not be another election, how the fuck can anybody justify the cost of that?!