I really think you misunderstand statistics.
My personal risk of being assaulted or raped in my own home by my male partner is very low. I know this as for the last ten years (since I have known my male partner), he has not done any of these things. So, on the balance of probability, my risk of harm is really very low and unlikely to change, although I cannot rule out the very remote possibility that he might suddenly have a personality transplant. But my feelings of safety aren't due to calculated risk-taking but experience.
Conversely, having lived for over ten years in a large city, walking around at night which I did a lot (but with my keys in hand, walking briskly and only if necessary), I know that my personal risk of being called names, followed, flashed at and other such harm is quite high. I know this as these all occured in this ten year period and if I continued to walk around for another ten years, I'm sure they would happen again.
If I was at home with a partner who had hit me yesterday and the day before, the chances of being assaulted, and indeed raped, are very high indeed.
I don't think looking at what happens 'on average' really helps individual women make good risk assessments about their own personal circumstances and likelihood of harm, and I wouldn't advise anyone to make themselves feel unsafe to prove otherwise.