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118
logicisall · 01/05/2026 14:14

Re BP in Venezuela.

I'm reminding myself that BP's a business and over 80% of UK pension funds have a stake in BP.
Morally though....Big oil doesn't do morals.

logicisall · 01/05/2026 14:30

UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said on Friday in a post on X that no unilateral Iranian arrangements can be trusted or relied upon regarding freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz after its "treacherous aggression" against its neighbours. (Reuters)

I wanted to analyse that sentence like an Eng Lit assignment.
The UAE is going to end up like Qatar in Gulf politics, as I don't see Saudi being pushed out atm.

Will Trump be so bold as to claim Iranian oil as his own to pay for the cost of his war? I don't think the VZ template will work in Iran.

Spandauer · 01/05/2026 14:33

Is it the weekend when he gets his meds topped up? Isn't the theory that it happens at the beginning of the month as he disappears for 24 hours?

Although recent reports said both his hands were bruised and covered in makeup during KC's visit so maybe he got them earlier this time? Wouldn't want to conk out in front of HRH.

OP posts:
RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 14:36

logicisall · 01/05/2026 14:30

UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said on Friday in a post on X that no unilateral Iranian arrangements can be trusted or relied upon regarding freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz after its "treacherous aggression" against its neighbours. (Reuters)

I wanted to analyse that sentence like an Eng Lit assignment.
The UAE is going to end up like Qatar in Gulf politics, as I don't see Saudi being pushed out atm.

Will Trump be so bold as to claim Iranian oil as his own to pay for the cost of his war? I don't think the VZ template will work in Iran.

UAE are being very hawkish. Surprising to me because their Prince visited Xi.I wonder if it is a ploy to be Trumps "pal".

I am feeling a fair bit of anti Iraq sentiment in the news. Can't put my finger on it. But they do seem to have Iran aligned folk there. I don't mean the news is anti Iraq, I mean the mid east is.

Wipeywipey · 01/05/2026 14:41

Is this UAE feeling not because Iran sent a few missiles their way (even though it was at US targets)?
I think they might also be worried about oil competition now they have left OPEC? Again, I might be way off.

Llttledrummergirl · 01/05/2026 14:42

Wipeywipey · 01/05/2026 09:44

I think what he really wants is an Oscar, he just doesn't know it yet. His reactions to 'assassination attempts' and bald face lies with a straight face; he plays senile grandad with dystopian horror undertones very well.

I can almost hear the Kremlin pissing themselves over the idea he believed in the "big boom" Tehran would make when it's oil simply EXPLODED! He does love a dramatic scene, does Donald.

He could get a rotten tomato award for his portrayal of a President.

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 14:48

Wipeywipey · 01/05/2026 14:41

Is this UAE feeling not because Iran sent a few missiles their way (even though it was at US targets)?
I think they might also be worried about oil competition now they have left OPEC? Again, I might be way off.

I wondered if it was about defense spending or something. Just found this.

Joint Press Statement on U.S.-UAE Major Defense Partnership - U.S. Embassy & Consulate in the United Arab Emirates (usembassy.gov)

That's 16th May 2025

Text here to save a click: Note MAJOR defense partner.

EDIT TO ADD: The UAE appear to have wanted 50 F35 but were rejected cos they use Huawei phone systems. Then They tried to buy Chinese J20. I think it's about jets.

Abu Dhabi, May 16, 2025 — In a formal ceremony at the Ministry of Defense Headquarters in Abu Dhabi, His Excellency Mohammed Mubarak Al Mazrouei, Minister of State for Defense Affairs of the United Arab Emirates, and the Honorable Pete Hegseth, United States Secretary of Defense, signed a Letter of Intent (LOI) to establish a comprehensive U.S.-UAE Major Defense Partnership.
This LOI represents a shared commitment to develop a structured roadmap that will guide enhanced military-to-military cooperation, joint capability development, and long-term defense alignment between the two nations. The two sides will explore a phased framework for advancing bilateral force readiness, interoperability, and innovation-driven collaboration.
As part of this partnership, the Secretary announced a new strategic initiative between the U.S. Defense Innovation Unit (DIU) and the UAE’s Tawazun Council. This collaboration will deepen ties in defense innovation, facilitate joint research and development, and expand industrial and investment partnerships across both defense ecosystems.
Additionally, the UAE was formally welcomed into the U.S. National Guard State Partnership Program (SPP) through a partnership with the Texas National Guard. The SPP will bolster military modernization efforts and enhance cooperation in integrated air and missile defense, cybersecurity, disaster response, and operational planning.
The designation of the UAE as a Major Defense Partner reflects a decades-long relationship anchored in mutual trust, shared objectives, and a common commitment to regional and global security. It builds on the longstanding record of both countries working side-by-side to counter threats, stabilize conflict zones, and promote security and prosperity in the Middle East and beyond.

Technical Difficulties

https://ae.usembassy.gov/joint-press-statement-on-u-s-uae-major-defense-partnership/#:~:text=Abu%20Dhabi%2C%20May%2016%2C%202025%20%E2%80%94%20In%20a,to%20establish%20a%20comprehensive%20U.S.-UAE%20Major%20Defense%20Partnership.

Spandauer · 01/05/2026 15:11

.

His MAGAsty Meets His Majesty - Trump Thread #163
OP posts:
BruceAndNosh · 01/05/2026 15:15

Spandauer · 01/05/2026 15:11

.

Also for Pete Hegseth
Approximately 4,300 to 4,500 standard beer bottles (12 oz / 330ml–355ml) are needed to cover one kilometer when laid end-to-end.

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 15:21

BruceAndNosh · 01/05/2026 15:15

Also for Pete Hegseth
Approximately 4,300 to 4,500 standard beer bottles (12 oz / 330ml–355ml) are needed to cover one kilometer when laid end-to-end.

What is that in Trump "stubbies" ?

walllaw · 01/05/2026 15:46

A couple of threads back, one of the posters expressed some unhappiness at people poking fun at Hegseth's alcohol issues, and I've been thinking about that on and off.

In my life, I've only known a few people with addiction issues, or at least, known them well enough to know that about them. And I can say with some certainty that the two traits they've all shared are defensiveness while active and humility while in recovery. Hegseth's behaviour in these hearings does make me wonder which side of the fence he falls on.

I would hope that if he is drinking, someone around him would speak out, but I don't have much faith in that. The way he surrounds himself with sycophants and protectors does seem extremely worrying.

logicisall · 01/05/2026 16:02

Wipeywipey · 01/05/2026 14:41

Is this UAE feeling not because Iran sent a few missiles their way (even though it was at US targets)?
I think they might also be worried about oil competition now they have left OPEC? Again, I might be way off.

I don't think oil competition as UAE stands to gain by being out of OPEC controls when the other countries stay in. So when oil is restricted to raise or maintain prices, UAE is free to produce more to take advantage of the price control.

I think it's more about sucking up to Trump aligning with the US as per post by @RedTagAlan re 2025 agreement.

My thoughts on the Iran war was always that it would make the GCC reassess their reliance on the US for defence, after seeing how easy it was for Iran to attack them. So pull back or conversely, go all in.
The UAE could have done a deal with India as Saudi did, except that there were already reservations expressed in India about being drawn into ME politics.

logicisall · 01/05/2026 16:11

@RedTagAlan can you link to Iraq articles? Might it be about support for Gaza when the US supports Israel and some GCC have US bases etc.

I do know that in Kuwait they have not forgotten the Iraqi invasion, so they're always a bit tense about Iraq.

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 16:12

logicisall · 01/05/2026 16:02

I don't think oil competition as UAE stands to gain by being out of OPEC controls when the other countries stay in. So when oil is restricted to raise or maintain prices, UAE is free to produce more to take advantage of the price control.

I think it's more about sucking up to Trump aligning with the US as per post by @RedTagAlan re 2025 agreement.

My thoughts on the Iran war was always that it would make the GCC reassess their reliance on the US for defence, after seeing how easy it was for Iran to attack them. So pull back or conversely, go all in.
The UAE could have done a deal with India as Saudi did, except that there were already reservations expressed in India about being drawn into ME politics.

Edited

The Saudi deal is with Pakistan. I remember because Pakistan sent older US F16 fighters, and not the modern Chinese jets that they have. China and the US are sort of fighting over Pakistan, and China appears to be winning. China does not like India. India has traditionally been Russia I think.

I suspect China want the Gulf aligned with them. One state would be a foothold ?

Pedallleur · 01/05/2026 16:16

Zonder · 01/05/2026 06:39

Just catching up with this thread but have to ask where you live! It's a good 38p a litre dearer here!

1.519 at Tesco today (nr MCR). That's petrol

Spandauer · 01/05/2026 16:31

Golfing and schmoozing with other seniors in Florida this weekend.

White House Announces Another Florida Weekend Amid Rising Gas Prices.
meidasnews.com/news/white-house-announces-another-florida-weekend-amid-rising-gas-prices

OP posts:
logicisall · 01/05/2026 16:39

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 16:12

The Saudi deal is with Pakistan. I remember because Pakistan sent older US F16 fighters, and not the modern Chinese jets that they have. China and the US are sort of fighting over Pakistan, and China appears to be winning. China does not like India. India has traditionally been Russia I think.

I suspect China want the Gulf aligned with them. One state would be a foothold ?

Yes, I meant the deal with Pakistan and implications in future India/Pakistan conflicts. India is a major buyer of Saudi oil and there must have been questions re trade when yet another India/Pakistan conflict arises.

The sun has been hot today and I'm dozzy!!!!

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 16:43

logicisall · 01/05/2026 16:39

Yes, I meant the deal with Pakistan and implications in future India/Pakistan conflicts. India is a major buyer of Saudi oil and there must have been questions re trade when yet another India/Pakistan conflict arises.

The sun has been hot today and I'm dozzy!!!!

Sort of Mafia choice I think. The US at the moment is Joe Pesci. The PRC is De Niro.

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 16:46

logicisall · 01/05/2026 16:39

Yes, I meant the deal with Pakistan and implications in future India/Pakistan conflicts. India is a major buyer of Saudi oil and there must have been questions re trade when yet another India/Pakistan conflict arises.

The sun has been hot today and I'm dozzy!!!!

Hot ?

Do you mean above 10 C ?

:-)

AcrossthePond55 · 01/05/2026 16:50

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 01:44

I saw a clip of Kegsbreath on RTE. He says the 60 day clock stops because they are in a ceasefire.

That's not specified in the War Powers Act, so I call bullshit on Kegsbreath.

But I think I saw something somewhere* that Scrotus has said he's going to ignore it anyway.

*ie I read it somewhere but I don't remember where lol

logicisall · 01/05/2026 17:00

Well I'm wide awake now after I read this:

Russian troops, warships in India soon? Why their new military pact matters
In a significant pact, India-Russia agree to the deployment of soldiers, warships on each other’s soil, further deepening their bilateral partnership.

New Delhi, India – Two of the world’s biggest militaries, Russia and India, have made their most substantive defence pact yet, allowing them to station soldiers and aircraft on each other’s territory.
The Reciprocal Exchange of Logistics Support (RELOS) bilateral agreement, which was signed last year and is now operational, facilitates the countries’ use of each other’s military bases, naval ports, and airfields during peace and wartime.
...
This deepening of Russia-India ties, especially in the defence sector, comes amid a series of global wars that have roiled the world’s economy, in the shadow of US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable policymaking, impacting millions in New Delhi and Moscow.
...
The logistics support pact also sets the framework for a wide range of services, including refuelling, repairs, and supplies for warships and aircraft. In short, the agreement, analysts said, streamlines servicing of Russian military hardware that already makes up the majority of India’s inventory.
...
Now, the agreement gives Russia groundbreaking access to the Indian Ocean, and, in turn, New Delhi can access ports along the northern sea route from Vladivostok to Murmansk. These are critical to safeguard against global supply disruption, analysts say.

It gives the sides unrestricted access to the partner’s infrastructure and provides for reciprocal limited military presence on each other’s territory,” Kortunov said. “It enhances power projection and military outreach capabilities for the two sides.”
Currently, Russia does not have any military bases or other infrastructure in the Indian Ocean, noted Kortunov. “This pact helps Moscow to gain such capabilities,” he added.
Amitabh Singh, an associate professor at the Centre for Russian and Central Asian Studies in Delhi’s Jawaharlal Nehru University, told Al Jazeera: “For Moscow, RELOS is less of a wartime alliance than a sanctions-era sort of mobility pact.”
....
“The strategic value for Moscow is having this operational range now, where Russian ships and aircraft can stay deployed longer in the Indian Ocean region, and even nearby sea lanes,” Singh said. “From Moscow, the Indian Ocean, which has turned into a theatre of action recently, is a faraway world geographically.”
“The agreement also helps Russia signal that it still has meaningful partnerships in Asia,” he added.
...
“It adds a functional layer of interoperability that India did not previously have with Russia, thus bringing the bilateral relationship closer,” Malhotra said, adding that the pact provides New Delhi with “access to Russian facilities in the Arctic and far East, where Russia is a critical enabler”.
...
But amid mounting US and European pressure – particularly US President Donald Trump’s decision to slap an additional 25 percent trade tariff on India for buying Russian oil last year – India has looked to diversify its defence and energy supplies, ramping up purchases from the West. All the while, it has continued with its delicate balancing act to maintain ties with Russia as well.
...
Since Trump returned to the White House in January last year, relations with New Delhi have suffered on multiple fronts, ranging from India’s foreign policy to punishing tariffs.
...
Andrey Kortunov, from the Russian International Affairs Council in Moscow, told Al Jazeera that the RELOS agreement is not essentially directed against the United States. “But it is a signal to Washington that America cannot take India for granted,” he added.
“Given signs of transactionalism in US foreign and economic policy, RELOS reinforces India’s strategic autonomy,” said Ajai Malhotra, former Indian ambassador to Russia.
...
The RELOS agreement is also “about future-proofing India’s strategic space, by providing an added degree of flexibility in a scenario where global alignments continue to churn and become more unpredictable,” said Malhotra.

24.04.2026
Aljazeera

logicisall · 01/05/2026 17:09

RedTagAlan · 01/05/2026 16:46

Hot ?

Do you mean above 10 C ?

:-)

Yesterday's high was 13C, today's is 19C! Thank goodness I have a cool house.😎

AcrossthePond55 · 01/05/2026 17:09

@RedTagAlan

from the article you quoted upthread;
"Other Republicans argue that ceasefire days don’t count towards the 60-day total, or say that the president can unilaterally extend the deadline to 90-days."

Yes and no. He can certify the need for an addl 30 days as a 'drawdown' period. If he does so, Congress is mandated to approve it. So yes, basically he can extend it for 30 more days by telling Congress he needs to. HOWEVER, the 30 day drawdown period is specifically for removal of troops and has restrictions which include no offensive actions and no increase in personnel unless needed for the 'swift and orderly' removal of troops. So no, he can't extend offensive military action for another 30 days.

DuncinToffee · 01/05/2026 17:12

He is threatening the EU with tariffs again Confused 25% on cars and trucks

Wipeywipey · 01/05/2026 17:24

DuncinToffee · 01/05/2026 17:12

He is threatening the EU with tariffs again Confused 25% on cars and trucks

One way to encourage more Chinese electric car sales. Has anyone figured out who's side he is on?

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