I think we were always going to be dragged in to this war.
I think Trump will lose interest after the bombing ends and the fight for peace begins.
I think there will chaos in Iran as the different groups slug it out and whilst that continues the little infrastructure there is will degrade further (power/water/medical facilities).
And we know that humanitarian disasters lead to refugee crises.
All at a time when foreign aid has been slashed and will be slashed further.
And lo, the likes of Farage and Badenoch will seek to make political hay from increased numbers of Iranians looking to flee.
Some tit will suggest that because I am concerned about all of these things that somehow that equates to support for a frankly terrifying, murderous regime. It doesn't.