Chance of a general election next year and Reform winning?

[Confused78]

They are winning in the polls it seems. I've been watching Nigel Farage's Instagram, he really just talks common sense. I find myself agreeing with a lot of what he says.
I'm definitely not far right and I'm not a leftie,
I think I'm somewhere in the middle.
But I am sick of Conservative and Labour and think it's time to give a new party a chance, especially if they are going to properly tackle illegal immigrants coming over and the ones that are already here.
I don't necessarily agree with his call to deport those with Indefinite leave to remain however.

It's not that the political views don't align. It's the fact that OP seems not to have even a basic understanding of our political system or the issues concerned.

Well done, OP.

You do you - this is an unfolding story of course. Seemingly everyday, us ordinary ‘working people’ are compelled to deal with another calamity from this wretched Labour government.

Don’t let the bastards get you down!

Breaking news.
Another calamity from this wretched Reform party.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj6xwy015ngo

@Confused78 I understand that the main political parties do not seem to be doing themselves any favours at the moment in the popular view.

Farage claims to provide an alternative

you say you only agree with his immigration policies. Do you really agree with withdrawing ‘leave to remain’ from people who have been working and paying their taxes for years and in some cases decades? What purpose would that serve?

Do you remember that Farsge touted Brexit as a means to ‘control our own borders’. How do you think that is working out? We can no longer return people yo our closest neighbours where where logically the majority of claimants come to us.

Fargage appears to me to be good at saying ‘the sort of things many people who feel hard done by want to hear’. When you look at his record, it tells a very different story. He makes his money from the sort of financial funds which are essentially providing ways for the wealthy to avoid paying tax. His motive to leave the EU was really to avoid nos anti tax avoidance laws in the pipeline.

politically what he promised eg Brexit did not deliver and could never have delivered the benefits he promised

he speaks out against immigrants snd then marries (so providing birth passports for) first an Irishwoman and then a German citizen.

its easy to believe when people tell you what you want if gear. It’s so important as responsible citizens to look under the surface snd evaluate the chances of their successfully delivering what they promise.

Apologieas if this has already been posted!

Aggregate Result of the 110 Council By-Elections (for 111 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 38 (+33)
LDM: 29 (+9)
CON: 13 (-11)
LAB: 11 (-28)
GRN: 11 (+3)
Ind: 5 (-2)
Local: 2 (-4)
SNP: 1 (-1)
PLC: 1 (=)

If you think that Farage cares about ordinary working people, you really are living in cloud cuckoo land! He cares about winning the votes of ordinary working people of course, so that he can take power, but that is not at all the same thing as actually caring about ordinary working people. Even the tax cuts Reform plan to make are a giveaway as to where Farage's heart really lies. The vast majority of ordinary working people do not have estates big enough for any inheritance tax to be due at all. But abolishing inheritance tax will save the super rich millions.

well if you heard Farage claim there could be a general election next year take this on board as this shows that he twists facts and truth

Labour will not call an election, there is no need to call an election, elections are not called because the party in government are not doing so well in the polls

Reform shall burn themselves out, we have another four years and for Reform to win there would have to be a swing in votes never seen before. It wont happened but they certainly could be and already appear to be in a position where they have influence on policy, this unfortunaly is likely to strengthen

Don't you think you ought to find out? Immigration isn't actually that big of a problem that's just what you are supposed to believe

The MRP today shows the swings are there already.

The swing in votes has already happened as I've posted above. The majority of votes for Reform come from previous Labour voters

0% and 0%. Thank god.

Why 0% for winning? They would now going by MRP.

There is absolutely no chance of a General Election next year. Why would an Election be called before one is necessary when the Government has a massive majority
As for Reform they are dangerous and all Nigel Farage cares about his lining his own pockets. I wish people would wake up so many see him as the working class saviour when he is the opposite.

You lost me when you said Farage speaks common sense.

No, there will not be a general election next year - why would there be?

Because it was a linked question - chance of a GE next and reform winning. Reform have 0% chance of winning an election next year because there is 0% chance of a GE next year.

A political party would never call an Election because they are not popular! Why on earth would they set themselves up to fail. Please do not get your information from Google.
Nigel Farage is doing what Nigel Farage is good at ie exploiting people by telling them what they want to hear.
Please do some genuine research into the Reform Party, Farage , how the UK political works and how long it takes to effect real change. Including the legislative process.

No it has not

I am well aware that both the Tories and Labour will lose voters to Reform

Well yes it has, the chart I posted shows exactly where the Reform vote has come from in the local bi-elections. Obviously you are free to deny it but the fact is that many prior Labour "safe seats" are falling to Reform.

Please though go ahead with the ostrich inoression, it's served so well up unto now

And how do they propose to fund those cuts?
Can you remember the chaos caused by Liz Truss's unfunded tax cuts?
Reform's sums do not add up
If taxes are cut the lost income has to come from somewhere and making efficiencies will not generate enough income to fill the gap.
Also are you aware that Farage is very keen on introducing an insurance based health system similar to the one in the USA

Labour might get rid of KS as he is so unpopular but they'd just appoint someone else as Labour have right to govern until 2029. Sometimes governments go for re-election after 4 years instead of waiting for 5 like Teresa May did but Labour won't because they know they won't get re-elected. Labour next get elected twice in a row because they always spend so much and put taxes up and people get sick of them. This lot is more corrupt than most past Labour though accepting so many freebies for football, concert tickets, clothes, glasses and so many non essentials.

What has he said about PT? Is it about Tata?

They do get elected twice in a row - look at Blair. They aren’t corrupt. Those things you list are a) perfectly within the rules and b) far less than the Tories took. Farage has taken loads too, and is the highest earning MP for 2nd/3rd/nth jobs. Taxes are at their highest for decades - because of Tory tax rises.

I think pp are right.

Temu Trump knows he can't maintain the momentum until 2029. He has out-done himself this week with swan eating, lies about paracetamol and Sharia law in taxis. What other ridiculous bigoted depths has he left to plumb?

Plus there is the risk of more scandal like this:

www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj6xwy015ngo.amp

Wow still blaming Tories? Labour have completely mismanaged the economy and made a black hole twice as bad! Unemployment is up, number of business closing is up, national debt up, bonds up, cost of servicing dept up, inflation up ALL since Labour came in!
Taxes are at their highest because Labour refuse to cut spending.

But it’s Friday surely he’s having a movie night and sleepover with his besties Tommy and Holly 😂