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Ukraine Invasion: Part 53

1000 replies

MagicFox · 05/12/2024 18:14

Welcome to 53 and, as always, Slava Ukraini πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
Thread gallery
293
Igotjelly · 28/01/2025 11:38

It comes from an interview that they did (it's on YouTube) with Chuck Pfarrer, a US film producer, writer and ex-Navy Seal.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 12:08

I wonder. Chinese advisors or something?

blueshoes · 28/01/2025 12:09

www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-27-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Ukrainian forces struck Russian long-range drone storage facilities in Oryol Oblast again on January 26.
  • The European Union (EU) proposed an aid package on January 27 to Moldova and Transnistria to help the ongoing gas crisis in the pro-Russian breakaway republic as part of efforts to reduce Russia's ability to exploit Transnistria in its energy blackmail schemes targeting Chisinau.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky replaced Khortytsia Group of Forces Commander Brigadier General Andrii Hnatov with Ground Forces Commander Major General Mykhailo Drapatyi on January 26.
  • Ukrainian forces recently recaptured lost positions near Toretsk.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and Kurakhove.
  • The Russian government continues to expand the federal "Time of Heroes" program, which aims to install Kremlin-selected veterans into government positions, by creating similar programs for Russian veterans across government, including at the regional level.
MissConductUS · 28/01/2025 17:01

Igotjelly · 28/01/2025 11:38

It comes from an interview that they did (it's on YouTube) with Chuck Pfarrer, a US film producer, writer and ex-Navy Seal.

He's generally reliable.

I suspect any Chinese nationals in the Russian army have volunteered to join, possibly with incentives from the Russians. They are paying huge enlistment bonuses to their own people, so why not offer them to the Chinese as well, particularly if they have prior military experience.

MMBaranova · 28/01/2025 23:09

Thanks for the mention @PerkingFaintly , I'm OK and getting on with being supportive and holding as much as I can together. Work and other aspects of life have been draining and distracting. Nobody else I know or am related to in Ukraine has been killed apart from the three in occupied Kherson Oblast. Most are stoical but ground down, some of the younger ones are perhaps trying hard to be 'normal'. Life goes on and North Koreans and Trump are still to truly reveal their impacts.

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 00:55

Interesting opinion piece in the WSJ about how Trump changes the geopolitical dynamic regarding Ukraine.

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/trumps-ukraine-moment-its-a-big-change-to-have-a-president-say-he-wants-the-war-over-48edffd9?st=jtwPPH&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

blueshoes · 29/01/2025 01:31

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 00:55

Trump has certainly upended the narrative. But is it just bluff and bluster?

@MissConductUS do you think Putin would have preferred someone other than Trump after all? Don't need to answer 😁

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 07:49

blueshoes · 29/01/2025 01:31

Trump has certainly upended the narrative. But is it just bluff and bluster?

@MissConductUS do you think Putin would have preferred someone other than Trump after all? Don't need to answer 😁

I'll answer. I think he would have greatly preferred four more years of Biden at the helm.

Biden's ultra-cautious approach minimized the impact the US could have had, making him entirely predictable and easily manipulated by threats of escalation.

The Kremlin dismissed Trump's recent threats of tariffs and more economic sanctions, but within hours, the tone of their statements changed completely.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 29/01/2025 08:33

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️ 'Pure propaganda' β€” Kharkiv Oblast governor denies (kyivindependent.com/pure-propaganda-kharkiv-governor-denies-russian-claims-of-capturing-dvorichna/) Russian claims of capturing Dvorichna.

⚑️Drone strikes target multiple Russian regions, hit oil refinery (kyivindependent.com/drone-strikes-target-multiple-russian-regions-hit-oil-refinery-in-nizhny-novgorod/) in Nizhny Novgorod.

⚑️ '4 out of 4' β€” Russian Lukoil oil refinery struck by multiple Ukrainian drones (kyivindependent.com/4-out-of-4-russian-lukoil-oil-refinery-struck-by-multiple-ukrainian-drones-military-intelligence-source-claims/), military intelligence source claims.

⚑️Defense Minister Umerov under investigation (https://kyivindependent.com/defense-minister-umerov-under-investigation-for-possible-abuse-of-power-office-position/) for possible abuse of power, office position, media reports.
Proceedings against Rustem Umerov opened at the request of the Anti-Corruption Action Center, NABU said.

⚑️Russian oil sales to China, India stall as sanctions increase (kyivindependent.com/china-india-halt-russian-oil-trade-over-rising-tanker-tariffs-media-reports/) costs, Reuters reports.
Trade for March-loading Russian oil in China and India has stalled due to soaring shipping costs triggered by U.S. sanctions introduced on Jan. 10, Reuters reported on Jan. 28.
The sanctions target nearly 200 vessels in Russia's "shadow fleet," major oil companies, and associated entities, significantly complicating Moscow's crude exports.

⚑️ Russian state delegation arrives in Syria (https://kyivindependent.com/russian-state-delegation-arrives-in-syria-first-since-fall-of-assad/), first since fall of Assad.

⚑️NATO official ties assassination (kyivindependent.com/nato-ties-attempted-assassination-plot-against-rheinmetall-ceo-to-russian-sabotage-campaign/) plot against Rheinmetall CEO to Russian sabotage campaign.
Sabotage acts in NATO countries in recent years have included threats to assassinate weapons industry leaders, particularly the German arms maker Rheinmetall's CEO Armin Papperger, NATO's Deputy Assistant Secretary-General James Appathurai said on Jan. 28.
Appathurai also said that the West had sometimes succeeded in stopping Russia from committing acts of sabotage by setting red lines at the highest level.

⚑️Italian parliament extends (kyivindependent.com/italian-parliament-approves-extension-of-military-assistance-to-ukraine-in-2025/) military support for Ukraine through 2025.

⚑️US judge halts (https://kyivindependent.com/us-judge-temporarily-halts-trumps-federal-aid-freeze-nyt-reports/) Trump's federal aid freeze until Monday, NYT reports.
A U.S. federal judge temporarily halted the Trump administration’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB) memo that sought to freeze up to $3 billion in funding for various U.S. federal aid programs, the New York Times (NYT) reported on Jan. 28.

⚑️SBU says it dismantled (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-dismantles-russian-fsb-spy-network-targeting-aircraft-f-16-jets/) Russian spy network targeting F-16 jets.
The operation, conducted near a military airfield, led to the arrest of two agents who were caught photographing a Ukrainian F-16 fighter jet during takeoff, the SBU said.

⚑️US transfers 90 Patriot missiles (kyivindependent.com/us-transfers-90-patriot-missiles-from-israel-to-ukraine-axios-reports/) from Israel to Ukraine, Axios reports.

Germany ramps up (kyivindependent.com/germany-buying-russian-lng/) Russian LNG imports via EU ports, report says.

⚑️China urges Russia, US to cut nuclear arsenals (kyivindependent.com/china-urges-russia-us-to-cut-nuclear-arsenals-before-joining-disarmament-talks/) before joining disarmament talks.

⚑️ EU considering new trade regime (kyivindependent.com/eu-considers-new-trade-framework-with-ukraine/) with Ukraine, media reports.
While the EU Commission does not plan to reinstate pre-invasion trade rules, it is considering alternatives with additional safeguards, RMF24 reported.

⚑️ Spanish Foreign Minister Albares visits (kyivindependent.com/spanish-foreign-minister-albares-visits-ukraine-to-reaffirm-support-amid-war/) Ukraine to reaffirm support amid war.

3 key takeaways from Davos from Ukraine’s economy minister (https://kyivindependent.com/3-key-takeaways-from-davos-from-ukraines-economy-minister/)

⚑️ Government dismisses (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-dismisses-deputy-defense-minister-klimenkov-amid-procurement-tensions/) Deputy Defense Minister Klimenkov amid procurement tensions.
Ukraine's government has confirmed the dismissal of Dmytro Klimenkov from his position as deputy defense minister, said Taras Melnychuk, the government's parliamentary representative, on Jan. 28.

⚑️ Uzbekistan Airways reroute (kyivindependent.com/uzbek-airliners-reroute-european-flights-to-avoid-russia-belarus/) European flights to avoid Russia, Belarus as 'precaution.'

⚑️ Russia pressuring (kyivindependent.com/russian-forces-pressure-relatives-of-ukrainian-pows-to-cooperate-ukrainian-officials-report/) relatives of Ukrainian POWs to collaborate, officials say.
Russia pressures relatives of POWs into cooperating with Russian forces by demanding money, sensitive information, or illegal actions in exchange for promises of better treatment or inclusion in prisoner exchanges, according to the Ukrainian Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs. [this was reported a while ago; perhaps it's escalating]

⚑️2 killed (kyivindependent.com/2-killed-in-mykolaiv-amid-russian-missile-strike/) in Mykolaiv amid Russian missile attack

β€ͺRagnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β€¬ - JAN 28, 2025
β–  Engagements stay above average, casualties below it
β–  Equipment losses up between days; vehicle losses slightly above 7-day average
β–  Strikes on both sides stay below average

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 29/01/2025 08:42

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

The Doomsday Clock has been moved 1 second closer to midnight, now standing at 89 seconds, marking the closest it has ever been.
β€œThis is the closest the world has ever come to midnight,” stated Daniel Holts, chairman of the Science and Security Council of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

The EU plans to accelerate Ukraine’s accession process in 2025, Politico reports, citing Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos.
The EU intends to open two negotiation β€œclusters” with Ukraine in the first half of 2025. This initiative aligns with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s request during his December 2024 meeting with European Council President Antonio Costa.
The accession process involves six negotiation clusters divided into 35 chapters. Although Ukraine has been granted approval to begin talks, the first cluster has not yet been opened.
The acceleration of Ukraine’s EU membership process comes as Kyiv aims to strengthen its position ahead of potential peace talks with Russia. Achieving EU membership would mark a significant milestone for Ukraine, which is also pursuing NATO membership.
However, Marta Kos noted that further progress requires unanimous agreement among all EU member states. Hungary, which opposes Ukraine’s membership, could pose challenges in this regard.

The European Union is preparing to ban the sale of gaming consoles like Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox to Russia, citing their potential use by the Russian military to control drones, the Financial Times reports.
The sanctions, which are expected to align with the anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, will target both new and second-hand console sales by EU traders.
Although major manufacturers like Microsoft, Sony, and Nintendo stopped direct sales to Russia in 2022, the FT notes that China has filled the gap, significantly increasing console exports to Russia, which reached $120 million in 2024.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor OrbΓ‘n expressed his support for Georgian Parliament Speaker Shalva Papuashvili, calling on the bureaucrats in Brussels and the Soros network to cease their attacks on the Georgian government.
OrbΓ‘n stated his backing for Georgia in its fight to preserve sovereignty.

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico referred to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as an β€œenemy of Slovakia,” attributing the country’s problems to him.
β€œOur enemy is Zelenskyy. Zelenskyy caused the problems we have. I don’t like him because he harms Slovakia,” Fico stated.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held a conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, expressing condolences to the Israeli people over the Holocaust tragedy.

Russian Foreign Intelligence Service Director Sergei Naryshkin has invited historians, including those from Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia, to discuss the division of Ukraine, according to Russian propaganda agency TASS. Naryshkin’s initiative aims to examine the "right to Ukrainian lands" under the guise of historical analysis.
The Center for Countering Disinformation at Ukraine's National Security and Defense Council has responded, stating that this is part of Russia’s propaganda strategy to delegitimize Ukraine's sovereignty. By framing Ukraine as an "artificial entity" and claiming its territory belongs to others, Moscow seeks to weaken international support for Ukraine and stir tensions both with its neighbors and within the EU.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 29/01/2025 08:46

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

The US unfreezes part of foreign aid β€” for β€œlife-saving” projects.
Secretary of State Rubio made an exception for initiatives providing critical medicine, medical services, food, shelter, and livelihoods.

Ukraine unleashed one of the largest drone attacks in military history this month, targeting military-industrial infrastructure and assets vital to the core of Putin’s war economy.
Since January 14, 2025, fuel depots, arms manufacturers, and key supply hubs have been struck across dozens of regions in Russia.
www.kyivpost.com/videos/46200

Open-source intelligence social media is abuzz with images that show Ukrainian using the remote artillery-delivered mines and Russian forces encountering the mines scattered on the battlefield.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/46180

Ukraine Uses US-Supplied ADAM Anti-Personnel Landmines

OSINT social media is abuzz with images that show Ukrainian using the remote artillery-delivered mines and Russian forces encountering the mines scattered on the battlefield.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/46180

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 29/01/2025 08:49

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Putin stated that Moscow is ready to negotiate with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, but he does not consider Zelensky a legitimate leader capable of signing a final peace agreement.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦Drones from Ukraine’s HUR (Main Intelligence Directorate) attacked the Lukoil oil depot, intelligence sources confirmed.
The oil depot in Kstovo was aiding Russia’s war effort against Ukraine. At least three explosions were reported at the site overnight. Intelligence sources claim there were four direct hits, causing significant damage to the facility.

❗️The enemy has occupied Velyka Novosilka and advanced near Pishchane, Nadiivka, Andriivka, and Baranivka, according to DeepState.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
blueshoes · 29/01/2025 11:28

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 07:49

I'll answer. I think he would have greatly preferred four more years of Biden at the helm.

Biden's ultra-cautious approach minimized the impact the US could have had, making him entirely predictable and easily manipulated by threats of escalation.

The Kremlin dismissed Trump's recent threats of tariffs and more economic sanctions, but within hours, the tone of their statements changed completely.

@MissConductUS that is interesting. Trump is unpredictable, if anything. I wonder how much the Russian bots were behind Trump's boost from X, TikTok this time round.

blueshoes · 29/01/2025 13:45

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-28-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • The first official Russian delegation arrived in Syria since the fall of the Assad regime on January 28 to discuss Russia's continued use of its military bases in Syria.
  • The Russian military continues to evacuate military assets from the Port of Tartus amid the ongoing Russian-Syrian negotiations.
  • The Russian military likely formed a separate unmanned systems regiment at the military district level in order to augment Russia's unmanned systems capabilities. The creation of this regiment supports the Russian Ministry of Defense's (MoD) recent coordinated effort to establish the Unmanned Systems Forces within the Russian military and centralize control over informal drone detachments.
  • A senior NATO official acknowledged that Russia is escalating a sabotage and destabilization campaign against European NATO member states in Europe to deter further military assistance to Ukraine.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Toretsk and near Pokrovsk, and Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Velyka Novosilka, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
  • The Russian government continues to use its "Time of Heroes" program to appoint veterans of the war in Ukraine to federal government positions as part of wider Kremlin efforts to militarize Russian society.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
Golden407 · 29/01/2025 18:55

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 07:49

I'll answer. I think he would have greatly preferred four more years of Biden at the helm.

Biden's ultra-cautious approach minimized the impact the US could have had, making him entirely predictable and easily manipulated by threats of escalation.

The Kremlin dismissed Trump's recent threats of tariffs and more economic sanctions, but within hours, the tone of their statements changed completely.

Interesting, which further sanctions are available though?

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 19:06

Golden407 · 29/01/2025 18:55

Interesting, which further sanctions are available though?

He would have to incentivize other countries to stop buying Russian oil. He could, for example, threaten India with a 25% tariff on anything it exports to the US if it continues to buy Russian oil.

Edited to add that Trump has always had strong relationships with the Saudis. I don't think that they'd lower oil prices for him, but they would be unlikely to interfere with anything he's doing to pressure Russia, like increasing US oil exports.

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 19:18

Aw, this warms my heart.

US M113 armored personnel carriers prove crucial to Ukraine's fighting forces

It's good to see the M113 getting some love from the Ukrainians. We used to call them ACAVs (Armored Cavalry Assault Vehicles). They stopped making them in 2007 in favor of the better-armed Bradley IFV, but thousands of them are still in service.

US M113 armored personnel carriers prove crucial to Ukraine's fighting forces

The M113 holds a two-person crew – a driver and a gunner.

https://www.voanews.com/a/us-m113-armored-personnel-carriers-prove-crucial-to-ukraine-s-fighting-forces-/7951605.html

blueshoes · 30/01/2025 09:41

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-29-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Western military assistance remains vital to Ukraine's ability to maintain its defense against Russian aggression.
  • Putin's longstanding theory of victory relies on the assumption that the West will abandon Ukraine, and only unwavering Western support and consistent deliveries of Western military assistance to Kyiv can force Putin to abandon his theory and accept the need to offer the concessions necessary for any resolution to the conflict acceptable to the US, Europe, and Ukraine.
  • Putin indicated that he will not view any peace agreement with Ukraine as binding by claiming that the Ukrainian government is either unwilling or unable to rescind the 2022 Ukrainian presidential decree banning negotiations with Putin.
  • Putin's statements rejecting the legitimacy of the Ukrainian government and of a possible future peace agreement set conditions for Russia to justify violating any future agreements with Ukraine.
  • Putin continues efforts to coerce US President Donald Trump into bilateral negotiations that exclude Ukraine, impose his desired negotiations framework on Trump, and compel Trump to inadvertently endorse ongoing Russian information operations about the illegitimacy of the current Ukrainian government.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike at the Russian oil refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast and reportedly hit a Russian arsenal in Tver Oblast on the night of January 28 to 29.
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) confirmed in a post on January 29 that Lieutenant General Alexander Sanchik is the commander of the Russian Southern Grouping of Forces.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast and near Toretsk and Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Velyka Novosilka, Robotnye, and in the Dnipro direction.
  • Volunteer recruitment rates in in Moscow have dropped sharply, as Russian citizens grow increasingly unwilling to serve in Ukraine.
MagicFox · 30/01/2025 09:48

Not been able to read my phone much last week - I assume we've discussed the withdrawal of NK troops?

OP posts:
Golden407 · 30/01/2025 10:03

MissConductUS · 29/01/2025 19:06

He would have to incentivize other countries to stop buying Russian oil. He could, for example, threaten India with a 25% tariff on anything it exports to the US if it continues to buy Russian oil.

Edited to add that Trump has always had strong relationships with the Saudis. I don't think that they'd lower oil prices for him, but they would be unlikely to interfere with anything he's doing to pressure Russia, like increasing US oil exports.

Edited

I'd love to see some movement with this but I can't see where it comes from. Russia has one of the worlds lowest costs of production for oil, around 15 USD per barrel. US production costs vary greatly because of the varying costs of shale production but bottoms at around 25 USD per barrel.
Without making the overwhelming majority of global production loss making it's not possible. As far as threatening sanctions goes. Trade between India and the US isn't huge on a global scale and it's only slightly skewed in Indias favour I doubt it's a huge lever.
It's worth remembering india is bringing in a huge amount revenue buying Russian oil and gas and selling them on to Europe at a mark up.

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-vladimir-putin-russia-fuel-imports-india-war-in-ukraine-price-cap-sanction/

I think it just serves to highlight the relative decline of US/Western power. I don't think the traditional methods of threats and coercion work as the power just isn't there to make them effective anymore.

The US and the wider West needs to come to terms with a multipolar world and adjust it's approach accordingly. Twenty years ago the sanctions imposed on Russia would have crippled the economy within weeks and it's allies would have distanced themselves immediately. That's not the case anymore.

EU bankrolling Putin with growing Russian fuel buys from India, report warns

The EU is paying more for fuel imports made from Moscow’s crude, showcasing the growing failure of its signature price-cap sanction.

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-vladimir-putin-russia-fuel-imports-india-war-in-ukraine-price-cap-sanction

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 30/01/2025 10:08

Agreed about the multipolar world and this has been coming awhile @Golden407

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 30/01/2025 11:34

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️ Russian assault intensity declines (kyivindependent.com/russian-assault-intensity-declines-but-remains-high-focus-on-pokrovsk-sector-monitoring-group-reports/), focus on Pokrovsk sector, monitoring group reports.
Despite suffering heavy losses, Russian forces have reportedly been able to replenish their combat strength.

⚑️ Russian army recruitment centres in Moscow see five-fold drop (kyivindependent.com/russian-army-recruitment-centres-in-moscow-see-five-fold-drop-in-applicants-media-reports/) in applicants, media reports.
Russia is currently suffering around 1500-1750 casualties daily on the battlefield.

⚑️ Russia's Soviet-era military stockpile running low (kyivindependent.com/russia-facing-equipment-shortages-media-reported/), media reports.
Unless an unexpected shift occurs, hostilities could gradually fade by late 2025 or early 2026 due to Russia's shortage of tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery, The Insider wrote.

⚑️Ukrainian lawmakers seek to temporarily replace (kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-lawmakers-seek-to-temporarily-replace-usaid-with-european-funding/) USAID with European funding.

⚑️UPDATE: Rubio issues humanitarian waiver (kyivindependent.com/rubio-issues-humanitarian-waiver-for-trumps-foreign-aid-freeze-wp-reports/) for Trump's foreign aid freeze.
Those programs not covered by the waiver include "abortions, family planning conferences… transgender surgeries, or other non-life saving assistance."

⚑️Syrian rebel leader Ahmad al-Sharaa named (kyivindependent.com/syrian-rebel-leader-ahmad-al-sharaa-named-transitional-president/) transitional president.

⚑️ EU to propose phased ban on Russian aluminium (https://kyivindependent.com/eu-to-propose-phased-ban-on-russian-aluminium-in-new-sanctions-package-bloomberg-reports/) in new sanctions package, Bloomberg reports.
The sanctions will also target an additional 70 vessels suspected to be part of Russia’s "shadow-fleet."

⚑️NATO on track to send Kyiv over $40 billion (kyivindependent.com/nato-on-track-to-send-kyiv-over-40-billion-in-2025/) in 2025.

Ukraine war latest: Ukrainian drones hit Lukoil oil refinery (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-ukrainian-drones-hit-lukoil-oil-refinery-missile-arsenal-in-russia-sources-claim/), missile arsenal in Russia, sources claim
Ukrainian drones hit the Andreapol oil pumping station and missile arsenal in Russia's Tver Oblast overnight on Jan. 29, a source in the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) told the Kyiv Independent.
A Lukoil oil refinery in the Russian oblast of Nizhny Novgorod was struck by multiple Ukrainian drones in the early hours of Jan. 29, a military intelligence (HUR) source told the Kyiv Independent.

⚑️ EU debates restarting Russian gas purchases as part of Ukraine peace deal, FT reports. (kyivindependent.com/eu-mulls-restarting-russian-gas-purchases-as-part-of-ukraine-peace-deal-ft-reports/)

⚑️EU not considering banning Russian LNG until it secures alternatives (kyivindependent.com/eu-not-considering-banning-russian-lng-until-it-secures-alternatives-reuters-reports/), Reuters reports.
The European Commission will not propose implementing a ban on Russian liquified natural gas (LNG) imports in its upcoming sanctions package amid concern among member states about first securing an alternative supply from other countries, including the United States, EU diplomats told Reuters on Jan. 29.

⚑️Finland, Ukraine develop (https://kyivindependent.com/finland-ukraine-develop-warfare-drone/) warfare drone, media reports.
Finnish company Insta presented a Steel Eagle drone, developed in cooperation with Ukraine, the Finnish broadcaster Yle reported on Jan. 29.
The Finnish company Insta describes the system as a combination of an "explosive charge and a drone." The drone can be used to transport an explosive charge that can detonate above a target.

⚑️Nearly 100 companies in Ukraine quietly change Russian ownership (kyivindependent.com/nearly-100-companies-in-ukraine-quietly-change-russian-ownership-in-6-months-monitoring-service-reports/) in 6 months, monitoring service reports, [...] despite a moratorium on altering the registration of companies with Russian owners, the monitoring service Opendatabot reported.

⚑️Georgia withdraws (kyivindependent.com/georgia-withdraws-from-pace-calls-demands-for-new-elections-blackmail/) from PACE, calls demands for new elections 'blackmail.'
Georgia withdrew its delegation from the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) on Jan. 29 after the Assembly passed a resolution calling for Tbilisi to hold new parliamentary elections.

⚑️ Syria demands Russian compensation for 'past mistakes (kyivindependent.com/syria-seeks-russian-compensation-for-past-mistakes-in-first-talks-since-assads-fall/)' in first talks since Assad's fall.
Russia deployed troops to Syria in 2015 to support the Assad regime's brutal crackdown against anti-government forces.

⚑️Syria calls on (kyivindependent.com/syria-calls-on-russia-to-hand-over-assad-key-aides-in-first-post-ouster-talks-media-reports/)Russia to hand over Assad, key aides in first post-ouster talks, media reports.
The demand was allegedly raised during the first negotiations between Syrian officials and a Kremlin delegation following Bashar al-Assad's ouster in December, Reuters reported. [my my my my, I wonder if Syria will succeed]

⚑️Slovakia summons (kyivindependent.com/slovakia-summons-ukrainian-ambassador-after/) Ukrainian ambassador over Zelensky's criticism of Russian gas purchases.

⚑️Russian oligarch Abramovich underpays (kyivindependent.com/abramovich-owes-billion-to-uk-in-taxes-media-says/) $1.2 billion to UK in taxes, investigation says.
From 1990 until 2020, Roman Abramovich invested about $6 billion in Keygrove Holdings Ltd, a company registered in the British Virgin Islands.

⚑️ Australian POW feared executed by Russia is alive, (https://kyivindependent.com/australian-pow-feared-executed-by-russia-is-alive-penny-wong-says/) Penny Wong says.
Oscar Jenkins went missing on Dec. 16 in 2024 while on a combat mission near the village of Mykolaivka in Luhansk Oblast.

⚑️Russian figure skating champions reportedly on board plane crashed (kyivindependent.com/russian-world-figure-skating-champions-were-on-board-plane-crashed-in-washington/) in Washington.
The plane crashed into a military helicopter while landing at the Washington airport. In the first hours after the crash, rescuers did not find any survivors.

⚑️ 8 killed, 26 injured in Russian attacks (kyivindependent.com/8-killed-26-injured-in-russian-attacks-across-ukraine-over-past-day/) across Ukraine over past day.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β€¬ β€ͺ- JAN 30, 2025
β–  Engagement & casualties below 7-day average
β–  Equipment losses stay slightly above average
β–  πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί strikes stay below average, πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ strikes in the double digits See dashboard for further data

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 30/01/2025 11:46

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members have yet to respond to Donald Trump’s call to lower oil prices, Reuters reports.
Ministers from the group have held discussions but decided not to change their current plan to gradually increase production. Sources indicate that the upcoming OPEC+ ministerial meeting on February 3 is also unlikely to result in adjustments, with production increases set to begin in April.
At present, OPEC+ nations maintain a production cut of 5.86 million barrels per dayβ€”approximately 5.7% of global demand.

US sanctions on Russia’s fuel and energy sector, imposed before Biden left office, have not significantly cut Russian oil exports, Bloomberg reports.
So far, there is no clear sign of reduced Russian oil flows. In the week ending January 26, daily exports rose by 320,000 barrels, reaching 3.07 million barrels per day. The four-week average climbed to 2.96 million barrels per day but remains 9% lower than last year’s average.

Far-right pro-Russian Romanian politician Călin Georgescu called Ukraine a fictitious state and claimed that its division among neighboring countries is inevitable.

About half of the $50 billion loan for Ukraine cannot be used for weapons purchases, Spiegel reports.
The G7 and the Biden administration aimed to secure military aid for Ukraine in case Donald Trump returned to the White House. Last summer, allies agreed to provide Kyiv with a $50 billion loan from frozen Russian assets.
[...] after the November elections, the US decided to contribute its full share instead of half. Pistorius and Baerbock noted that this meant the US portion could not be used for military purposes, as Washington structured its contribution to avoid congressional opposition.
As a result, only the EU’s €18 billion, the UK’s €2.7 billion, and half of Canada’s €3.3 billion remain available for Ukraine’s military needs.

Syria is demanding compensation from Russia for its β€œpast mistakes,” The Moscow Times reports.[...]
In particular, Syria is demanding compensation for the destruction caused by Russian airstrikes during its support of Assad in the civil war. The government stressed that rebuilding trust with the Syrian people requires concrete steps, including reparations, reconstruction, and economic recovery.
The Russian delegation, which arrived on January 28, included Putin’s special representativesβ€”Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov and Alexander Lavrentiev. The Kremlin’s key concern was the future of its military bases in Khmeimim and Tartus. However, negotiations reportedly reached an impasse, with TΓΌrkiye opposing Russia’s continued presence and the new Syrian administration unwilling to overlook Moscow’s past involvement in the conflict.
Bogdanov stated that, for now, the status of Russian bases in Syria remains unchanged. However, Bloomberg sources confirm that Moscow has failed to secure an agreement on their long-term presence.

The EU is preparing its 16th sanctions package against Russia, which includes a phased ban on Russian aluminum imports, additional SWIFT cutoffs, and restrictions on over 70 shadow fleet ships transporting Russian oil, Bloomberg reports.
Under the plan, European buyers could import up to 275,000 metric tons of Russian aluminum under a quota system for one year before a full ban takes effect. The proposal also includes a ban on storing Russian oil in the EU, expanded restrictions on Russian-controlled aircraft, and a prohibition on operations with certain Russian ports and airports used for arms transfers.
Other measures target three Russian-controlled banks abroad and entities using Moscow’s SWIFT-equivalent financial messaging system (SPFS). The EU also plans restrictions on software, hardware, and technology used in weapons systems, as well as sanctions on companies in China, Turkey, and other countries that help Russia bypass restrictions.
Additionally, the EU has proposed tariffs on Russian and Belarusian agricultural products that are not yet taxed, along with some nitrogen fertilizers.

The European Court of Justice has refused to lift sanctions on Alexander Vinokurov, the son-in-law of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

Russia’s Hybrid Warfare: Five Tactics That Shape the Threat (united24media.com/anti-fake/russias-hybrid-warfare-five-tactics-that-shape-the-threat-5455)
War, as we once understood it, is no longer confined to battlefields or military zones. It has taken on a new disguiseβ€”hybrid warfare.
Russia has become a master of hybrid tactics β€” a calculated mix of conventional and unconventional strategies designed to destabilize, disrupt, and weaken adversaries without declaring full-scale war. Below, we examine five key tactics of Russian hybrid warfare, highlighting the growing and multifaceted threat it poses to the global order.
Read more in our editorial: https://united24media.com/anti-fake/russias-hybrid-warfare-five-tactics-that-shape-the-threat-5455

Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed his support for Donald Trump and the American people following the plane crash in Washington. CBS News reports that 19 people are confirmed dead, while four survivors have not been confirmed yet. Rescue operations are ongoing and are expected to continue for several days.
Two drone attacks on a Russian oil depot in Engels damaged ten fuel tanks and destroyed four more, according to British intelligence.

Two drone attacks on a Russian oil depot in Engels damaged ten fuel tanks and destroyed four more, according to British intelligence.

This is what Chasiv Yar in Donetsk region looks like now, where about 13,000 people once lived.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
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