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Ukraine Invasion: Part 53

1000 replies

MagicFox · 05/12/2024 18:14

Welcome to 53 and, as always, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
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293
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 25/01/2025 10:08

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Ukraine confirmed overnight drone strikes deep into Russia, hitting a Ryazan oil refinery and a Bryansk missile microelectronics plant.
The attack has led to widespread airport closures. Fires at the strike sites are still raging.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/45978#

Forged anew! The UK awarded contracts to build artillery barrels for Ukraine, restarting a dormant industry from its slumber after the end of the Cold War.
www.kyivpost.com/post/45985

Abandoned by Putin, Mariupol’s residents are still homeless three years after Russia turned their city into ruins and occupied it.
Now, they appeal to the Kremlin dictator for help, rejecting “ownerless” apartments and unaffordable mortgages.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/45942

Massive SBU and SSO Drone Strikes Hit Ryazan Oil Refinery, Triggering Fires and Airport Closures in Russia

The UAVs struck the Ryazan oil refinery, a critical supplier for Russia’s military and Bryansk’s Kremniy plant which produces missile system microelectronics.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/45978#

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 25/01/2025 10:11

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

It is known that “Kremniy EL” products are used in the development of “Pantsir” air defense systems and “Iskander” missile complexes. [The factory has stopped production after 6 drone strikes from Ukraine last night]

“Putin is a dckhead” and “Fck Russia” are now echoing through Tbilisi buses due to a hack of payment validators
Georgian media report that the validators are playing audio featuring protest slogans, such as “Glory to Ukraine, Glory to Georgia, F*ck Russia” and “I am Georgian and therefore I am European” — a quote from former Prime Minister Zurab Zhvania.
Tbilisi City Hall announced that the passenger payment systems would be temporarily disabled. During this time, public transport will be free of charge.

🪖 Ukraine has lost more soldiers in the war than the U.S. did in both the Vietnam and Korean Wars combined, according to Trump’s special envoy, Keith Kellogg.
During the Korean War (1950–1953), the U.S. lost approximately 37,000 soldiers. In the Vietnam War (1965–1975), the U.S. suffered about 58,000 fatalities. Kellogg’s statement suggests that Ukraine has lost over 80,000 soldiers.
Previously, Kellogg claimed that Russia’s losses since the beginning of the full-scale invasion are five times greater than Ukraine’s. President Donald Trump has mentioned that losses on both sides amount to “hundreds of thousands.”
▪️ Both Ukraine and Russia rarely disclose information about their losses in the war. In December 2024, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that 43,000 Ukrainian soldiers had died, and 370,000 were injured. [well yes, Mr Kellogg, but the US was not having its home ground invaded by people intent on destroying its existence]

During the night of January 25, air defense forces shot down 2 Kh-59/69 missiles and 46 enemy drones.
Russia launched 2 guided missiles and 61 drones at Ukraine, including 15 UAVs designed as radar decoys, which were lost locationally.
Air defense systems were active in Odesa, Kharkiv, Poltava, Sumy, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Khmelnytskyi, and Kirovohrad oblasts.

blueshoes · 25/01/2025 19:52

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-24-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin is once again attempting to obfuscate his unwillingness to participate in good-faith negotiations to end the war by blaming Ukraine for defending itself against Russia's invasion and illegal annexation of Ukrainian territory.
  • Zelensky signed the decree in September 2022 banning negotiations with Putin in direct response to Putin's illegal annexation of four regions in eastern and southern Ukraine and after months of negotiations in which Russia continued to demand Ukraine's full capitulation.
  • However, Zelensky has consistently signaled his willingness to negotiate with Russia and make certain compromises in pursuit of peace following the 2022 decree banning formal negotiations with Putin.
  • Putin meanwhile continues to signal to both his domestic and global audiences that he is not interested in peace short of his full demands and remains committed to Ukraine's complete capitulation.
  • Putin is attempting to leverage the 2022 decree as a strawman to hide the reality of his disinterest in negotiations and to sow discord between Ukraine and its Western allies.
  • Putin also attempted to position himself as Trump’s equal during his interview, reinforcing his long-held belief that Russia is the great-power heir to the Soviet Union.
  • Putin demonstrated that he is worried about the effect that lower oil prices would have on his domestic stability and ability to wage his war in Ukraine.
  • The Kremlin is attempting to revive its information operation aimed at deterring the US and other Western states from providing further military assistance to Ukraine.
  • The Kremlin is framing the new 2025 Union State Security Concept as completely superseding the original 1999 Security Concept, indicating that this new agreement may be more expansive than the original and will further forward the Kremlin's effort to annex Belarus.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted a large series of drone strikes against Russian defense industrial enterprises and oil refineries on the night of January 23 to 24 as part of an ongoing strike series aimed at degrading Russian military capacity.
  • Russian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast and near Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka.
  • Ukrainian forces recently recaptured lost positions near Toretsk.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 26/01/2025 10:54

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Donetsk Oblast to forcibly evacuate children (kyivindependent.com/donetsk-oblast-to-forcibly-evacuate-children-from-over-20-settlements/) from over 20 settlements.

⚡️Trump serious about annexing Greenland (kyivindependent.com/trump-serious-about-annexing-greenland-aggressive-with-danish-pm-ft-reports/), aggressive with Danish PM, FT reports.
Trump's territorial ambitions and disregard for international norms are "serious, and potentially very dangerous," a senior European Official told the Financial Times.

⚡️Zelensky offers Ukraine as transit hub (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-offers-ukraine-as-transit-hub-for-azerbaijani-gas-to-europe/) for Azerbaijani gas to Europe.

⚡️Russia's Ryazan oil refinery (kyivindependent.com/russias-ryazan-oil-refinery-in-flames-after-reported-drone-strike/) in flames after reported drone strike.

⚡️US considers buying (kyivindependent.com/us-exploring-possibility-of-buying-weapons-for-ukraine-using-frozen-russian-assets/) weapons for Ukraine using frozen Russian assets, Kellogg says.
The U.S. government is considering purchasing American weapons for Ukraine with money received from frozen Russian assets, Keith Kellogg, U.S. President Donald Trump's peace envoy for Ukraine and Russia, told Fox News on Jan. 24.

⚡️US diplomats push for exemption on Ukraine (https://kyivindependent.com/us-diplomats-push-for-exemption-on-ukraine-aid-amid-90-day-freeze-ft-reports/) aid amid 90-day freeze, FT reports.
Senior diplomats in the State Department’s Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs requested a full waiver to exclude U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) operations in Ukraine from a 90-day foreign aid freeze, citing national security concerns, according to the Financial Times.

⚡️Zelensky, Sandu say they are ready (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-sandu-reaffirm-readiness-to-cover-energy-needs-of-russian-controlled-transnistria/) to meet Transnistria's energy needs.

⚡️Parliament committee head calls for defense minister's resignation (kyivindependent.com/ukraines-defense-procurement-agency-continues-to-operate-under-director-previously-dismissed-by-umerov/) as defense procurement scandal escalates.
Anastasia Radina, head of the Ukrainian parliament's anti-corruption committee, on Jan. 25 urged Defense Minister Rustem Umerov to resign after he fired Maryna Bezrukova, the head of the Defense Procurement Agency (DPA). The DPA and Bezrukova said that Umerov's decision was null and void, and she remains the legitimate head of the agency.
Umerov has been lambasted by anti-corruption activists for what they see as his efforts to destroy the DPA's independence and jeopardize Western military aid.

⚡️Zelensky backs Slovak protests (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-backs-slovak-protests-as-fico-criticizes-opposition-organizers/) as Fico criticizes opposition, organizers.

⚡️Trump fires Defense, State department watchdogs (kyivindependent.com/trump-fires-defense-state-department-watchdogs-in-latest-government-purge/) in latest government purge.
Inspectors general provide oversight of federal agencies, investigating cases of possible fraud, waste, and abuse of power. Defense Department watchdogs have played a role in tracking U.S. military aid to Ukraine throughout Russia's full-scale invasion.

⚡️US suspends programs (kyivindependent.com/us-suspends-programs-for-entry-of-migrants-including-ukrainians/) for entry of migrants, including Ukrainians, NYT reports.
Trump previously pledged to impose harsher legislation on migrants and launch the "largest deportation program in U.S. history," aimed at removing 15 to 20 million migrants from the country.

⚡️Russian attacks (kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-across-ukraine-injure-10-over-past-day/) across Ukraine injure 10 over past day.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪ - JAN 26, 2025
Engagements & casualties stay above average
■ Tank losses also above it while other equipment is below average
■ 🇷🇺 air strikes above average, MLRS strikes below it & relatively few 🇺🇦 strikes

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 26/01/2025 10:58

What the living fuck is Trump?

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 26/01/2025 11:03

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has issued a stern warning to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, cautioning him against vetoing the extension of sanctions against Russia.
Tusk stated that if Orbán blocks European sanctions during this critical phase of the war, it would reveal that Orbán is prioritizing Putin's interests over the collective security and future of Europe. Such an action, Tusk emphasized, would result in serious consequences.

Zelenskyy believes that Ukraine, the United States, Europe, and Russia should participate in future negotiations to end the war.

The Czech Republic has drafted a plan for the integration of Ukraine and Moldova into the EU, Euractiv reports.
This unofficial document outlines economic cooperation in several areas and will be presented by Minister for European Affairs Martin Dvorak at the EU Council on January 28.
The Czech Republic has already gained the backing of eight countries: Estonia, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Latvia, Romania, Slovenia, and Sweden.
Proposed measures include access to EU roaming for Ukraine and Moldova, training programs for entrepreneurs, cooperation in cybersecurity, and long-term solutions for the agricultural sector.

Russia’s Coal Industry Faces Bankruptcy Amid Low Global Prices — Newsweek

The Russian coal industry is on the brink of collapse as global coal prices remain low. Falling exports and declining revenues have prompted the Russian government to take action. The state development corporation VEB.RF is prepared to assume control of bankrupt assets, Newsweek reports.
Isaac Levy from the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) explained that sanctions against Russia and reduced sales to China have severely impacted the coal sector. [...]
In 2024, Russia’s seaborne coal export revenues fell 22% to $24.9 billion, down from $32.2 billion in 2023. Export volumes also dropped 15%, with shipments to China decreasing by 20% to 16 million tonnes and to South Korea by 35% to 8.4 million tonnes.
[...] Many smaller companies are expected to collapse under debt this year.
[...]
From January to September 2024, Russia’s coal industry suffered losses totaling 91 billion rubles ($1 billion), with nearly half of enterprises operating at a loss.

Putin was actively creating shadow channels to pressure Ukraine into negotiations, President Zelenskyy stated. There were numerous shadow political processes, including involvement from our parliamentary corps, MEPs, and even the United States. According to The New York Times, in the fall of 2022, U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley pushed for negotiations.
"I put an end to this by forbidding anyone from holding negotiations with Russia or Putin’s supporters during the war,” Zelenskyy said.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 26/01/2025 11:06

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Russia loses a key naval base in Syria after the fall of the Assad regime. What does this mean for Putin’s Middle East ambitions?
www.kyivpost.com/videos/46033

A quick end to the war in Ukraine will not happen, but US President could speed up the process through sanctions and economic pressure — Zelensky in interview with Italian journalist Cecilia Sala

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 26/01/2025 11:08

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇺🇦🇲🇩 Ukraine is ready to provide coal to Moldova and send specialists to maintain the power plant in Transnistria, President Volodymyr Zelensky announced
The president explained that with Ukrainian coal and expertise, the Moldovan GRES power plant could increase electricity production tenfold — from 220 megawatts to 2 gigawatts.

Around 20,000 people are known to have been killed in Mariupol, but exact numbers remain unknown, Zelensky stated.
The President of Ukraine made this remark in an interview with the Italian newspaper Il Foglio.
He also reminded that the majority of the 19,500 children known to have been deported to Russia by Ukrainian authorities were taken from the occupied southern regions of Ukraine, including Mariupol.

An opponent of aid to Ukraine has been appointed as the U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security
South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem was confirmed for the position by the Senate.
In 2023, Noem stated that providing aid to Kyiv was a strategic mistake. She also criticized sanctions against Russia, arguing that they harm the United States.

Since last evening, air defense forces have shot down 50 out of 72 Russian drones, with 9 additional drones locationslly lost.
Drones were intercepted in Kyiv, Odesa, Kharkiv, Poltava, Sumy, Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Khmelnytskyi oblats.

blueshoes · 26/01/2025 13:20

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-25-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Ukraine and Moldova continue to offer solutions to Transnistria's energy crisis as Moldovan President Maia Sandu met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv on January 25.
  • The Kremlin is continuing to leverage the prominent Kremlin-linked Rybar Telegram channel to cultivate increased Russian influence in Iraq.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka.
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on January 25 that the Russian government will allow veterans of volunteer formations (dobrovolcheskie formirovaniya) to receive "combat veteran status" without submitting a formal application.
* *
AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 26/01/2025 13:28

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 26/01/2025 10:58

What the living fuck is Trump?

An extremely nasty man with a size twelve ego in a size three soul.

DrBlackbird · 26/01/2025 16:57

Maybe Trump is going to suggest that all Ukrainians just shift over to neighbouring countries? https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/26/trump-resumes-sending-2000-pound-bombs-to-israel-undoing-biden-pause

How do other country leaders respond to his utter craziness? Must just reduce them to silence. And I wonder how democrats who refused to vote for KH because of her perceived lack of support for Palestine feel now that Trump’s in charge? See where their principles got them… Trump’s resumption of selling 2,000lb bombs to Israel.

Btw, he looks old in that photo. Will he be like Biden and noticeably age in the next two years? It’s just all so frightening having these crazy people in the WH.

Trump suggests Palestinians leave Gaza and ‘we just clean out’ territory

US president says he wants people to move to neighbouring nations, after resuming shipments of 2,000lb bombs to Israel

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/26/trump-resumes-sending-2000-pound-bombs-to-israel-undoing-biden-pause

Igotjelly · 26/01/2025 17:29

DrBlackbird · 26/01/2025 16:57

Maybe Trump is going to suggest that all Ukrainians just shift over to neighbouring countries? https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/26/trump-resumes-sending-2000-pound-bombs-to-israel-undoing-biden-pause

How do other country leaders respond to his utter craziness? Must just reduce them to silence. And I wonder how democrats who refused to vote for KH because of her perceived lack of support for Palestine feel now that Trump’s in charge? See where their principles got them… Trump’s resumption of selling 2,000lb bombs to Israel.

Btw, he looks old in that photo. Will he be like Biden and noticeably age in the next two years? It’s just all so frightening having these crazy people in the WH.

Just some light ethnic cleansing…. It’s utterly horrific.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 27/01/2025 09:54

Live:Ukraine

🔹 🇺🇸🇺🇦The U.S. has suspended immigration entry programs, including those for Ukrainians, according to The New York Times

The affected programs include Uniting for Ukraine, which allowed Ukrainians to enter the U.S. with a financial sponsor. As of September 2023, over 150,000 Ukrainians had used this program.

Other impacted programs also apply to migrants from Cuba, Haiti, and Venezuela.

🇺🇦🇸🇰Zelensky commented on the massive protests against Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico’s policies of rapprochement with Russia.

“Bratislava is not Moscow; Slovakia is Europe,” Zelensky remarked on the events.

🇺🇦🇲🇩 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Moldovan President Maia Sandu held a meeting in Kyiv

The leaders discussed, among other topics, the energy situation and reaffirmed their ability to meet the energy needs of residents in the Transnistrian region. Kyiv and Chișinău condemned Russia for deliberately halting gas supplies to Transnistria.

Ukraine and Moldova will work together to strengthen energy security and diversify energy sources.

🇺🇦🇦🇿Ukraine is ready to transport Azerbaijani gas to Europe, President Volodymyr Zelensky announced.

“Azerbaijan has significant production today — around 40 billion cubic meters. It uses about 14–15 billion domestically, leaving a large export capacity of 25 billion cubic meters. We can utilize our infrastructure if European countries need gas that isn’t Russian,” Zelensky stated.

🔸 Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico claimed that a third of the participants in the anti-government protests in the country are Ukrainians.

He also stated that he will not step down from his position despite the demonstrations, which gathered around 60,000 people in the capital alone yesterday.

❗️American diplomats are requesting that Ukraine be excluded from the U.S. program suspending international aid for 90 days, The Financial Times reports, citing relevant documents.

The article states that programs supporting Ukraine’s economy, hospitals, schools, energy development, and more are at risk. However, a Ukrainian government official confirmed to FT that military aid will continue.

“We don’t yet know if this request will be approved—fully or partially. But there are positive signals from Washington,” reads a letter sent to USAID staff in Ukraine.

Meanwhile, The New York Times reports that the U.S. will suspend global humanitarian demining programs as part of Trump’s executive order to reassess foreign aid. Organizations receiving grants for demining are expected to receive further instructions on Monday.

🇧🇾Presidential “elections” have begun in Belarus, where it is highly likely that the so-called President Alexander Lukashenko will secure a seventh term

This time, voting is only permitted within Belarus, as polling stations abroad have been closed.

The election results are expected to be announced by February 5.

Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has already stated that it will not recognize Lukashenko as president following these “elections.”

Alexander Lukashenko has ruled Belarus since 1994. A “victory” in this election would allow him to remain in power until at least 2030.

🇧🇾 Lukashenko denied Zelensky’s claim that he allegedly suggested striking the Mozyr Oil Refinery in Belarus in 2022.

“Why are you saying this? You’re a bad showman, not even Trump. You’re lying,” Lukashenko said about Zelensky.

According to Lukashenko, it would have been “inconvenient” for him to suggest such a strike as he would have had to “respond to it,” which would have drawn Belarus into the war.

🔹 The USAID office in Ukraine has received orders to suspend funding for all projects, Suspilne reports, citing sources.

Ukrainian organizations are receiving notices to halt activities previously funded by USAID. However, according to sources, it remains unclear how this directive will be implemented or whether any exceptions will be made.

USAID in Ukraine supports the reconstruction of schools, the provision of medical services, and the repair of critical energy infrastructure.

🇫🇮 The President of Finland believes that the U.S. will not leave NATO under Trump.

Alexander Stubb explained to Spiegel that no other alliance could provide Washington with such a reliable and cost-effective way to secure its interests and safety in Europe.

“I am optimistic: in four years, our Alliance will be even stronger. And perhaps by that time, Ukraine will also become a member of our organization. You never know for sure,” Stubb said.

🤡 Only Belarusian peacekeepers could ensure normal relations between Ukraine and Russia, but Minsk has no plans to send them to the frontline, the self-proclaimed President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, stated.

Lukashenko added that neither Kyiv nor the West would supposedly agree to such a decision.

🇧🇾 Lukashenko reportedly received 87.6% of the vote, according to pro-government media outlet BelTA, citing exit poll data.

The ballot included four other candidates, who allegedly garnered between 1.2% and 2.7% of the vote. The Central Election Commission reported a voter turnout of 85.7% for the so-called presidential election in Belarus.

▪️Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that Belarus lacks the basic conditions for holding transparent and fair elections, and Kyiv will not recognize Lukashenko as president. Similarly, EU countries and the international community will not consider him legitimate, as the European Parliament has adopted a corresponding resolution.

🔹 Hungary has blocked the EU’s joint statement on non-recognition of Lukashenko’s “re-election.”

As a result, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas and European Commissioner for Enlargement Martha Kos were compelled to issue their own statement, declaring the Belarusian presidential “elections” as fraudulent and illegitimate.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 27/01/2025 10:11

United 24 Media:

❗️Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized that military aid to Ukraine continues uninterrupted despite the suspension of certain U.S. foreign aid programs.

Zelenskyy noted that while military support remains unaffected, details regarding other programs, particularly humanitarian assistance, are not yet fully clear. He mentioned that these programs are set to be suspended for 90 days.

"I know there are some restrictions, and we need to examine them closely. These restrictions primarily affect humanitarian programs. Many institutions worldwide that were previously supported by the U.S. government may face challenges. However, I do not see this money directly. I can only speak about what Ukraine may not receive. My focus remains on military aid, and it has not been stopped. Thank God!" Zelenskyy stated.

🔹 Presidents Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine and Maia Sandu of Moldova issued a joint statement following their discussions in Kyiv. They reaffirmed their commitment to addressing the energy needs of Transnistria.

Both leaders strongly condemned Russia's ongoing subversive activities and hybrid attacks targeting Moldova. These activities, they noted, were particularly evident during last year’s presidential elections and referendum, undermining Moldova’s sovereignty and stability.

🔸 U.S. diplomats have urged the Financial Times to exempt Ukraine-related programs from a 90-day freeze on foreign aid and stop-work orders issued by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the Financial Times reports, citing documents and sources familiar with the situation.

The Trump administration’s decision to freeze foreign aid has jeopardized support for schools, hospitals, and economic development in Ukraine.

Diplomats from the State Department’s Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs, citing national security concerns, asked Rubio to fully exempt the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) in Ukraine from the freeze, which took effect immediately after its announcement on Friday.

On Saturday, a letter to USAID staff in Ukraine noted:
“We do not know at this time whether this request will be granted — in whole or in part — but there are positive signals coming from Washington.”

While USAID in Ukraine is temporarily holding off on issuing stop orders, it has asked staff to evaluate programs and demonstrate how they contribute to strengthening U.S. security and prosperity in line with the Secretary of State’s directive.

However, by Saturday evening in Kyiv, some organizations had already received stop orders. One such order, obtained by the Financial Times, directs the contractor to:
“Immediately cease work on the USAID/Ukraine contract/task.”

The document specifies that work cannot resume without written approval from the contracting officer.

The State Department, USAID, and the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv have not yet commented.

🔹 The European Union is united in its commitment to achieving a just peace in Ukraine, Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani stated.

Speaking at a “Forward, Italy” event in Milan, Tajani emphasized that Italy, alongside other EU nations, pursues policies aimed at securing a just peace rather than the defeat of Ukraine.

“Italy is not an enemy of anyone and is not at war. We act only as peacemakers,” Tajani said, addressing remarks made by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who claimed Italy’s supposed anti-Russian stance disqualifies it from participating in potential negotiations.

“If we say that Russia should respect international law, this does not mean we are enemies of Russia. We are not enemies of anyone. We are defending Ukraine’s right to remain independent,” Tajani explained.

He concluded by reaffirming that all EU countries, together with the United States, will contribute to efforts that lead to a just and lasting peace.

🔸 Ukraine Strikes Oil Refinery in Ryazan Region Again – General Staff

Ukraine has targeted the Ryazan Oil Refinery, one of the four largest refineries in Russia, according to military reports.

The refinery is a key facility, producing diesel fuel and TS-1 jet fuel.

🔹 Lukashenko announced that the Russian Oreshnik system would be deployed in Belarus “any day now,” with plans to position it closer to the border with Ukraine.

The self-proclaimed president suggested that Oreshnik could also be placed “closer to Russian Smolensk” to ensure that “targets are not too close to the border.”

The distance from Smolensk to the Russian-Ukrainian border is approximately 400 km.

🔸 Lukashenko: Only Belarusians Can Ensure Peace Between the “Middle and Elder Brothers”

Lukashenko stated that there is no alternative to Belarusian peacekeepers in the Russian-Ukrainian war.

“For it to be as Ukraine and Russia agree, only the Belarusian army can fulfill this role. There are no others. All the rest will be drawn either to the West or to the East.

Therefore, they can only agree on Belarusian peacekeepers,” he said.

🔹 The self-proclaimed President of Belarus, Lukashenko, stated that he is “violet” (means indifferent) about whether the West will recognize the presidential “elections” scheduled for January 26.

He added, “If the West recognizes the elections, we will react, we will thank you.”

🔸 During the week, the Russians launched 1,250 aerial bombs, over 750 attack drones, and more than 20 missiles of various types against Ukraine, President Zelenskyy reported.

🔹 Another cable between Latvia and Sweden, operated by the Latvian State Radio and Television Centre (LVRTC), has been damaged in the Baltic Sea at a depth of over 50 meters.

On the morning of January 26, the monitoring system reported issues with data transmission between Ventspils, Latvia, and Gotland, Sweden.

"Currently, there are reasons to believe that the cable is significantly damaged, likely due to external influence," said Vineta Sprugain, head of LVRTC's corporate communications department.

The Latvian Navy was informed of the damage. Several vessels were detected in the area, and a Navy patrol boat set out to inspect one of them. The other two vessels moved into international waters.

🔸 NATO is sharing classified information with EU defense companies to boost production capacities, Bloomberg reports.

The Alliance is developing a secure format for transferring generalized indicators to manufacturers, enabling them to better align production with NATO's needs. Full data sharing requires consensus among NATO members, which could take several months.

However, some classified standards are already being shared, focusing on interoperability improvements, such as weapon calibers and radio frequencies.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte supports the initiative, urging Europe to increase weapons production.

🔹 The head of the EU Military Committee, General Robert Brieger, discussed the possibility of a UN-mandated mission to monitor a ceasefire in Ukraine during an interview with Welt. He suggested that such a mission could include not only European troops but also forces from the Global South or regions like the Caucasus.

Brieger estimated that monitoring a demilitarized zone along the front line would require a military presence in the "high five-figure range." While EU member states could contribute significant forces, he emphasized that they might not be sufficient alone.

He advocated for an "executive mission" with a robust mandate, allowing soldiers to enforce the ceasefire using weapons and air support if necessary. However, he acknowledged that this remains a theoretical scenario for now.

Regarding U.S. President Donald Trump's proposal to end the war by freezing the front line, Brieger expressed skepticism. He noted that such a move might halt immediate deaths but could lead to a protracted conflict, as seen in the Korean Peninsula.

Brieger underscored that Ukraine must approach any potential negotiations from the strongest possible position, pointing out that regaining lost territories would require a larger deployment of forces than Ukraine currently has.

🔸 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, in an interview with journalist Cecilia Sale for Il Foglio, emphasized Ukraine’s commitment to achieving a genuine and lasting peace, while expressing skepticism about certain proposals for ending the war.

Key points from the interview:
On Trump’s threats to Putin
Zelenskyy acknowledged Trump’s statements about making things “worse” for Russia, noting the importance of a strong leader sending a firm message to Putin. Trump has expressed his desire to end the war.
On Trump’s plan to end the war
Zelenskyy believes Trump’s approach lacks clarity and detailed understanding. He stressed that much depends on Ukraine’s ability to defend itself and on Putin’s willingness to cease aggression, which Zelenskyy doubts.
On security guarantees for Ukraine
Zelenskyy underlined the importance of U.S. involvement, asserting that European nations would not independently take responsibility for halting Russian aggression.
On the Ukrainian military
He highlighted the resolve of Ukrainian soldiers, stating they desire peace even more than the new U.S. administration, but only if it ensures the war truly ends this time.

🔹 The European Union is reportedly considering suspending sanctions on Syria, specifically in the energy and transport sectors, according to Reuters. Discussions among EU foreign ministers are set to take place on January 27 in Brussels. While the potential easing of sanctions includes energy and transport, there is no agreement yet on lifting restrictions on financial transactions with Syria, according to three diplomats and a document seen by the publication.

🔸 Ukrainian defense forces struck warehouses housing Russian attack UAVs in Russia’s Oryol region, neutralizing over 200 “Shahed” drones.

The General Staff emphasized that operations targeting critical facilities involved in attacks on Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure and population will persist.

🔹 Hungary blocked a joint appeal by EU countries to not recognize the presidential elections in Belarus, as reported by Radio Svoboda. Without unanimous support from all 27 EU nations, EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaia Kallas issued her own statement, declaring that the January 26 elections under Lukashenko were neither free nor fair and urging Belarusian authorities to release all political prisoners.

Initially, both Hungary and Slovakia declined to sign the EU’s draft statement, but Slovakia later reversed its stance. Hungary remained the sole dissenting member state, consistent with its history of resisting EU measures against Belarus and Russia. Under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, Hungary has opposed expanding sanctions on Russia and increasing European support for Ukraine. Additionally, Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó frequently visits Minsk, making him a unique figure among EU leaders in this regard.

MissConductUS · 27/01/2025 14:50

The NK have suffered about 4,000 casualties in Kursk, an extraordinarily high rate of 33%. It's likely due to a combination of factors, including their inability to communicate with the Russians on a tactical level, their medieval tactics and their lack of combat experience compared to the Ukrainians.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/north-korean-forces-being-slaughtered-144920818.html?guccounter=1

I think NK will send more troops, but Putin will have to sweeten the deal.

Trump's idea for relocating the Palestinians is not new to him and likely will go nowhere, but there's very little habitable housing left in Gaza for them to return to. Water and power infrastructure are also in shambles.

The Israeli air campaign in Gaza is over. The MK-84 2000-pound bombs are meant to threaten Iranian nuclear and military targets.

North Korean forces are being slaughtered fighting for Russia, harming combat operations, intel says

Britain's defense ministry said about 1,000 North Korean soldiers had been killed and about 3,000 more had been wounded fighting against Ukraine.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/north-korean-forces-being-slaughtered-144920818.html?guccounter=1

PerkingFaintly · 27/01/2025 15:21

God, poor bastards.

Obviously I feel more for the Ukrainians being on the receiving end of the Putin's narcissistic bid to be Emperor, but I feel for the North Koreans on all sorts of levels.

There's absolutely nothing in it for them. Nothing. And they're being delivered like meat to the grinder.

heldinadream · 27/01/2025 15:45

I'm really shocked at the number of North Koreans being sent into the war zone to their deaths or to injury. I can only hope that this awful, awful crime and war somehow helps to lead the North Korean people out of the abyss that they are in and gives them some strength to fight for their rights at home.
It's a pretty paltry hope though.
God things look bleak right now whichever way I look.

blueshoes · 27/01/2025 16:29

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-26-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian forces recently made further advances within Velyka Novosilka amid official Russian claims that Russian forces seized the entire settlement on January 26.
  • The Russian MoD notably is paying an abnormally high amount of fanfare to the claimed Russian seizure of Velyka Novosilka, very likely as part of informational efforts to shape Western perceptions of the battlefield situation in Ukraine and degrade international support for Ukraine.
  • The seizure and clearing of Velyka Novosilka will likely present opportunities and a decision point to the Russian military command on whether to redeploy elements of the Russian Eastern Military District [EMD] from the Velyka Novosilka area to other priority operational areas. Any redeployment of EMD elements from the Velyka Novosilka area over the coming weeks will indicate the Russian military command’s priority operational areas for offensive operations in Spring and Summer 2025.
  • Russian forces are poised to seize Toretsk in the coming days and a redeployment of elements of the EMD to reinforce the Russian force grouping in the Toretsk direction would indicate a new Russian priority effort to resume attacks in the direction of Kostyantynivka.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted a second strike on the Ryazan Oil Refinery in Ryazan Oblast on the night of January 25 to 26.
  • Ukrainian forces advanced in Kursk Oblast and regained positions in Toretsk.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Borova, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove.
  • Russian milbloggers criticized the Russian government on January 25 for not prioritizing the recruitment and training of Russia's next generation of military officers.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 08:30

I think NK will send more troops, but Putin will have to sweeten the deal.

Negotiations seem to be under way about that, yes.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 10:56

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️ EU foreign ministers agree (kyivindependent.com/eu-foreign-ministers-agree-to-extend-sanctions-against-russia/) to extend sanctions against Russia.

⚡️Russia intensifies attacks (kyivindependent.com/russia-intensifies-attacks-near-pokrovsk-seeks-to-encircle-ukrainian-forces/) near Pokrovsk, seeks to encircle Ukrainian forces.

⚡️Russia's Ryazan oil refinery suspends operations (kyivindependent.com/russias-ryazan-oil-refinery-suspends-operations-after-drone-strike-reuters-reports/) after drone strike, Reuters reports.
"The railway loading equipment has been damaged. There have been no railways loadings, they stopped oil processing," an industry source said.

⚡️EU to continue talks (kyivindependent.com/eu-to-continue-talks-with-ukraine-on-gas-supplies-to-europe-including-hungary-slovakia-reuters-reports/) with Ukraine on gas supplies to Europe, including Hungary, Slovakia, Reuters reports.

⚡️EU agrees to ease sanctions (kyivindependent.com/eu-agrees-to-ease-sanctions-on-syria-after-assads-regime-falls-chief-diplomat-says/) on Syria following Assad's fall, chief diplomat says.

⚡️ Hungary receives ’requested guarantees’ from EU on energy transit, Hungarian FM says. (kyivindependent.com/hungary-receives-guarantees-on-energy/)
The EU has provided Hungary with "requested guarantees" regarding its "energy security" concerns, namely the transit of fossil fuels to EU member states, Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said on Jan. 27.

⚡️Trump 'helped' (kyivindependent.com/trump-helped-persuade-hungary-to-unblock-eu-russia-sanctions-polish-fm-claims/) persuade Hungary to unblock EU Russia sanctions, Polish FM claims.

⚡️ North Korean troops seem to temporarily withdraw (kyivindependent.com/north-korean-troops-temporarily-withdraw-from-contact-line-in-kursk-oblast-amid-heavy-losses-sky-news-reports/) from one section of front in Kursk Oblast, military says.

⚡️EU screening of Ukraine’s legislation to continue (https://kyivindependent.com/eu-screening-of-ukraine-legislation-to-last-until-fall/) until fall of 2025.
If Ukraine fulfills all the requirements, the Commission expects the launch of cluster negotiations, starting with Cluster I, "Fundamentals," "as soon as possible" in 2025.

⚡️Lithuania, Estonia pledge 5% (https://kyivindependent.com/lithuania-estonia-pledge-5-defense-spending-following-trumps-call-ft-reports/) defense spending, following Trump's call, FT reports.

Trump suspends aid to Ukraine, vital NGOs 'don't know if they'll survive' (kyivindependent.com/trump-suspends-aid-to-ukraine-vital-ngos-dont-know-if-theyll-survive/)
U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to freeze foreign development assistance for 90 days has thrown Ukrainian organizations into turmoil, in some cases threatening their very existence and leaving the people they support in limbo.
These non-profit organizations provide a huge range of humanitarian services, including counseling, organizing cultural events, and providing basic services, often to some of the most vulnerable segments of society.

⚡️ US suspends (kyivindependent.com/us-suspends-ukrainian-refugee-program-after-trumps-immigration-order/) Ukrainian refugee program after Trump's immigration order.

⚡️Justice Ministry seeks to confiscate (kyivindependent.com/justice-ministry-seeks-to-confiscate-russian-oil-company-tatnefts-assets-in-ukraine/) Russian oil company Tatneft's assets in Ukraine.

⚡️Procurement for Ukrainian forces may be blocked (kyivindependent.com/procurement-for-ukrainian-forces-may-be-blocked-due-to-legal-conflict-defense-procurement-agencys-head-says/) due to legal conflict, Defense Procurement Agency's head says.

⚡️ Zelensky’s party’s parliamentary leader attended Trump’s inauguration, media reports (https://kyivindependent.com/arakhamia-reportedly-at-trump-inauguration/).

⚡️ Large amount of Russian military gear reportedly (kyivindependent.com/russia-evacuating-tartus/) evacuated from Syria's Tartus port.
A "large amount" of Russian military equipment vanished from the Syrian port of Tartus with the departure of the Russian cargo ship Sparta II, an investigative journalist at Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Mark Krutov, said on Jan. 27, citing satellite images.

⚡️Russia approves conscription reforms (kyivindependent.com/russia-introduces-reforms-to-streamline-military-conscription-media-reports/) to target draft evaders, streamline recruitment.

⚡️ Military intelligence denies (https://kyivindependent.com/hur-denies-budanov-quote-in-media/) its head gave Ukraine until summer to launch talks or endanger country’s existence.
Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) denied on Jan. 27 media reports that its head, Kyrylo Budanov, predicted serious consequences for the existence of Ukraine unless negotiations begin by the summer during a confidential

⚡️EU suspends visa privileges (kyivindependent.com/eu-suspends-visa-privileges-for-georgian-officials-over-democratic-backsliding/) for Georgian officials over democratic backsliding.

⚡️ Russian oligarch Abramovich (kyivindependent.com/abramovich-evaded-taxes-through-fake-yacht-hire-scheme-media-investigation-says/) evaded taxes through fake yacht hire scheme, media investigation says.

⚡️ Update: Ukraine downs 65 of 100 (kyivindependent.com/attacks-122/) Russian drones launched overnight.
⚡️Russian attacks against Ukraine kill 4, injure 23 (kyivindependent.com/attacks-122/) over past day.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ - JAN 28, 2025
■ Engagements stay above average, casualties below it
■ Equipment losses up between days; vehicle losses slightly above 7-day average
■ Strikes on both sides stay below average

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 11:03

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Ukrainian forces report that North Korean soldiers temporarily retreated from the Kursk region following significant losses, according to Sky News, citing a Ukrainian special forces commander known as "Pulse."
The retreat is attributed to regrouping, caring for the wounded, or awaiting reinforcements, with expectations that they may return. Ukrainian soldiers describe the North Korean troops as disciplined and equipped with superior rifles and uniforms compared to many Russian units. However, their tactics appear outdated, as they lack awareness of the threats posed by drones and artillery. This has led to large-scale assaults in groups of 20 to 60 soldiers, often with heavy casualties.
The soldiers reportedly move on foot, using golf buggies to carry ammunition, and are provided only with chocolate instead of proper rations and water before assaults. Their strategy seems to rely on capturing Ukrainian positions and using seized supplies for survival.
Ukrainian forces have discovered notes suggesting that North Korean troops are attempting to adapt to modern warfare by learning from their experiences, potentially to prepare for future conflicts involving their own country.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron.

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva discussed peace efforts in Ukraine with Russian President Vladimir Putin during a conversation.
Lula reaffirmed Brazil’s commitment to promoting peace and seeking ways to resolve the conflict in Ukraine. They also discussed the BRICS organization, with Brazil holding its presidency this year, and emphasized the importance of enhancing trade and investment among its members.
Putin extended an invitation to Lula to attend the May 9 celebrations in Moscow, and according to the Brazilian president’s press service, Lula “plans to participate.”

Moldova and Ukraine have offered resources to address the energy needs of Russian-occupied Transnistria, but the offers have been declined by the region’s administration.
Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean announced on January 27 that Chisinau would allocate 3 million cubic meters of gas to Tiraspol. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had previously proposed providing coal and specialists to help reconfigure the Transnistrian DRES in exchange for surplus electricity supplies.
However, Transnistrian leader Vadim Krasnoselsky rejected these offers, claiming the coal provided by Ukraine is unsuitable for the region’s power station.

ZBROYARI: Manufacturing Freedom successfully attracted over $1.5 billion to the Ukrainian defense industry from international partners in 2024.
Nine countries, including Denmark, Canada, the Netherlands, Lithuania, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Norway, Iceland, the United States, and the European Union, joined the initiative. These nations allocated either their own budget funds or the interest from frozen Russian assets.
Over $500 million of this sum was utilized through the “Danish model.”

Russia's metallurgical industry is expected to face a significant downturn in 2024. While enterprises attribute this to planned modernization, the actual reasons include the loss of Western markets due to sanctions, declining prices and demand in Asian markets, and reduced domestic consumption caused by a high discount rate and economic crises.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 11:10

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Serbia’s PM Vučević is resigning as mass protests continue across the country. President Vučić has announced plans to dismiss most ministers.
The protests were sparked by the deadly collapse of a train station roof in Novi Sad in November, which claimed 15 lives. Public anger has escalated into a broader movement against the president and his ruling party, fueled by accusations of negligence and corruption.

China's Secret Plan? Reports suggest China might be sending troops to back Russia in Ukraine. Are we on the verge of a larger war?
https://www.kyivpost.com/videos/46138

The threat has never been closer, as Russians now stand just 2.5 miles from Ukraine’s Dnipropetrovsk region, a place they have never breached before.
www.kyivpost.com/post/46139

A “tsunami” of bankruptcies is looming over Russia, posing a serious threat to the economy, according to a Kremlin-affiliated analytical center conveniently headed by the brother of Defense Minister Belousov.
Sanctions and sky-high interest rates have driven the “core of the economy” to the brink of financial collapse. One in five manufacturing companies, coal enterprises, hundreds of shopping malls, transportation firms, airlines, and IT companies are all at risk of bankruptcy.

Russia’s Ryazan oil refinery has halted operations following massive Ukrainian drone strikes on January 24 and 26 — Reuters https://t.me/Kyivpost_official/27832

Paris will deliver Mirage 2000-5 fighter jets to Kyiv by the end of the first quarter of this year — French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot

“Exchanged nuclear weapons for war” — Zelensky recalled a conversation with Trump about the Budapest Memorandum, under which Ukraine gave up its nuclear arsenal
“I think it was stupid, illogical, and irresponsible. I told him [Trump] that we exchanged it for nothing — for war.”

In the Kyiv region, a Russian drone damaged a vintage car museum.
Drone debris caused a fire in the hangar, destroying 9 cars and damaging another 27.

Kyiv Post

Russia’s Ryazan oil refinery has halted operations following massive Ukrainian drone strikes on January 24 and 26 — Reuters The strikes ignited an oil storage facility, destroying a railway loading rack and a hydrocracking unit. Website | WhatsApp |...

https://t.me/Kyivpost_official/27832

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 11:16

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Ukraine announced that since 2024, 36,760 citizens have received consultations on enlistment in recruitment centers
20% of the candidates are women, who reportedly demonstrate a high level of involvement in different oblasts of Ukraine.

🇬🇧🇨🇦🇧🇾 The UK and Canada have imposed new sanctions on Belarus in response to the rigged elections.

In the Odesa oblast, up to 4 kilograms of fuel oil were collected from the shore after the spill from Russian oil tankers in the Black Sea. The coastline is now clean.
Over three days, a 200-meter stretch of beach, 30–70 cm wide, was cleared. A total of 40 kilometers of coastline have been inspected.
However, there are no guarantees that fuel oil won’t wash ashore again, as millions of small fractions are still drifting in the waters of the northwestern Black Sea, noted Ivan Rusev, head of the research department at the Tuzly Lagoons National Park in Odesa.

💥The Ryazan oil refinery has halted operations following Ukrainian drone attacks, according to Reuters sources

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 11:17

Has anyone heard anything more about the rumour of Chinese troops being sent to support Russian ones? Bloody worrying if true.

Igotjelly · 28/01/2025 11:30

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 28/01/2025 11:17

Has anyone heard anything more about the rumour of Chinese troops being sent to support Russian ones? Bloody worrying if true.

I was going to come back on this, to be honest to me it doesn't ring true. I read the article in full and it seems to hint that Chinese troops are already there which I struggle to believe.

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