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Ukraine Invasion: Part 53

1000 replies

MagicFox · 05/12/2024 18:14

Welcome to 53 and, as always, Slava Ukraini πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
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293
heldinadream · 20/12/2024 19:01

I'm busy with Xmas and moving house and lord knows what so I'm hardly keeping up at the moment but somebody please explain to me what the Putin offering Zelensky asylum arseholery is?
I'm not sure, in a totally bonkers world, I've ever heard anything quite so insane.

I mean it's like Hitler offering asylum to the Chief Rabbi. Please will someone lock him up.

Igotjelly · 20/12/2024 19:07

heldinadream · 20/12/2024 19:01

I'm busy with Xmas and moving house and lord knows what so I'm hardly keeping up at the moment but somebody please explain to me what the Putin offering Zelensky asylum arseholery is?
I'm not sure, in a totally bonkers world, I've ever heard anything quite so insane.

I mean it's like Hitler offering asylum to the Chief Rabbi. Please will someone lock him up.

He was asked at his annual press conference if Russia would offer asylum to Zelenskyy and Putin replied that the West would take him but that no one was barred from Russia (tell that to the journalists and dissidents considered persona non grata).

MissConductUS · 20/12/2024 19:08

The FT is reporting that Trump will continue to supply Ukraine with weapons.

https://x.com/HenryJFoy/status/1870152410536214972

I'm not surprised. He knows that Russia has no incentive to negotiate if he abandons Ukraine, and he doesn't want to be the one who "lost" to Russia.

x.com

https://x.com/HenryJFoy/status/1870152410536214972

heldinadream · 20/12/2024 20:29

Thanks @Igotjelly
Hate these new mumsnet responses when all I want to offer is a simple thanks.

blueshoes · 20/12/2024 20:41

MissConductUS · 20/12/2024 19:08

The FT is reporting that Trump will continue to supply Ukraine with weapons.

https://x.com/HenryJFoy/status/1870152410536214972

I'm not surprised. He knows that Russia has no incentive to negotiate if he abandons Ukraine, and he doesn't want to be the one who "lost" to Russia.

I very much hope this is true.

blueshoes · 20/12/2024 20:51

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-19-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin said that he should have violated the ceasefire he had imposed on Ukraine in 2014 by launching a full-scale invasion even earlier when asked to reflect on his 2022 decision to attack.
  • Putin insisted that negotiations with Ukraine must be based on the same demands he made before the invasion and at the moment of Russia's greatest territorial gains, despite the fact that Ukraine has secured Kyiv and liberated much of the territory his forces held at that time.
  • Putin's insistence on Ukraine's complete surrender reflects his belief that Russia is winning and will outlast Ukrainian and Western resolve. Putin will not likely accept a lesser settlement unless Ukrainian forces inflict other significant battlefield setbacks on Russia and demonstrate to him that he cannot win militarily.
  • Putin reiterated the false narrative that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's presidency is illegitimate, in part, to blame Ukraine for delaying negotiations and garner support for full Ukrainian capitulation among a Russian population that increasingly wants the war to end.
  • Putin continues to justify his decision to prioritize Russian offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast over expelling Ukrainian forces from Kursk Oblast.
  • Putin is apparently embarrassed to admit his need for North Korean forces to push Ukrainian forces out of Russian territory, despite his openness about the Russia-North Korea relationship.
  • Putin continues to fixate on the Russian "Oreshnik" ballistic missile as part of his non-nuclear deterrent aimed at simultaneously forcing the West to make decisions favorable to Russia and providing Putin with an off-ramp from his failed nuclear saber-rattling narrative.
  • Putin's boasting about Russia's military capabilities ignores the reality of the serious and unsustainable losses that Russia has suffered to advance relatively more rapidly in Donetsk Oblast in recent months.
  • Putin continues to falsely posture the Russian economy as strong and stable while deflecting blame for economic issues onto the Russian Central Bank.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Toretsk, Kurakhove, Vuhledar, Velyka Novosilka, and Robotyne.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin continued efforts to evade blame for ongoing systemic payment issues impacting Russian servicemembers fighting in Kursk Oblast caused by his decision to downplay Ukraine's incursion into the region as a "counterterrorism operation" by scapegoating the Russian Ministry of Defense.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin called on Mariupol occupation officials to redistribute illegally confiscated Ukrainian apartments during his annual Direct Line televised press conference on December 19, signaling Russia's continued efforts to forcibly repopulate occupied areas of Ukraine with Russians to fundamentally alter Ukraine's demographics.
Igotjelly · 20/12/2024 21:12

Watching Germany with interest, looks to be an Islamic extremist attack but will make the elections in the new year interesting. Can see the AFD doing better than they might otherwise have.

DrBlackbird · 20/12/2024 22:54

MissConductUS · 20/12/2024 19:08

The FT is reporting that Trump will continue to supply Ukraine with weapons.

https://x.com/HenryJFoy/status/1870152410536214972

I'm not surprised. He knows that Russia has no incentive to negotiate if he abandons Ukraine, and he doesn't want to be the one who "lost" to Russia.

That’s something to hold onto. Might Trump even want a β€˜hold’ of sorts over Putin?

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 21/12/2024 13:50

good luck with house moving @heldinadream !

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 21/12/2024 14:00

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️Trump plans (kyivindependent.com/trump-plans-to-continue-us-military-aid-to-ukraine-after-inauguration-ft-reports/) to continue US military aid to Ukraine after inauguration, FT reports.
Trump's foreign policy team also informed European officials that he plans to push NATO allies to raise their defense spending to 5% of their GDP.

⚑️Biden administration to announce (kyivindependent.com/us-to-announce-final-package-of-new-arms-for-ukraine-in-coming-days/) its final $1.2 billion Ukraine aid package under USAI, Reuters reports.

⚑️ Ukraine begins receiving first funds (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-begins-receiving-first-funds-covered-by-frozen-russian-assets-proceeds/) covered by frozen Russian assets proceeds.

⚑️IMF approves $1.1 billion (kyivindependent.com/imf-approves-1-1-billion-in-funding-for-ukraine/) in funding for Ukraine.

⚑️Russia keeps key interest (kyivindependent.com/russia-keeps-key-interest-rate-at-21-defying-expert-expectations/) rate at 21%, defying expert expectations.
To rein in accelerating inflation fueled by war spending, Russia's Central Bank has been raising its interest rate from 7.5% in July 2023 to the current 21% - the highest level since the early 2000s.

⚑️Ukraine, US agree (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-prepares-for-trumps-peace-envoy-kellogg-visit-foreign-ministry-confirms/) on date of peace envoy Kellogg's visit to Kyiv, official says.

⚑️ Bulgaria's parliament (kyivindependent.com/bulgaria-parliament-doesnt-support-signing-ukraine-security-deal/) no longer supports signing Ukraine security deal. The Bulgarian parliament does not have enough votes to support the signing of Bulgaria's bilateral security treaty with Ukraine due to a shift in stance from the strongest party, Euractiv reported on Dec. 20.

⚑️Several countries interested (kyivindependent.com/several-countries-interested-in-deploying-peacekeepers-to-ukraine-foreign-ministry-says/) in deploying peacekeepers to Ukraine, Foreign Ministry says.

⚑️ Ukraine launched ATACMS, Storm Shadow against Russian chemical plant on Dec. 18, Moscow claims. (https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-launched-atacms-on-rostov-oblast-chemical-plant-on-dec-18-moscow-claims/)
Ukraine attacked the Rostov Oblast's Kamensky Combine, one of the largest chemical plants in Russia, with six U.S.-made ATACMS and four British Storm Shadow missiles on Dec. 18, Russia's Defense Ministry claimed on Dec. 20.

⚑️Zelensky approves (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-reshuffles-diplomatic-team-zelensky-announces-over-30-new-appointments/) over 30 new ambassador appointments.

⚑️ For first time, Ukraine attacks Russian positions using solely ground, FPV drones (kyivindependent.com/for-first-time-ukraine-attacks-russian-positions-using-solely-ground-fpv-drones/).
A military spokesperson said the drones included ground systems equipped with machine guns, and kamikaze FPV drones.

⚑️Russian missile attack damages (kyivindependent.com/russian-missile-attack-damages-embassies/) 6 foreign embassies in Kyiv, Foreign Ministry says.
The embassies of Albania, Argentina, Palestine, North Macedonia, Portugal, and Montenegro are located in a building heavily damaged by the Russian strike.

⚑️Slovak PM criticizes (kyivindependent.com/fico-criticizes-zelensky-over-refusal-to-extend-russian-gas-transit-warns-of-crisis/) Zelensky over refusal to extend Russian gas transit, warns of crisis.

⚑️ Two Russian airports suspend flights after Ukrainian drones (kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drones-hit-residential-industrial-building-in-russias-tatarstan-oblast-media-report/) target Kazan, media, officials report.

⚑️ Lithuania's new PM, ministerial cabinet visit Kyiv (https://kyivindependent.com/lithuanias-new-pm-ministerial-cabinet-visit-kyiv/).

⚑️ Orban says Hungary proposing β€˜trick’ (kyivindependent.com/orban-says-hungary-proposing-trick-to-keep-russian-gas-shipments-via-ukraine/) to keep Russian gas shipments via Ukraine.

Russian and Kazakh oil shipments to Hungary, Slovakia, Czechia, and Germany via the Druzhba pipeline have been halted since Dec. 19 due to technical issues at a Russian pumping station, Reuters reported, citing anonymous sources. https://kyivindependent.com/druzhba-pipeline-disruption-halts-russian-kazakh-oil-shipments-to-europe-reuters-reports/

⚑️Watchdog urges Zelensky to halt media intimidation (kyivindependent.com/watchdog-urges-zelensky-to-halt-media-intimidation-ensure-press-freedom/), ensure press freedom.
The Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) called on President Volodymyr Zelensky on Dec. 19 to ensure press freedom in Ukraine and hold accountable those who intimidate journalists

Russia buys acceptance with cash, plunging economy into uncertainty (kyivindependent.com/russia-buys-acceptance-with-cash-plunging-economy-into-uncertainty/)
The changing face of Russia's welfare state reveals how the Kremlin is buying the acceptance β€” if not the support β€” of millions of ordinary Russians while the country's economic future is bargained to fuel its wartime present.

The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) announced on Dec. 20 that it had gathered evidence against Colonel General Alexei Kim, the Russian officer allegedly responsible for the Aug. 24 missile attack on the Sapfir Hotel in Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast. https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-charges-russian-general-for-killing-reuters-staff-injuring-civilians-in-kramatorsk-hotel-attack/

⚑️Zaluzhnyi releases (kyivindependent.com/zaluzhnyi-releases-my-war-book-first-in-trilogy/) book 'My War,' first in planned trilogy.

⚑️Ukraine retrieves (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-retrieves-bodies-of-503-fallen-soldiers/) bodies of 503 fallen soldiers.

⚑️Russian drone attack in Kharkiv injures 6 (kyivindependent.com/russian-drone-attack-in-kharkiv-injures-6-including-child/), including child.
⚑️Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia injures 4 (kyivindependent.com/russian-attack-on-zaporizhzhia-injures-4-including-child/), including child.

Over 12,340 civilians were killed and more than 27,836 were wounded in Ukraine between Feb. 24, 2022 and Nov. 30, 2024, according to the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights. https://kyivindependent.com/over-12-000-civilians-killed-in-ukraine-since-russias-full-scale-war-un-says/ [not including occupied zones]

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson
⚑️ WAR IN UKRAINE - DEC 21, 2024
β–  Combat activity stays at a high level, 4th highest casualties to date
β–  Artillery, drone & tank losses far above the 7-day average
β–  Improved strike ratio

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 21/12/2024 14:04

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‘¨β€πŸ’» Major Russian Cyberattack Targets Ukrainian Ministry of Justice
On December 19, hackers linked to Russia’s GRU launched one of the largest cyberattacks on Ukraine to date. The attack disrupted the Ministry of Justice’s registers, halting dozens of databases.
The consequences are severe:
β€’ A large part of Ukraine’s economic activity has been paralyzed.
β€’ Financial transactions, counterparty verifications, government procurement, and access to critical state services have been jeopardized.
β€’ Notaries are now limited to basic document certification.
The Ministry of Justice stated that no information theft of Ukrainian legal entities or individuals has been identified. Backup database copies are expected to enable rapid restoration of operations.

❗️ Russians Drop Two Guided Aerial Bombs on a Cancer Clinic in Kherson
The attack caused significant damage to the building, but fortunately, no patients or medical staff were injured.

Prime Minister Pedro SΓ‘nchez stated that Spain will not send troops to participate in a military peacekeeping mission along the demarcation line between Russia and Ukraine.
Poland had previously announced a similar stance, signaling limited support among European nations for such operations

NASAMS Systems Deployed in Rzeszow, Poland to Protect Key Aid Hub for Ukraine
A NATO-led mission has stationed NASAMS air defense systems in Rzeszow, Poland, to safeguard a critical aid hub for Ukraine.
The mission is expected to continue until Easter. Alongside the NASAMS systems, the deployment includes F-35 fighter jets and 100 Norwegian soldiers stationed in Rzeszow.

Media: Ten EU Countries Advocate for Stricter Sanctions on Russian Energy
The Baltic countries, Denmark, Ireland, Poland, Romania, Sweden, the Czech Republic, and Finland have proposed a new package of sanctions against Russia.
The initiative focuses on the energy sector, calling for new restrictions and tightening existing ones. This includes banning the import of Russian gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) or gradually reducing their consumption, according to RAR.

Russia Struggles with Tank Losses, Turns to Older Models – OSINT Analyst
According to open-source intelligence (OSINT) analyst Richard Vereker, the Russian army is encountering significant challenges in maintaining its tank fleet. Losses of older T-62 tanks have reached a record 24.8%, while the number of operational modern tanks, such as the T-80 and T-72B, continues to decrease.
Vereker notes that Russia’s stock of modern tanks is nearly depleted, forcing the military to rely on outdated models like the T-62 and T-54/55. However, restoring these older tanks is becoming increasingly difficult due to their deteriorated condition and limited availability of parts.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 21/12/2024 14:06

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Despite Putin's statement yesterday of Russia's clear intention of having no interest in stopping this war or any future wars, German Chancellor Scholz is reportedly heading to Moscow to "negotiate" with the genocidal Russian dictator.

Australian Foreign Minister visits Kyiv
www.kyivpost.com/post/44271

PICTURES: Kyiv in the wake of Russia's devastating missile attack.
https://www.kyivpost.com/photos/44214

PICTURES: Kyiv in the Wake of Russia’s Devastating Missile Attack

Kyiv Post shares photos showing the aftermath of Russiaβ€˜s relentless attack on central Kyiv.

https://www.kyivpost.com/photos/44214

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 21/12/2024 14:10

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

ATACMS missiles have struck Rylsk in the Kursk oblast, Russia. Local channels report fatalities and over 20 injured.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Biden administration is preparing a final aid package worth $1.2 billion.
The announcement is expected in the coming days. The package will include missiles for air defense systems and artillery ammunition, although the exact contents remain unknown.

Zelensky: Russian forces used 550 guided aerial bombs, nearly 550 strike drones, and more than 20 missiles of various types against Ukraine this week alone.

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° Slovak PM accuses Zelensky of bribery – Politico
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico claimed that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky allegedly offered him a €500 million bribe from Russian assets in exchange for supporting Ukraine’s NATO membership.
β€œFico said that after he informed Zelensky that Slovakia could lose about €500 million annually in transit fees, the Ukrainian president β€˜asked me if I would vote for NATO membership if he gave me €500 million from Russian assets, and of course, I said: β€œNever.”’ Politico reports.

The former first deputy chairman of the Mejlis, Nariman Dzhelyal, recently freed from captivity, has been appointed as Ukraine’s ambassador to Turkey.
Additionally, Ukraine’s ambassador to Brazil, Andriy Melnyk, has been named as Ukraine’s representative to the UN, while the founder of the β€œNew Europe Center,” Alyona Hetmanchuk, has been appointed as Ukraine’s representative to NATO.

Zelensky has signed a decree appointing a new ambassador of Ukraine to Hungary β€” Zakarpatian professor Fedir Shandor.
Shandor voluntarily joined the front lines in February last year and delivered lectures to his students directly from the trenches during breaks between battles.

blueshoes · 21/12/2024 17:34

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-20-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian ballistic missile strikes damaged several embassies in central Kyiv on the morning of December 20.
  • Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted their first attack solely using unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) and first-person view (FPV) drones, highlighting Ukraine's ongoing efforts to leverage technological innovation into ground operations.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin announced his intention to orient Russia's political and ideological priorities for 2025 around Russian veterans.
  • The Kremlin continues to scapegoat Kursk Oblast civil servants for its failure in responding to Ukraine's Kursk Oblast incursion.
  • Russian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast, near Kupyansk, within Toretsk, and in the Vuhledar direction.
  • Russian opposition outlet Mediazona reported on December 20 that it has confirmed that at least 20,364 Russian soldiers have been killed in action (KIA) in Ukraine since January 1, 2024.
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 22/12/2024 10:16

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights Thread

⚑️ Slovak PM Robert Fico to visit Putin in Russia (kyivindependent.com/slovak-pm-robert-fico-to-visit-putin-in-russia-next-week-serbian-president-says/) next week, Serbian president says.

⚑️Zelensky meets with CIA director (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-meets-with-cia-director-in-kyiv/) in Kyiv.
Zelensky said on Dec. 21 that he met with CIA Director William Burns in Ukraine, marking a rare public acknowledgment of their discussions during Russia’s full-scale invasion.

⚑️Fire reported (kyivindependent.com/fire-reported-at-oil-depot-in-russias-oryol-oblast-amid-ukrainian-drone-attack/) at oil depot in Russia's Oryol Oblast amid drone attack.

⚑️ Ukraine's General Staff denies Guardian report (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-redirects-air-defense-personnel-to-frontline-amid-troop-shortages-the-guardian-reports/) about air defense personnel being transferred to infantry units.
A source said the situation was reaching a critical level, expressing doubts about the air defense's ability to function effectively.

⚑️Russian attack (kyivindependent.com/russian-attack-on-cancer-treatment-center-in-kherson-heinous-act-of-cruelty-against-civilians-zelensky-says/) on cancer treatment center in Kherson 'heinous act of cruelty against civilians,' Zelensky says.
Russia's attack on an oncology center in the city of Kherson overnight on Dec. 21 "was nothing less than a heinous act of cruelty against civilians," President Volodymyr Zelensky said in his evening address.
Russian forces struck an oncology center overnight with two guided aerial bombs, the Kherson Regional Military Administration reported. [yesterday]
The oncology center, which has operated in a limited capacity since the start of the full-scale invasion, housed the only linear accelerator offering radiotherapy treatment in the city.

⚑️Ukrainian boxer Usyk defeats (kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-boxer-usyk-defeats-fury-to-retain-heavyweight-champion-belt/) Fury to retain heavyweight champion belt

β€ͺRagnar Bjartur Gudmundsson πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β€¬ β€ͺ- DEC 22, 2024
β–  5th highest casualties to date, fewer combat engagements
β–  Tank, artillery & APV losses well above the 7-day average, 3 air defence systems hit
β–  Fewer strikes on both sides, strike ratio stays below 20

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 22/12/2024 10:24

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Putin is conducting hybrid attacks, with Germany being a key target, according to German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius in an interview with Funke Mediengruppe.
Pistorius explained that the aim of these attacks is not just to cause damage but also to destabilize society and manipulate public opinion. He highlighted the need for Germany to actively counter such threats, which include attacks on infrastructure and energy supplies, malicious activities in the North and Baltic Seas, and violations of airspace rules.
He also pointed to social media campaigns, interference in election processes, and financial support for narratives from groups like the AfD and SPD, which claim Germany prioritizes war over national defense.
β€œAll of this is part of Putin’s strategy to destabilize German society and create division. We must do everything possible to ensure this strategy fails,” Pistorius stated.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has called for the immediate and extensive removal of sanctions imposed on Russia. Speaking on the economic consequences of the ongoing measures, Orban argued that lifting sanctions would mark the end of high inflation and spur economic recovery.

Poland has handed over Mi-8 and Bell 412HP helicopters to Ukraine. These helicopters, previously owned by the Ministry of Internal Affairs, have been transferred to the Kremenchuk Flight College of the Kharkiv National University of Internal Affairs, according to Ukraine’s Ambassador to Poland, Vasyl Bodnar.
The helicopters will be used for training pilots and aviation personnel. Kremenchuk College is recognized as one of Ukraine’s top aviation educational institutions.

Russia Constructs Aircraft Shelters at Belbek Airfield in Crimea - The War Zone
Satellite imagery reveals the construction of at least 10 reinforced concrete arched shelters alongside lighter structures at Belbek Airfield.
These shelters seem designed to resist light munitions but are unlikely to withstand direct hits from powerful shells. Interestingly, the use of lightweight steel and concrete structures instead of more durable concrete hangars reflects the Russian army’s reliance on cost-effective, outdated solutions.
Experts link this development to recent successful Ukrainian attacks, including strikes with ATACMS missiles, and the pressing need to safeguard equipment for future combat operations.

A convoy of North Korean military equipment has been observed in Russia’s Tyumen region. It includes several Koksan self-propelled guns and vehicles resembling KN-15 (Pukguksong-2) missile systems.
The Pukguksong-2 is a medium-range missile system with an estimated range of 1,200–2,000 kilometers, designed primarily for missile defense.

Ukraine Harnesses Vast Military Data to Train AI Models β€” Reuters
As warfare increasingly incorporates artificial intelligence, Ukraine is leveraging a valuable asset: millions of hours of drone footage to train AI systems for battlefield decision-making.
Oleksandr Dmytriev, founder of OCHI, a Ukrainian non-profit that centralizes and analyzes video from over 15,000 frontline drones, revealed that since 2022, the system has amassed two million hoursβ€”equivalent to 228 yearsβ€”of drone footage.
β€œThis is AI fodder: give it two million hours of video, and it becomes something supernatural,” Dmytriev explained. The system processes an average of 5–6 terabytes of new combat footage daily, providing essential data for AI training on combat tactics, target identification, and weapons system optimization. Dmytriev added, β€œEssentially, this is experience turned into mathematics. AI can learn trajectories and angles for maximum weapon efficiency.”
OCHI has drawn interest from Ukraine’s foreign allies, with ongoing discussions about its potential applications.
Kateryna Bondar, a researcher at the Wadhwani Center for Artificial Intelligence, emphasized the importance of dataset size and image quality, as AI learns to identify targets by shape and color. However, Bondar noted that U.S. priorities lie in preparing AI systems for conflicts in the Pacific, focusing on potential confrontations with China rather than Europe’s terrain.
AI technologies are already in widespread use in the conflict. Thousands of drones utilize AI for autonomous targeting, and Ukraine employs similar systems for mine clearance and developing drone swarms. These swarms operate through interconnected cloud systems, executing commands collectively.
Meanwhile, Russia claims to use AI in combat as well, notably in Lancet attack drones for target recognition.

Lviv honors Ukrainian POWs and missing soldiers at symbolic Christmas table.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 22/12/2024 10:25

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

For the third day, in Moscow and St Petersburg, explosions and fires are causing chaos, with post offices, banks, military recruiting offices and shopping centers targeted by locals said to be prompted to action by "telephone scammers.

Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs have evacuated 34 people from Syria, nearly half of them children.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 22/12/2024 10:27

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor OrbΓ‘n proposes a β€œtrick” involving Russian gas to ensure its transit through Ukraine.
He suggests transferring ownership of Russian gas to buyers before it enters Ukraine, thereby labeling the gas arriving in Ukraine as Hungarian, not Russian.
OrbΓ‘n stated that negotiations on gas transit are ongoing β€œwith both Ukraine and Russia,” but it remains unclear whether either side will accept this proposal.

πŸ‡³πŸ‡΄Norway extended its support for Ukraine beyond 2030, with a record €3 billion pledged for 2025
The funds will be split between military and civilian aid, with Norway emphasizing its commitment to assist Ukraine both during and after the war.

In Magdeburg, a Ukrainian woman is among the victims of the attack at the Christmas market
The woman is currently in critical condition in a German clinic. Overall, reports indicate 5 fatalities and over 200 injured.

Sattelite images reveal contamination of beaches in Russia's Kuban following the crash of two Russian oil tankers last week.
The affected area spans 54 km, with fuel oil seeping into the sand to a depth of 50-60 cm. https://t.me/liveukraine_media/27442

Air defense forces shot down 52 enemy drones out of 103.
An additional 44 enemy decoy drones were β€œlocationally lost” without causing any damage. One drone headed toward Belarus.
Last night, a ballistic missile β€œIskander-M” was also launched from Crimea in the direction of the Kherson oblast.

Live: Ukraine

Sattelite images reveal contamination of beaches in Russia's Kuban following the crash of two Russian oil tankers last week. The affected area spans 54 km, with fuel oil seeping into the sand to a depth of 50-60 cm. πŸ“·Radio Svoboda πŸͺ Subscribe to L...

https://t.me/liveukraine_media/27442

notimagain · 22/12/2024 10:33

@DucklingSwimmingInstructress

Thanks for the continued posts..

”Ukraine's General Staff denies Guardian report about air defense personnel being transferred to infantry units.
A source said the situation was reaching a critical level, expressing doubts about the air defense's ability to function effectively.”

I had a look and the main source of that Guardian (UK) report seems to be a politician by the name of Maryana Bezuhla….

She has an interesting CV to say the least, not sure how credible she is.

blueshoes · 22/12/2024 12:39

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-21-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to expand Russia's network of military-patriotic education programs for youth in Russia and occupied Ukraine ahead of the Kremlin's upcoming "Year of the Defender of the Fatherland" in 2025.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted drone strikes against Kazan, Republic of Tatarstan on December 21.
  • Russian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast and near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove.
  • Ukrainian forces regained lost territory near Pokrovsk.
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues to exalt its efforts to establish the Unmanned Systems Forces following Russian President Vladimir Putin's official order to establish the new combat arms branch.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 53
MMBaranova · 22/12/2024 19:19

Maryana Bezuhla sems to have had quite a political (and military supporting) career. Can't say that I know what she is about really. However, she was elected to the Rada for Servant of the People and - to put it kindly and notwithstanding the Russian invasion - they were quite a mixed bag. They wanted change as in CHANGE and better government and were led by a comedian. The latter has certainly risen to the challenges and has been inspirational in ways many would never have imagined. He also, in my opinion, sacks too many people.

I see that Zelenskyy's predecessor Petro Poroshenko has been rushing drones to troops who need them.

https://bukvy.org/en/porochenko-rushes-night-drones-to-troops/

Porochenko rushes night drones to troops - Π‘ΡƒΠΊΠ²ΠΈ

Source: European Solidarity Former Ukrainian president Petro Poroshenko has swiftly delivered 15 night-vision”Mavic” drones to...

https://bukvy.org/en/porochenko-rushes-night-drones-to-troops

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 23/12/2024 10:32

United24 Media:

πŸ”Ή A convoy of North Korean military equipment has been observed in Russia’s Tyumen region. It includes several Koksan self-propelled guns and vehicles resembling KN-15 (Pukguksong-2) missile systems.

The Pukguksong-2 is a medium-range missile system with an estimated range of 1,200–2,000 kilometers, designed primarily for missile defense.

πŸ”Έ Poland is prepared to shoot down Russian missiles if they threaten Polish territory or other NATO countries, according to Polish Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz.

β€œSo far, no missile has been aimed at a target within Polish territory. However, last week, Polish F-16s were deployed and ready to defend the border area,” the minister stated.

πŸ”Ή Putin is conducting hybrid attacks, with Germany being a key target, according to German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius in an interview with Funke Mediengruppe.

Pistorius explained that the aim of these attacks is not just to cause damage but also to destabilize society and manipulate public opinion. He highlighted the need for Germany to actively counter such threats, which include attacks on infrastructure and energy supplies, malicious activities in the North and Baltic Seas, and violations of airspace rules.

He also pointed to social media campaigns, interference in election processes, and financial support for narratives from groups like the AfD and SPD, which claim Germany prioritizes war over national defense.

β€œAll of this is part of Putin’s strategy to destabilize German society and create division. We must do everything possible to ensure this strategy fails,” Pistorius stated.

πŸ”Έ Russians Execute Ukrainian Prisoners Again – Lubinets

Dmytro Lubinets, the Commissioner for Human Rights of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, confirmed he has reviewed a video showing the execution of Ukrainian prisoners of war. He plans to report the incident to the United Nations and the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC).

According to Lubinets, the video was shared by the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade, named after Brigadier General Mark Bezruchko.

πŸ”Ή After a drone attack on Kazan, Russia, on December 21, Putin threatened Ukraine with β€œmany times greater destruction,” while ignoring the devastation Russia has inflicted on Ukraine during nearly three years of full-scale war.

Speaking via video link during the launch of new transport infrastructure in Russian regions, Putin addressed the Kazan attack, expressing confidence that the city’s leadership would restore the damage.

β€œWhoever tries to destroy something in our country, no matter how hard they try, will face many times greater destruction in their own country and will regret their actions,” Putin stated.

However, the Russian leader failed to acknowledge that it was Russia that initiated the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, consistently targeting residential areas in Ukrainian cities. For almost three years, Ukraine has endured daily attacks from Russian drones and missiles.

πŸ”Έ Most Data Stolen by Russian Hackers Was Already Public – Former Justice Minister Denis Malyuska

Former Ukrainian Minister of Justice Denis Malyuska commented on the recent Russian cyberattack, stating that most of the information claimed to be stolen from Ukrainian registers was already publicly available.

β€œThe only exception is data from the State Register of Civil Status Acts, one of the most secure registers. It contains seemingly trivial information, such as births and marriages, but also highly protected secrets, like adoption records,” Malyuska explained.

He noted that Russian hackers have shifted their approach since the full-scale invasion. While they previously focused on stealing data, they now aim to destroy it as well.

Despite this, Malyuska assured that there is no major issue with the deletion of registers, as backups exist and everything will be restored soon.

πŸ”Ή Russia Poses Existential Threat to Finland, Says Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo

At a summit in Lapland attended by leaders from Finland, Italy, Sweden, Greece, and EU foreign policy representatives, Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo described Russia as an existential threat to Finland. His statement was quoted by Voice of America.

Finland also accused Russia of enabling illegal migration from the Middle East and other regions into EU countries through Russian territory without proper checks, undermining European security.

β€œEurope must take greater responsibility for its own security,” emphasized Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.

Key topics of the summit included EU defense, support for Ukraine, and addressing migration challenges.

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° Fico Issues Statement Following Meeting with Putin

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico stated that his visit to Moscow, where he met with Vladimir Putin, was allegedly coordinated with EU leaders. He claimed the visit was a response to Ukraine’s decision to halt gas transit from Russia.

β€œIn a lengthy conversation with Putin, we exchanged views on the situation in Ukraine, the military developments, the possibility of an early peaceful resolution to the war, and mutual relations between Slovakia and the Russian Federation,” Fico wrote on Facebook.

🚘 BMW Halts Illegal Exports of Cars to Russia

BMW has confirmed it delivered over 100 high-end vehicles to Russian buyers, despite sanctions. The cars were shipped from the automaker’s Hanover branch through so-called gray import channels.

The Munich-based company stated it has stopped the exports and dismissed the employees involved. BMW emphasized its commitment to complying with export restrictions.

🫠 IMF Predicts War in Ukraine Could Last Until Mid-2026 in Negative Scenario

The IMF has updated its forecast, presenting a negative scenario in which the war in Ukraine continues until mid-2026.

This projection assumes an economic shock beginning in the first quarter of 2025, impacting businesses, public sentiment, and the pace of migrant returns. It also anticipates significant damage to energy infrastructure, resulting in power outages.

This differs from the baseline scenario, which forecasts the war ending in the fourth quarter of 2025.

πŸ”Έ Russian Threat to Europe Extends Beyond Ukraine, Says Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni

Speaking at a summit in Lapland alongside leaders from Italy, Sweden, Greece, and EU representatives, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni warned that Russia poses a far broader threat to Europe than many realize. Her remarks were quoted by Reuters.

According to Meloni, Moscow can exploit issues like illegal migration, resource access, and public opinion to destabilize the European Union.

β€œIt’s about our democracy, influencing public opinion, what’s happening in Africa, raw materials, and the instrumentalization of migration,” Meloni stated.

She emphasized that the Russian threat will persist even after the war in Ukraine ends, urging the EU to prepare for this long-term challenge. She called for stronger border protection and warned against allowing either the Kremlin or criminal organizations to control migration flows.

β€œSecurity means critical infrastructure, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, raw materials, supply chains, and a more effective foreign and cooperation policy. It also means addressing migration comprehensively, not just through burden-sharing,” Meloni added.

πŸ‡°πŸ‡΅ North Korea May Send More Troops and Equipment to Russia, Including Kamikaze Drones β€” Yonhap

According to South Korean military sources, North Korea is reportedly preparing to deploy additional troops and military equipment to Russia, potentially including kamikaze drones.

The South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff suggest that this move reflects North Korea’s desire to gain practical combat experience and modernize its weapons systems.

blueshoes · 23/12/2024 10:39

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-22-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin repeated his latest assertion that he should have violated the ceasefire he had imposed on Ukraine in 2014 and 2015 by launching a full-scale invasion even earlier than February 2022.
  • Ukrainian forces reportedly struck an oil depot in Oryol Oblast with drones on the night of December 21 to 22.
  • Russian forces recently executed more Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) on the battlefield.
  • Ukrainian forces recently regained lost positions in western Zaporizhia Oblast, and Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk and in Kursk Oblast.
  • North Korea may have transferred at least four additional ballistic missiles to Russia.
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 23/12/2024 10:50

Live:Ukraine

❗️❗️A video has surfaced online showing Russian soldiers executing Ukrainian prisoners of war, shared by the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade named after General Marko Bezruchko

The footage shows five Ukrainian defenders being shot by Russian soldiers.

Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets announced plans to report this incident to the UN and the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC).

β–ͺ️So far, Russians have executed at least 177 Ukrainian POWs. Of these confirmed cases, 109 occurred in 2024.

🀑Putin stated that the war with Ukraine should have started earlier but did not specify when. Once again, he complained about Western leaders allegedly β€œleading him on.”

He claimed that not invading Ukraine in 2022 would have been β€œa crime against the interests of Russia and its people.”

Previously, Putin suggested the war should have started even earlier.

When asked by a Kremlin propagandist about the exact time, he responded that it was impossible to name a specific date.

β€œIn any case, we should have realized earlier that our opponents were not planning to fulfill the Minsk agreements, that they were simply deceiving us, misleading us. If they used them to prepare for future military actions, they clearly anticipated that such actions would begin. This means they expected hostilities to occur. Understanding this, we should have acted more decisively and in a timely manner, preparing for it and choosing the right moment to start instead of waiting until nothing could be done further,” Putin said.

πŸ”Ή Putin hosted Slovak Prime Minister Fico at the Kremlin

According to Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov, the discussions focused on β€œinternational issues and the transit of Russian gas.”

πŸ”Έ Russia’s β€œpyrotechnic holiday” continues. Today, in Petushki, a woman set fire to a police station

Reportedly, the suspect is an English teacher who has since been detained.

Yesterday, Russian media noted that arson attacks on administrative buildings and banks, allegedly under the influence of β€œphone scammers,” have increased by a third.

πŸ”Ή Trump stated that he is looking forward to meeting with Putin to end the war

β€œOne of the things I want to do quickly, and President Putin has said he wants to meet with me as soon as possible… We need to wait for this, we need to end this war. This war is terrible,” Trump said during a speech.

He also claimed that β€œmillions of soldiers” have allegedly died in the war in Ukraine.

β€œThis war would never have happened if I were president,” he reiterated.

πŸ”Έ The Slovak Prime Minister confirmeded_ that his visit to Putin was a response to Zelensky’s remarks about halting Russian gas transit.*

According to Fico, the meeting also included discussions on the possibility of a β€œswift and peaceful resolution to the war.” Additionally, he reiterated his desire to normalize relations with Russia.

πŸ”Ή Where Russia is there is also devastation, death, horror

Six dead Red Book dolphins washed ashore in Novorossiysk, two more bodies are drifting into the sea.

Fuel oil that got into the water after the tanker crash is a deadly threat to dolphins, if it gets into the stomach, they suffocate. Three species of dolphins live in the Black Sea, all of them listed in the Red Book.k.*_

πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΈA massive protest is underway in Belgrade, Serbia, against President VučiΔ‡, known for his pro-Russian stance. Police estimate the crowd at 30,000.

The protest has garnered support from university students and agricultural movements, with the main slogan focusing on fighting government corruption under VučiΔ‡.

The demonstrations were sparked by the tragic death of 15 citizens at a newly renovated train station in Novi Sad, where a construction structure collapsed onto people.

πŸ”₯ A warehouse containing $16 million worth of Shahed drone components was set ablaze in Russia.

The fire occurred in Russia’s special economic zone β€œAlabuga,” according to Ukrainian intelligence (HUR).

The warehouse stored 65 drone fuselages, along with engines, navigation systems, and thermal imagers intended for assembling 400 Shahed-136 drones. All of it was destroyed.

πŸ”Έ North Korea may be preparing to send additional troops and weapons to Russia, reports Yonhap.

Pyongyang is reportedly considering rotating or increasing the number of its soldiers in Russia while continuing to supply missiles and self-propelled artillery systems.

According to South Korean military sources, North Korea has also started producing and supplying kamikaze drones.

Seoul believes that military cooperation between North Korea and Moscow will intensify in 2025.

πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ΎIn open waters, the vessel Sparta, used by Russia to transport its troops from Syria, has broken down, according to Ukrainian intelligence

A fuel pipe in the main engine failed during transit. The Russian crew is attempting to fix the issue while the ship drifts near Portugal.

Meanwhile, Russian troops remain stationed at only two bases in Syria β€” the β€œKhmeimim” airbase and Tartus. Reportedly, Damascus is negotiating with Moscow for Russian forces to leave the country by February 20, 2025, as the new government aims to secure the lifting of international sanctions.

πŸ”Ή NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated that sharp criticism from Zelensky toward Scholz is sometimes unwarranted.

β€œI have often told Zelensky that he should stop criticizing Scholz because I believe it is unfair,” Rutte said.

He added that Scholz’s contributions to Ukraine are impressive.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 23/12/2024 11:09

Thank you Desdemona! :)

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