Can you link to the IFS report? I can only find this one which finds that modeling household income for households which use independent schools is extremely difficult due to the complex variables involved, especially asset wealth and family subsidy. I ahve downloaded the Anders et al MRA they cite which finds the same thing based on massive multi-variate analysis of the Millenium Cohort Study - essentially everything we are arguing about here but done properly.
In a nutshell its not knowable but all the evidence is independent only families come from the wealthiest households, and the strongest association between private school attendance in a multivariate analysis is with household income i.e. the single factor most likely to determine whether a child attends a private school or not is how rich their parents are.
My point was obvious -we're a well off household with low housing costs and on any conservative estimate it would still be out of reach for us. So you have to be really quite well-off before its within reach.
I just wish people could be honest about this. The majority of millennials and gen z are not going to be owner occupiers any time soon, rents are high, the cost of living is higher than ever. Paying for independent school is unaffordable for the majority of families in the UK. If you can afford it and food and a roof over your heads, and run a car even you are doing grand. Holidays, new cars etc are very much out of reach for the majority of the population.
I work in the NHS. I see cold, malnourished patients every day, many of them young. I see parents stressed beyond belief by debt, living in cold damp houses, trying to support their kids with complex needs. I work with child safeguarding teams who know a lot of what we are dealing with in MH is linked to the neglect caused by poverty.
What's profoundly distasteful about these threads is the assumption people make that the patients I am seeing and their parents are not working hard or do not care about their futures. They work really hard and they care as much as well off households, but in a world where UC forces single parents on to zero hours contracts with antisocial hours so they are not at home to supervise their self-harming child in the morning who is refusing to attend school due to bullying the assumption that if they just put in more hours in a warehouse they could move them to an independent school is just a bit...sort your priorities out.
The problem is most of the electorate is see this sort of thing as more ofa problem than Emily and Daniel not being to holiday abroad or having to drive a three year old car. And if their kids have to slum it in a state school we reckon they will probably be OK.