A few . reasons.
- A serious lack of resources. If you’ve ever been to the Sinai. The most obvious issue is the lack of water. If you dump a million people in a boiling hot desert then you are going to need to provide at least 8 million litres of water and at least 200 hundred tonnes of food a day from a standing start.
- Hamas. When taking in refugees, who’s a terrorist and who isn’t? Hamas have significant links to the Muslim brotherhood and Egypt are already struggling with them.
- Economics. Egypt’s economy is really struggling and unless the international community wants to cough up then you are dumping a huge economic burden on a country that can’t cope with what they have already.
- Annexation. If the Gaza Strip is evacuated into the Sinai desert then Israel will annexe it and the Palestinians will never get it back.
The reality is, Israel has fallen into a trap set up by Hamas and the Iranians and the Palestinians will pay the price in blood and Israel will suffer economic and international repercussions. It’s also going to lose a lot of soldier’s over the coming weeks/months.
I deplore what Hamas has done and the poor Palestinians will suffer the terrible effects of a FIBUA ( fighting in built up areas) battle but Israel is stuck. Its population will not allow Hamas to go unpunished and in carrying out the will of its people the Israeli government will suffer international condemnation.
If you want to know how awful a fibua battle is, there’s a formula for it. In a straight battle in open country, to defeat the enemy, you will need 3 times more troops than the enemy does and you can expect a third of your force to be killed or wounded. In an urban battlefield you need 10 times the troops your enemy has and again a third of your force will be killed or wounded. So open battle means 10 enemy soldiers mean 30 friendly troops and ten casualties. Urban battle means 10 enemy troops will need a hundred troops and you can expect 33 casualties
An Israeli commander when faced with a building that is housing enemy has a couple of choices. He can flatten the building with an air strike, killing everyone inside including any civilians or he can do assault the building and hope his troops can identify any civilians. The reality is that a direct assault is no better than the air strike. The first step to the assault is to effect an entry to the building. You can’t go through windows or doors as they are likely to be booby trapped. So you use a mouse hole charge to blow a hole in the wall. That’s not good for anyone in the room but to make matters worse, once you make the hole, you chuck a couple of grenades through that hole and hope that no hostiles in that room survive or the first soldier through dies. Once you are through that hole and the room is clear, you have to repeat the whole process again for every single room in the building.
No decent commander will choose direct assault if an air strike is available.
I have no sympathy with the Israeli government whilst having lots of sympathy for the Israeli people. Netanyahu is directly responsible for this at least as much asHamas and Iran are. The Palestinians deserve better than this but there is no power on earth that can save then from the terrible ordeal they will suffer.