ISW Key Takeaways
www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates
Russian forces targeted Kyiv using Iranian-made drones on the night of December 29 to 30.
Russian President Vladimir Putin opened the door for further institutionalized corruption in the Russian Federation.
Russian forces continued to conduct counterattacks along the Svatove-Kreminna line.
Ukrainian forces struck Russian concentration areas in Luhansk Oblast.
Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Avdiivka area as well as in Bakhmut, where the pace of Russian offensive operations may have slowed compared to previous days.
A Russian source claimed that Russian forces conducted ground attacks in Zaporizhia Oblast.
Russian and Ukrainian sources continued to discuss whether and when an imminent second wave of mobilization in Russia will occur.
Russian officials continue to pursue the integration of occupied territories into the Russian Federation.
Putin approved a decree on December 29 that exempts all Russian officials, including members of the military and law enforcement services, from the requirement to make income declarations public.[8] The decree extends to military officials, employees of Russian internal affairs organs, those serving in Rosgvardia and law enforcement positions, employees of the Russian penitentiary system and Investigative System, and individuals seconded to positions in Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia oblasts.[9] The decree also notably lifts the ban on military officials receiving βcharitableβ gifts in connection with their participation in hostilities in Ukraine.[10] Russian independent newspaper The Insider noted that this decree could theoretically allow Russian officials involved in the war to seize the private property of Ukrainian residents of occupied areas because such property could be legally classed as βcharitable gifts.β[11] ISW continues to report on Putinβs manipulations of domestic law to quash domestic opposition to the war and enable those who support it.[12]
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Kyiv Indep Telegram
β‘οΈ Xi says Beijing ready (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/xi-says-beijing-ready-to-increase-political-cooperation-with-moscow) to βincrease political cooperationβ with Moscow.
βAgainst the background of a difficult international situation, China is ready to increase political cooperation with Russia and to be global partners,β Chinese President Xi Jinping said, as reported by Russian state media.
β‘οΈ Energy giant DTEK says (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/energy-giant-dtek-says-kyiv-to-return-to-only-planned-power-cuts) Kyiv to return to only planned power cuts. [these are considerable though; some people have only 6 hours electricity a day and no fresh water, since their apartments depend on water being pumped up.
β‘οΈ New program offers free bone (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/new-program-offers-free-bone-repair-implants-to-wounded-ukrainians) repair implants to wounded Ukrainians.
β‘οΈPM: Ukraine secures (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/pm-shmyhal-ukraine-secures-food-supplies-for-2023-receives-over-31-billion-financial-support) food supplies for 2023, receives over $31 billion financial support.
Despite βthe most difficult sowing season in the history of Ukraineβ, farmers managed to harvest 60 million tons of crops ensuring food stocks for the next year, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said at a cabinet meeting on Dec. 30.
β‘οΈOfficial: Russia demolishes (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/official-russia-demolishes-50-multi-story-buildings-in-occupied-mariupol) 50 multi-story buildings in occupied Mariupol.
As of December, 90% of the strategic port city in Donetsk Oblast was destroyed by Russia's brutal siege of the city from February to April 2022. Around 100,000 residents, less than a quarter of the city's pre-war population, still reside in occupied Mariupol, according to Ukrainian authorities.
β‘οΈKlitschko: Kyiv's population returns (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/klitschko-kyivs-population-returns-to-pre-war-level) to pre-war level.
β‘οΈIAEA: Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant loses (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/iaea-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant-loses-connection-to-back-up-power-line-due-to-shelling) connection to back-up power line due to shelling.
β‘οΈReznikov: Russia could take (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/reznikov-russia-could-take-up-to-10-years-to-restore-its-military-after-losses-in-ukraine) up to 10 years to restore its military after losses in Ukraine.
Reznikov warns Russians of 'one week left' before Putin closes borders
(kyivindependent.com/national/reznikov-tells-russians-they-have-one-week-left-before-borders-close)
In a video address on Dec. 30, Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov warned Russian citizens that Russia's leadership is preparing a new wave of mobilization and plans to close the border within a week.
"I know for a fact that you have about one week left before you still have any choice," Reznikov said, speaking in Russian.
"In early January, the Russian authorities will close the borders to men, declare martial law, and begin another wave of mobilization. Borders will also be closed in Belarus."
β‘οΈRussia forces (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/russia-forces-russian-passports-on-state-workers-in-occupied-territories) Russian passports on state workers in occupied territories.
β‘οΈInterior Ministry: 2,200 cases of collaboration with Russia under investigation (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/police-2-200-cases-of-collaboration-with-russia-under-investigation).
First Deputy Interior Minister Yevhen Yenin said on television that since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion, 108 sabotage and reconnaissance groups had been exposed in Ukraine.
β‘οΈ Media: Explosions reported in Dzhankoi airport (kyivindependent.com/news-feed/media-explosions-reported-in-dzhankoi-airport-in-russian-occupied-crimea) in Russian-occupied Crimea.
The Dzhankoi airport is a military airbase currently operated by Russian occupying forces.
Live:Ukraine Telegram
Moldovan President Maia Sandu said she sees no possibility to maintain constructive relations with Russia after everything the Kremlin has done in Ukraine
Judging by satellite images, there is no obvious damage at the Russian airbase "Engels" after the drone attacks on December 26 and 29, but the presence and activity of military aircraft there has been reduced by the Russian Federation
Ukrainian Armed Forces have already liberated 1,884 settlements from occupants
βͺοΈ 15,199 infrastructure facilities have been restored, the same number is in the process;
βͺοΈprotection of 297 energy facilities was organized, specialists work 24/7;
βͺοΈprotective structures are being built on the border with Belarus - anti-vehicle and anti-personnel barriers, minefields, reinforced concrete sections.
Russia has started the procedure of withdrawal from the Council of Europe treaties, - Russian media
Russian presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov told journalists that Putin will not communicate with them in the "pre-pandemic format".
He explained that there is "a process of coronavirus mutation, quite strong epidemiological waves of different strains of influenza". Putin's spokesman added that the health of the Russian president is a matter of state security
[Sounds like he isn't going to meet them or take open questions. I wonder if he's using his stand ins? They can regugitate scripted stuff but it'd be harder to handle open questions]
β‘οΈThe main thing for today
βͺοΈUkraine has received the third batch of Starlink from Poland. They will be sent to "points of invincibility", as well as to support the medical and energy sectors.
βͺοΈThe deputy head of the control and investigation department of the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation, Yevhen Rybakov, has disappeared in Donbas.
βͺοΈBudanov said that from January 5, a new stage of mobilization is planned in Russia. The beginning of a new wave is associated with significant losses at the front and lack of manpower.
βͺοΈBritain has handed over demining equipment to Ukraine. More than 1,000 VALLON metal detectors and 100 bomb disposal kits have been handed over to help clear minefields.
βͺοΈEstonian rescuers sent demining equipment to Ukraine.
βͺοΈBiden signed the US budget for 2023 with big aid for Ukraine.
βΌοΈ Vitali Klitschko: A journalist from Japan was also wounded during the attack on Kyiv. He is being hospitalized by doctors. In total, there are already 8 victims.
[As of 15:21} β‘οΈAccording to preliminary data, 20 cruise missiles were fired at Ukraine. 12 of them were shot down.
This was announced by the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhnyi
UNITED24 Media Telegram
The occupiers purposefully turn schools in the temporarily occupied territories into their own military depots β National Resistance Centers
In particular, a similar situation is observed in Zaporizhzhia.
βWarehouses are being created in the basements of front-line schools in the Vasylivsky district. The enemy deliberately turns civilian facilities into military facilities for provocations and the creation of propaganda stories," the CSNB said in a statement.
Delivery of Patriot systems to Ukraine is a psychological break, the negotiations were difficult, β Kuleba
In an interview with RBC-Ukraine, the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs emphasized that the decision to supply this type of weapon was not a regular and simple one. According to him, the transfer negotiations were among the most difficult.
"From the first days when we started talking about Patriot with the Americans, we heard "no". And the fact that this happened is another evidence that another taboo has been lifted, another wall has fallen," the minister said.
βοΈ Nearly 3,400 Ukrainian soldiers are held captive in Russia
Another 15 thousand people are considered missing. Such data was provided by Olena Verbitska, Commissioner of the President of Ukraine for Defense Affairs, writes DW.
βWe donβt know what happened to them (missing in action β ed.). Either they are also Russian prisoners of war, or they were forcibly removed from the territories occupied by Russia, or, perhaps, they were killed long ago. It is especially difficult for relatives in uncertainty,βVerbitska said in an interview with Redaktionsnetzwerk Deutschland.
π‘In December, Ukraine received about five thousand generators from partner countries and international organizations
Former Chief Rabbi of Moscow Pinchas Goldschmidt called on Russian Jews to leave the country because of the threat of a surge in anti-Semitism
βJews must leave Russia before they are made scapegoats for the difficulties caused by the war in Ukraine,β Goldschmidt told The Guardian.
In early August, the Jewish agency "Sokhnut" stopped working in Russia due to a lawsuit for liquidation from the Ministry of Justice of the Russian Federation.
The Russian authorities accuse the agency of allegedly transferring the personal data of Russians to βthird partiesβ and βbrain drainβ in connection with repatriation to Israel.
π° Ukraine postponed payments of all foreign debts for 2 years
This is the result of negotiations with partners, said Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal.
He also added that this year it was possible to maintain stability in the financial, banking, and economic spheres. In particular, all major budget expenditures have been financed.
Japan intends to provide Ukraine with $500 million in aid, Japanese Ambassador to Ukraine Kuninori Matsuda said
"As for aid, we have already provided $1.1 billion and plan to provide another $500 million in aid. We are also considering other aid packages," the ambassador said in an interview with the Interfax-Ukraine agency.
Regarding military aid, he noted that by law Japan cannot directly provide weapons, but the Japanese government has for the first time decided to provide non-lethal equipment, including drones, helmets, bulletproof vests, winter clothing, as well as first aid kits. and rations.
"We continue to expand the list. And now we are negotiating with Ukrainian colleagues about the possibility of providing dual-use technologies," the ambassador added. [this is notable stuff]
In the event of a new invasion from Belarus, the evacuation will not be carried out, but people will be warned
According to Defense Minister Reznikov, if such an offensive starts, it will not be until February. The minister believes that by that time the Russian Federation will be able to prepare its contingent.
On New Year's Eve, Red Square in Moscow will be closed and 7,000 law enforcement officers of the Russian Federation will be taken to the streets, β Media
Former Pope Benedict XVI has died at the age of 95
Czech activists raised the necessary funds for the purchase of 15 Victor anti-aircraft systems for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, consisting of a coaxial machine gun of the same name and a Toyota pickup truck.
Zaluzhnyi said that earlier Russian terrorists launched more than 20 cruise missiles using Tu-95MS strategic bombers from the Caspian Sea and ground-based missile systems.
Very big losses and notably more hardware losses too. Plus a helicopter. Something happening?