ISW Key Takeaways
Volunteer battalions that comprise Russia’s 3rd Army Corps are likely being prepared to attempt offensive combined arms operations but will likely lack sufficient combat power to make a material difference on the battlefield.
Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command stated that a 10-person Russian sabotage and reconnaissance group attempted assault operations in Kherson Oblast, indicating that Russian offensive capabilities in Kherson Oblast have degraded further.
Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack north of Kharkiv City.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks southwest of Izyum, northeast of Siversk, northeast and south of Bakhmut, and west and southwest of Donetsk City.
Ukrainian forces targeted Russian airborne command-and-control elements in western Kherson Oblast.
Russian and Ukrainian sources traded accusations of shelling the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
Russian military leadership may be shifting to a new phase of mobilization in central Russia and have likely exhausted pools of potential recruits in more peripheral and disenfranchised regions.
Russian authorities are intensifying law enforcement operations in occupied areas
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⚡️Russian collaborator found hanged in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, reports Ukrinform, citing Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration. Ryzhkov was installed by Russia as the city’s so-called “police chief.” No further information was provided.
⚡️ Russian media: Car of Russian official set on fire in Moscow.
Awoman opposing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine used gasoline to set alight the car of Yevgeny Secretaryov, an official responsible for the censorship of Russian media pertaining to information about the military and its operations. Reportedly, the woman was detained by Russian security forces. [brave brave woman]
⚡️ Ukraine’s military destroys Russian military supply point, 2 ammunition depots in southern Ukraine.
⚡️ Russian occupiers continue to abduct Kherson residents.
⚡️Chernihiv patrol police detain Russian collaborator.
A man was detained while taking photos of a local school and its storage facilities. His mobile phone had an installed app which the man had been using to share photos of certain institutions with exact locations for money.
⚡️ General Staff: Ukraine repels Russian offensive in 3 directions in Donetsk Oblast.
⚡️ The Guardian: 50,000 Ukrainian refugees in UK can lose homes next year.
Ministers are refusing the new support packages to Homes for Ukraine sponsors, according to The Guardian. A total of 83,900 refugees have arrived under the Homes for Ukraine scheme since March.
⚡️ Almost half of Ukrainian refugees in UK find jobs.
42% of Ukrainian refugees in the U.K. are employed, compared to 9% that were employed in April, according to the U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS).
⚡️ Mayor: Ukrainian forces hit large Russian military base in occupied Melitopol overnight.
According to Melitopol Mayor Ivan Fedorov, the Russian base was located at a former car manufacturing plant in the city, and was destroyed by the attack.
⚡️ CNN: Ukraine uses resistance doctrine developed by US to deter Russia.
Ukrainian forces have successfully used a method of resistance warfare developed by U.S. special operations forces, the U.S. and European officials told CNN.
The Resistance Operating Concept, known as the ROC doctrine, was developed in 2013 to provide a blueprint for small counties to effectively resist and confront a larger invading neighbor.
📍 The New York Times: The International Atomic Energy Agency has assembled
team of experts to visit the Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant next week. It includes the IAEA chief and 13 other experts from mostly neutral countries
Neither the US, nor the UK, nor other countries providing strong military support to Ukraine will be represented.
🖇 The U.S. Department of Defense has expanded the use of naval vessels to deliver weapons to Ukraine. Previously, it used mainly aircraft for this purpose
🔹 Russia created the 3rd Army Corps for the offensive, consisting of physically unhealthy and old volunteers with no experienced junior officers
🔎 The Federal Government of Germany has set up a holding company to be able to nationalize the German branch of the Russian state-owned company Gazprom in the shortest possible time, writes the German newspaper Welt
The German government took control of Gazprom Germania in April 2022. The company was subsequently renamed Securing Energy for Europe (SEFE). It is still under the supervision of the German Federal Network Agency.
🇩🇪 Ukraine may still need heavy weapons next summer and Germany is ready to supply them
The Minister of Foreign Affairs of Germany Annalena Baerbock said that Ukraine is also defending European freedom:
"We support it financially and militarily. As long as it is necessary. Period." [Annalena is powerfully on Ukraine's side]
📍 The U.S. missile cruisers pass through the Taiwan Strait for the first time since Nancy Pelosi's high-profile visit to the island. Beijing criticized the passage of the ships and said it was keeping its troops on high alert