I think there's going to be a lot of problems when this cohort hit their 30s. That's when people settle down and have families and it's also likely to be when the disabling issues with osteoporosis and continence really start to have a long term impact. This will also have an impact on employment as if you have chronic health issues it affects your financial stability.
Saying at 25 you feel happy with your identity is massively naive. Not many people in their 40s will say they are the same person they were at 25 because you go through several stages of identity shift throughout your life. There's no consideration for later shifts in your sense of self and how you relate to society as a whole.
There are numerous reflections and theories about life stages that go back centuries and across cultures which remain remarkably consistent and relate to this - which is linked directly to the human reproductive cycle and yes sex.
A 2 year proposed study was daft. It wouldn't show shit. Even after it's been revised to a 20 year posed study it's really not long enough either. It's that magic age 40 that really is going to show long term issues up and that's still out of the scope of a 14 year old on a 20 year study.
This comes back to the original premise of the study and what constitutes a good outcome - What's the measurements? How do you define it?
There's a study that Margaret McCartney has talked about before which gives some food for thought. It's about screening for bowel cancer and informed consent. This trial found that when you fully informed people if what it involved and what it could and couldn't do and what treatment for bowel cancer looked at take up of screening dropped. Why? Because people decided it wasn't worth it.
Further to this, other research looked at survival rates - and found that yey people were dying less from a particular cancer. Excellent. BUT this was also misleading because they crucially weren't living any longer - survival times weren't improving. Instead they were dying at the same point from other causes cos it was just the point at which their body had given up. And this measure is an important one to consider because people will make different choices with this information based on quality of life and side effects from treatment.
It's this type of thought processing and understanding of what data tells us and doesn't tells us and how it affects our decision making that's really important.
How can parents be making informed choices in their child's best interests with this in mind?