Good post
Jon Pike
My best guess as to how this will unfold:
It's true that I can only be 99% certain, not 100% certain how an SRY screening test on Khelif will come out.
But my knowledge is, in this respect, less important than Khelif's knowledge, and Khelif knows, with certainty, how it will come out.
The choice for Khelif is to take the SRY test or not, in view of this knowledge
A 'failed' SRY test throws into question the Olympic Gold, and this is the big thing that Khelif wants to hang on to.
Not taking the test leaves the Gold under a cloud, of course, but not as much as a failed test.
So the rational course for Khelif is to refuse to take the test.
So, I expect an announcement of withdrawal in the next few days - from Eindhoven for 'personal reasons', citing the 'media storm' or similar, This will be before the 7th. But there might be nothing - just a no-show.
Then, a few weeks later, I expect a retirement announcement. I expect that announcement to cite a 'campaign of harassment', 'intrusions into her privacy', that Khelif has 'nothing left to prove'.
And at a later date, I expect an interesting, dishonest, and disingenuous ghost-written auto-biography, which will be necessary reading for research purposes. "The Algerian Lioness: My Struggle" or similar.
You can also trace the counterfactual: what would happen if we were wrong. An SRY test that shows absence, a karyotype test showing XX, successful law suits against people like me, fulsome and honest apologies all round. I'll brace myself for this in due course.
If this is right, the integrity and status of any Algerian test protocol is beside the point. It ain't gonna happen.
I could be wrong, but watch closely.
Article in The National - [Scottish Nationalist paper]
Finally, men have been banned from punching women in the face
https://archive.is/qs9in#