Cass presents a 'values based' crisis for TRAs.
Progressives in the UK tend to be educated - often to a university level. They value evidence and good practice (note the correlation between the 'Facts Based' campaigning of Remain and the traction it had with different age groups).
Do not forget this. The exposure of the flaws in good practice and evidence that Cass Reveals is a bloody great iceberg with more and more hidden below the surface when you start to notice.
The whole TRA campaign is an emotive one and an appeal to 'doing the right thing' but not in a clearly identifible and tangible way (like Leave was. Leave was about feelings and ideas over practical tangible policy ideas).
When emotive and emotional campaigning hits reality and starts to fall apart it has issues. It doesn't mean WHY people voted Leave was wrong. People overwhelming want to do the right thing and are well meaning and this did motivate leave and there was a more good faith there than many give credit for. It wasn't just simply bigoted as some frame it.
But on contact with water, huge problems with implimentation exposed that promises just didn't hold up and there were other considerations that couldn't be ignored. Aka 'The Wall of Reality' (a phrase that was termed by David Allen Green - ironically who has what I can only excuse as a brainfart over this issue).
The tide has changed substantially on how people view Brexit, even though it still has sizeable support and is still a thing within British Politics. And will continue to do so for some time.
Thats kind of where we are at. Women's Rights, lesbians, safeguarding and medical ethics are the the Northern Ireland of Trans Rights. This will gradually work through over the next couple of years in various way. Labour may yet attempt self ID but medical ethics, and perhaps more importantly medical insurance, aren't going away. You can't square that circle.
Also remember most people who are pro-trans rights still are under the misconception that the majority of transpeople are post operative. If the issues with medicalisation start to build up, then that has a knock on effect on awareness of how many (few) people (men) are post op. And all the cost implications of long term medicalisation certainly isn't disappearing (and perhaps will be politicised for more nefarious agendas - and ironically will inflate figures in this area in a misinformation paradox that will hit transwomen from the opposite side at the same time).
I stress that this young progressive cohort still have the same priorities in terms of HOW they value things. Remember there was a concerted effort to conceal a huge amount by lead TRAs. The Emotive Faith based mantras have to compete with Reason and Evidence in a cohort who particularly value reason and evidence and have been educated to value evidence and reason.
Thats just what hit parliament. Hard. These are people who overwhelmingly respect and value independent inquiries and know they can't be dismissed as propaganda or misinformation. This trumps the faith based values over trans rights that many had. Theres clearly some who are struggling with this or are just showing themselves up to be loons, but for the most part the values based crisis for TRAs has kicked in, in the place it matters most of all.
Every rock this hits just exposes how shallow the faith really is and may put a hole in the bow of the 'Good Ship Trans' which was as unsinkable as Titanic but wasn't built as well as people thought. The trick is simply to get people to actually notice and to think critically and then let their own values kick in.
Or sunlight, as MN like to call it.