I had a look at the paper 'proving' that ROGD doesn't exist, and I'm not sure about the premises.First, ROGD is nothing more than a claim that for some teenagers dysphoria or a trans identification is a result of social influences, which leads them to transition very quickly. I don't see what, exactly, is so transphobic or controversial about this claim given that many disorders are susceptible to social contagion. Surely it would be beneficial to know if certain subgroups were susceptible to being induced into thinking they were trans, especially given the risk of them getting unnecessary medical treatment. I'm pretty tired of this idea that any questioning of ANY aspect of trans doctrine must automatically be bigoted.
Secondly, the paper claims there would be a difference between teens who had claimed a trans identity for a while versus the late onset teens. But why think that is the case? We know from past experience that anorexia and self harm are mental disorders which have a huge social contagion component (so much so that OFCOM has forbidden depictions of self harm in the mainstream media, because so many children copy it). It would be surprising if there was a clinical difference between anorexics who developed the disease naturally and those who developed it after being exposed to pro-ana content online.
Third, the researchers propose that the late onset trans teens would be more likely to be depressed, have a mental disorder, experience less depression etc. But why think that? Intuitively they would probably be similar to trans youths, who have high levels of mental illness. The data shows that the majority of the kids surveyed, no matter their onset time, had trans friends and trans supportive friends online which is...totally expected. Why would you expect trans children to not have trans peers online, and only the ROGD kids to have trans peers?
Interestingly, I notice that the vast majority of the participants were female. If you look at the history of trans kid healthcare, until very recently most trans children were male. What is the explanation for the bulk of trans kids now being female? Or is that a transphobic question as well?
I think the problem with ROGD is that you can't easily test the hypothesis until after the fact...until kids later come out and say 'oh, that was a mistake I wasn't really trans.' If ROGD is complete nonsense, it would be good to hear why the number of trans referrals for children has gone through the roof.