Maybe the way we can see what it is...is by working out what the outcomes will be. I think we become so caught up in the day to day drama (hands up here) that it becomes harder to step back and look at things as a whole picture. Actually picture is probably not the right word, jigsaw may be better... we need to isolate what the outcome (pieces) are then connect them together.
Yes, backwards engineering, it often helps with stuff like this. I have tried it in this case but I have not found it as helpful as I'd hoped.
I really think there are several different factions involved, that's not quite the right word. There are the people who are the BPD, NPD, types, and they are out for what people like that are always out for. But I don't think they are really looking for some sort of defined social outcome, if that makes sense? At least not overall, I tend to think many don't have the control of their intellect that would allow for that sort of planning.
Then there are the nice woke progressive types. The same sort of people who seem to want to control thinking in other areas, who deploy terms like bigot or racist to characterise anything that even begins to think unsanctioned thoughts. Some are more militant than others but my feeling overall is that these people are not driving the bus.
Where do the political leaders fit in? Maybe many belong to the second group. But it does seem like there is something more, someone more? Maybe the problem is it goes beyond the trans agenda, that is only one small manifestation.
I keep returning lately to Camille Paglia and her claim that what we are seeing is the late stages of a decaying society. Is that just a sort of human social entropy, or is there someone who is looking to benefit from that, who might want to hurry it up? All of Plato's criticisms of democracy seem to be coming home to roost, and the next stage he says is always a tyranny, probably a brutal one.