Early Summer weather watch

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Old thread:https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4767111-spring-weather-watch?page=6&reply=126854914

After the dramatic weather for some over the last few days, mostly covered in the Thunderstorm warning threads, I think it's time to switch to a new thread. After all, we are two weeks into meteorological summer.

Personally i never put away my sofa rugs this summer many an evening my legs got chilly.

The met office have a sense of humour 😂

The forecast here for the week the schools go back. Bloody typical.

It looks like temperatures could reach the low to mid 30s C by the middle of the week in the south east.

Just why?? Six weeks of pointlessness and now this . Yay... stuffy classrooms.

Oh dear God 😭

I am partly to blame for the pants weather these holidays. We bought new patio furniture in the sale last October and I haven't had the chance to sit on it for days on end as it rains as soon as I think about it. I've had 6 weeks off, back to work on Monday and the warm weather is due to arrive then.

We will be having our dinner outside so I can say we have used it this year 😀

I'm just glad mine are older and I haven't had to entertain them!

We have quite an extraordinary run of weather coming up for many of us. Temperatures in the high 20s to low/mid 30s for several consecutive days.

Yes. I've just seen temperatures on Wednesday upgraded from 29 to 31, feels like 37 🥵

Round here the night time temperatures are a low of 18. That was pretty much the high daytime temp in August! British autumntime is weird!

So it looks like summer's arrived for a few weeks.
I was saying to DH last night though that nice as this weather is (for some ~ appreciate not everyone likes high temperatures), this hot spell is really going to mess with my head as it's June/July temperatures in September and just when you think there should be 'long summer days,' it's dark by 8.30pm!

I guess we are on track for an excellent english wine harvest. Rain at the right time for growing it and sun at the right time for ripening it.

Weirdly re my Victoria plum trees the plums were very small this year which is odd considering the amount of rain we had.

Next door's grape vine has got an excellent crop this year. And there's been a good side to the 'average' summer, it's been just about perfect for growing veg ~ behold this mighty specimen that I've got growing away at the allotment at the moment!

Onions have also been good (not rotted away in the ground), carrots are OK and for the first time in 3 years, sweetcorn as well ~ last year and year before, were possibly too hot for that crop.

Look out for some spectacular sunrises and sunsets this week. Saharan dust incoming.

They've just mentioned on our local news about the possibility of Sahara sand and not to bother washing the car in case it gets a coating. That's one of the jobs for tomorrow off my to-do list then!

Love Saharan sunsets

I was on the autumn thread wondering why no one was talking about this heatwave.

Horrible. But, after a lot of stress around moving, I'm grateful I'm here. It's still 23 in my north facing flat, my old flat would be up to 30 by now.

I got on the bus in the afternoon and the first rail I held was slippery ...so gross. Hoping to have no trips out till the heat goes. I really hope it goes.

Had three grandchildren this afternoon, they've played mostly indoors by choice 👏👏

Didn't know that there was an autumn thread. It's still summer here

I'm not ready to move to autumn yet.

GFS shows an extraordinary run of heat. Temperatures reaching 30c somewhere every day until next Thursday. A few cooler, yet still warm days, then unbelievably brings back in the heat to the end of run on 20th September. Unlikely, but possible. It sits at the top end of the ensemble range.

Better late than never I suppose. Now do I do all the spring cleaning washing that's been delayed due to constant drizzle or big showers or wait until next spring? Decisions, decisions 🤔

Yeah...not happening. Gardening during the day, beer by night. Washing can wait another few months 😂

Just finished a Cub leaders meeting where we contemplated a late camping weekend at the end of Sept, if there's space and weather is still good. So crossing fingers about that ( we never got to our normal camp in June so 🤞🤞🤞).

I was married in September, born in September. Have had many fun sailing weekends in September. It's generally a good month in Wales. Our honeymoon on the west coast of Scotland third week of September the weather was glorious. Summer dresses or shorts fishing in a loch.

I'm definitely ready for autumn which is my favourite season and am only grateful that this run of high temperatures hasn't followed on from a hot summer. At least it starts to cool down earlier than it would at the height of summer

justasking111 ~ Autumn thread is here (ready and waiting for when this brief spell of summer ends!)

We may well be shifting on to the autumn thread soon as GFS moves into the middle of the pack of the ensembles.

From GFS/GEFS point of view hot air looks to be increasasingly confined to the south east after Monday. With the transition comes the potential for some decent thunderstorms for parts of the SE and Midlands. More detail on that as we get closer to the time. It's too early to pin with any certainty.

I thought it would be fun to share this chart showing a hurricane out in the atlantic. It isn't modelled by GFS to come over us, indeed at the moment it loops back west. But this is two weeks away, way too far away in forecasting land!

ECM ensembles show a dip in temperatures, followed by a wide spread of ensemble members, demonstrating that the very warm temperatures may not be gone after this spell. Lots of uncertainty, as is always the case, particularly at this time of year, with an active hurricane season. ECMWF itself shows a faster cool down next week.