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Weather

Early Summer weather watch

676 replies

OhYouBadBadKitten · 13/06/2023 07:42

Old thread:https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4767111-spring-weather-watch?page=6&reply=126854914

After the dramatic weather for some over the last few days, mostly covered in the Thunderstorm warning threads, I think it's time to switch to a new thread. After all, we are two weeks into meteorological summer.

Page 24 | Spring Weather watch | Mumsnet

Optimistically we turn our eyes towards Spring weather in the hope that we are in the last throes of winter. But March is a capricious month. ... It...

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4767111-spring-weather-watch?page=6&reply=126854914

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Thread gallery
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justasking111 · 09/08/2023 20:29

studentgrant · 09/08/2023 13:38

@justasking111 NBC says e-coli had been found in some sea water

www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-66441826

Oh great height of tourists season 🙈

EducatingArti · 09/08/2023 21:21

I'm camping in the Lake District for 4 nights from Saturday. What are my chances?

OhYouBadBadKitten · 09/08/2023 22:02

Cool and showery Arti but currently not looking dreadful.

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EducatingArti · 09/08/2023 22:52

Thank you. I shall pack accordingly but I'm glad it won't be a washout!

OhYouBadBadKitten · 10/08/2023 08:35

No problem Smile

There are hints from models that things may warm up from around the end of next week, with high pressure exerting a welcome influence. Cross your fingers!

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Delatron · 10/08/2023 09:11

Thanks for the positive words @OhYouBadBadKitten Ive just seen that on the forecast for next weekend. We’re away on the South coast and after the summer we’ve had was preparing myself for a wash out!

Fingers crossed!

justasking111 · 10/08/2023 11:43

I've just carpet shampooed two carpets this morning, all the windows open. They really needed doing 🙈

justasking111 · 10/08/2023 18:36

Weirdly it feels thundery here the sky is very dark but we're not forecast rain until late tonight.. it's very close and humid.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 10/08/2023 23:10

One of the models is showing a possibility of high heat next weekend. Interesting!

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justasking111 · 11/08/2023 00:39

OhYouBadBadKitten · 10/08/2023 23:10

One of the models is showing a possibility of high heat next weekend. Interesting!

That would be lovely OYBBK. Son and friends going on a camping trip to the lake District for the bank holiday weekend. I hope this weather will have settled by then

chocolateisavegetable · 11/08/2023 08:43

One of the weather apps I use is forecasting 29 degrees for the weekend of the 19th! We’re Southern England.

EmmaEmerald · 11/08/2023 08:55

chocolateisavegetable · 11/08/2023 08:43

One of the weather apps I use is forecasting 29 degrees for the weekend of the 19th! We’re Southern England.

Same, but yesterday it was saying rain.

i was actually wondering what OBBYK thought as it seems tophe forecast even for a few days away is changing. I thought the weather was turning bad from Sunday in the South east. Confusing.

Delatron · 11/08/2023 09:46

I think lots of the different forecasts are coming in to line now and forecasting warmth for next weekend. I think there might be the odd shower around which is confusing things and maybe quite a bit of cloud cover but it looks like a big improvement.

Perihelion · 11/08/2023 11:20

20c and sunny in Edinburgh today. And windy again. It's not been as wet as elsewhere, but I can't remember a summer as windy as this one.
Obviously the weather will improve next week as the schools go back 😂

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/08/2023 19:08

Some of the models are showing some uncomfortably hot weather from next weekend. It's early days, but it's certainly something to keep an eye on.

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/08/2023 19:08

With the warmth though, the models are showing a good thunderstorm risk.

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EmmaEmerald · 12/08/2023 21:40

Thanks Kitten

justasking111 · 13/08/2023 00:32

Monday morning is a doozy. 20mm rain and thunderstorms on the West coast Wales.

GloriaSmud · 13/08/2023 08:32

After the early part of this week (showery, possibility of thunderstorms), it looks like there's finally an improvement although as OYBBK says, could be some rather high temperatures on the way for some.

Long-range forecast from the metoffice.....
17th-26th August
High pressure to the east is most likely to dominate, certainly at first, but with low pressure close by to the west or southwest, and probably making some inroads across the country although the extent and timing is uncertain. A spell of sunny, very warm to hot weather is likely to develop. Many areas, especially in the south and southeast, could expect to see temperatures above 30 Celsius. There is low confidence in the extent and duration of high temperatures, , with exact wind direction and speed key. There is a risk of rain and thunderstorms in the west or southwest at first, which could extend east to all areas through the period, with chance of cooler conditions following. Equally, this could remain to the west, with warm/hot conditions persisting.

27th August-10th September
A changeable pattern is likely towards the end of August and into early September. This perhaps with the wettest conditions over the north and northwest. There is a probability for thunderstorms developing within warm interludes, especially in the south, but perhaps spreading across the UK at times, which could lead to large local variations in precipitation totals through the period. This might contribute to an unequal distribution of precipitation across the country. Temperatures are likely to trend down to near or slightly above average, although warm spells remain a possibility.

chocolateisavegetable · 13/08/2023 08:56

Interesting - the forecast for next weekend here has changed from 29 degrees to 24. Quite a drop in the space of 2 days.

stillherenow · 13/08/2023 08:57

@chocolateisavegetable same where I am. Such a relief !!

Delatron · 13/08/2023 09:00

Yeah ours has dropped by a few degrees to around 25 which will
be nice but not the 30 that was being forecast. Just hope it doesn’t drop any more as it looks like this is the last chance for a decent summer weekend.

Delatron · 13/08/2023 09:02

And we’re in the SE where the warmest temperatures are supposed to be. To be fair 30 is a bit much - the dog doesn’t like it and I can’t sleep but 25/26 would be a nice warm day and I’m sick of these low 20s windy/showery days.

Abracadabra12345 · 13/08/2023 09:12

chocolateisavegetable · 13/08/2023 08:56

Interesting - the forecast for next weekend here has changed from 29 degrees to 24. Quite a drop in the space of 2 days.

Lucky you. Here in my corner of the SE, Saturday is forecast to be sunny and 28 degrees, "feels like" 33 which is the important figure. It's been my experience that temperatures go up, not down the closer we get

Abracadabra12345 · 13/08/2023 09:14

Also quite a long stretch of warm weather- I suppose it had to happen eventually