A just for fun thread! Remember I’m not a professional and it’s important not to base decisions on what I say in forecasting threads as I may very well get it wrong. At this point in time I am looking at GFS, as other charts come into range I will start discussing those too. I’m also looking at the GFS ensembles (which at present as you would expect have a wide range of solutions, most of which are mild). The forecast will change as we go along considering how far out we are at present.
In general over the next couple of weeks we seem to be kept in mild southerlies or south-westerly’s, with more potential for storms and there isn’t much promise of a cold Christmas. The 24th December has finally made into the range of the GFS. What a chart!! It shows a deep low which would bring severe gales and a mix of heavy snow (for some) and heavy rain (for most) across the UK with the snow risk being greater the further north you are.
It’s a stonker of a chart, but probably not a welcome one!
Weather
BadKitten's Christmas forecast thread.
OhYouMerryLittleKitten · 08/12/2013 10:57
For the first time ever I'm hoping it doesn't snow this Christmas as we are flying to Lapland on the 22nd! 
Don't mind getting stuck out there though.....
I'm in Suffolk and I'll take anything but snow. If you could arrange that for me Kitten, I'd be very grateful!
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Although on the jetstream map it did look a little crazy over xmas / boxing day. That must be the potential bad weather then 
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I don't want a storm, my fence is wobbly and I can't afford to get it fixed. A foot of snow would prop it up a bit .
Meglet ~ snow is renowned for its fence propping abilities!
I think, from my very limited understanding of weather models, colder stuff isn't very far away. It's all out west at the moment and being kept there by the great wodge of high pressure that we've got sitting over us at the moment. So 'tis great for the heating bills but a bit 'meh' and not very festive for those that like a bit of the white stuff at this time of year.
I can't believe how foggy it still is 
oybbk is it going to clear?
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I really like the idea of weather in the media even on mn you see a lot of posts saying 'they said it would be catastrophically hot/cold/snowy/wet and its not' and getting the real forecasters (the met office and some decent private companies) muddled with the (struggling to find a polite way to phrase it) more imaginative ones.
However, there is on this model run a very nasty little low running across us on Christmas day. Would bring snow to some northern elevated areas and buckets of rain to the rest with gales across the south and east.
Its still too far to forecast with accuracy but the theme of mild and wild continues.
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