It will depend on whether they want to be seen as "genuine" by the public/brand is loyalty (as presumably they think the show will have a proper audience following like BB or Love Island instead of...us).
Or whether they want to be seen as tactical/clever and want the 10K.
It also comes down to:
The three against one alliance They might therefore vote Sofia tactically (thinking her as the Least Favourite) and she wins by default
Sofia's vote As the one with no natural allegiance, she may well go Jeanette for the sisterhood and vote swings in Jeanette's favour
Josh was most recent favourite This gives Louie and Jeanette motive to vote differently to give themselves a chance
I saw a chance for Josh to win had Louie been voted out last night but I'm struggling to see a win for him now unless in the "journey" VT they go heavy on emotional manipulation.
There are seven scenarios where Josh wins...
Jeanette votes Josh
Josh votes ANO
Louie votes Josh
Sofia votes Josh
Jeanette votes Josh
Josh votes Louie
Louie votes Josh
Sofia votes Jeanette
Jeanette votes Josh
Josh votes Sofia
Louie votes Jeanette
Sofia votes Josh
Jeanette votes Sofia
Josh votes Jeanette
Louie votes Josh
Sofia votes Josh
Jeanette votes Josh
Josh votes Jeanette
Louie votes Josh
Sofia votes Louie
Jeanette votes Josh
Josh votes Jeanette
Louie votes Sofia
Sofia votes Josh
Jeanette votes Sofia
Josh votes Louie
Louie votes Josh
Sofia votes Josh
I hated probability at school but does this mean statistically that Josh ought to give Jeanette his vote?