I guess my question is why it always has to be one or the other. Too often in the UK the debate is framed as a binary choice: tax or benefits, those in need or those with assets, the wealthy or everyone else. It is very rare to hear a discussion about a third or fourth option.
If the problem is the quality and affordability of UK flats, then the solution should be to build better-quality, affordable flats, not to convince people that they shouldn't want houses. The issue is not just a lack of space; it is a lack of the right housing for the right groups. Young professionals, families with children, retirees and people with disabilities all have different housing needs, so a one-size-fits-all approach is unlikely to work. We are also likely to need more multi-generational housing in future, given the spiralling costs associated with an ageing population and private equity's expanding interest in the care sector.
My concern is not what LVT starts as, but what it becomes. It's a familiar story with the party of the workers. Student loans were presented as a reasonable way to fund higher education, yet many graduates now effectively pay an additional 9% charge on part of their income for decades. Had that been presented upfront as a long-term surcharge on earnings, I suspect many people would have made different choices. Labour didn't introduce student loans, but they did pursue a target of getting 50% of young people into higher education. That's a large proportion of young people they were happy to see carrying an additional 9% weight around their necks at the point in their lives when they are trying to establish their careers, save for a home and start families.
Electric vehicles went the same way. Be ethical, they said. Cue grants, tax advantages and other inducements. Yesterday's act of being a considerate citizen quickly became today's new revenue stream once enough people had bought in, installed chargers and organised their lives around it.
LVT might start as a modest tax with allegedly good intentions, sensible exemptions and protections, but once it has been accepted and people have organised their lives around it, the goalposts will be moved. As the saying goes, when somebody shows you who they are, believe them.