Europe has 6 weeks of jet fuel left *[title amended]

[Plump82]

What's people's thoughts on this - is it scare mongering?
My main holiday isn't for another wee while but are we going to see disruptions/cancellations to rival COVID times?

• [Title amended at OP's request to make it clear that news reports are referring to jet / aviation fuel]

In the highly unlikely event of a package holiday being cancelled, the holiday company has to refund.

The Birkenhead to Belfast ferry is huge though, so I'd imagine it to feel pretty stable? 🤷‍♀️ I haven't used it myself though, so that's just conjecture on my part. We were in Rhyl over Christmas and I loved watching it sail by from our hotel window, especially all lit up in the evening. Regarding seasickness, I've always found Stugeron very effective on choppy crossings.

That's good to know. Iom trip is very choppy. My dd threw up while still on the Mersey!

Would be nice to take my own car too.

@RonaldMcDonaldTrump

the airlines have to be selective of which routes would remain economically profitable to continue. Many airlines have come out and said that it's business routes or non profitable routes that may be cancelled or consolidated

Just a passing observation that some Longhaul business routes are very profitable, far more so than many leisure routes.

Plenty of very profitable shorthaul routes too. I've never been on an LHR-FRA or LHR-MUC early morning flight that wasn't rammed.

Ah, your poor DD! The Mersey has the second highest tidal range of a river in the UK, so it's maybe not surprising. I've stood at Woodside and watched and felt the landing up and down, uuupp and doowwnn... 🤢 😅

Fuck trump! This is the inspiration I needed to book another holiday in europe!

I would imagine many of the passengers on those flights are connecting to other flights with Lufthansa so they are a necessary part of Lufthansa’s long haul business. Same with flights from LHR to Paris and Amsterdam.

Can't speak for LH but there is (or certainly was) a lot of traffic on the LHR-FRA with BA that was simply going business centre to business centre, not connecting...not sure.about MUC.

Also there were a sizeable number pax (often business) connecting from BA Longhaul, especially from the US to Shorthaul LHR- FRA/MUC because BA serves some US cities that LH don't.

It's similar logic with LHR- Paris (lots of point to point business)..

I'd accept LHR-AMS you'll probably see more travelling for connecting.

No, it isn't. Most means 'nearly all' as far as I'm concerned. Just over 50% of babies born each year are girls. That does not mean that most babies born last year were girls, does it?

And Trump got less than 50% of the votes anyway, I just checked.

Erm, ok??

I was talking about the BA flights from LHR (and LCY) to FRA and MUC. It's all short haul business travel. I often get the 6.45 to FRA and then see the same faces on the flight back in the evening.

I've just seen this on a Facebook group for Jet2 holidays, does it sound legit?

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/apr/21/airlines-uk-relax-rules-fuel-shortage Headline slightly more dramatic than the full report content, but some turbulence seems increasingly possible.

Well it's probably legit on as far as it goes but the devil is probably on the detail, in the UK at least not many if any airlines are reporting current shortages..

Jet2 have invested in a SAF plant, but it is not due to come online until 2027: https://www.jet2.com/news/2023/04/Jet2_plc_announces_major_investment_into_UK_Sustainable_Aviation_Fuel_production

Even that plant (when running) would only provide limited mitigation from the sort of fuel shortage that might be coming.

Most flights, certainly the medium to longer ones, ex- UK have to uplift fuel at the overseas airport before returning and that's got to come from somewhere.

You can reduce that amount to some extent by filling up as much as possible before leaving the UK but due to the extra weight doing that can impact on the number of passengers and bags that can be carried.........

Yep and it still has to be 50% blended with regular Jet A-1. It’s more greenwashing than anything.